One-glance verdict
$31.45 our estimate vs market $41.97
Wall Street consensus: $50.18 (59.5% higher than our fair-value estimate)
33% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
AMCR · NYQ · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Current price
$41.97
52-week range
$36.25 - $50.94
Market cap
$19.40B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $50.18 (59.5% higher than our fair-value estimate)
33% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $14.02B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Amcor makes the packaging for many everyday items you see in stores, from food and drinks to medicine and beauty products. The company earns its money by selling both flexible packaging (like bags and wrappers) and rigid packaging (like plastic bottles and jars) to the businesses that make these goods. Because so many essential products require packaging, Amcor's sales can be steady and predictable as people continue to buy these core items.
Amcor's story starts way back in 1860 with a paper mill in Australia. For a long time, it was known as Australian Paper Manufacturers. The company changed its name to Amcor in 1986 and began to focus more on packaging instead of just paper. Major turning points included buying the packaging business of Alcan in 2010 and combining with a big U.S. packaging company called Bemis in 2019, which made Amcor a truly global player.
Amcor makes the packaging for many products you see in stores every day. This includes things like the plastic bottles for drinks, the flexible bags for snacks and coffee, and the specialty cartons for medicines. They work with companies in the food, beverage, healthcare, and home and personal care industries to create packaging that protects the product and stands out on the shelf. Essentially, Amcor helps other companies package and sell their goods to you.
This is Amcor's largest business segment, making up a significant portion of its sales. It creates flexible packaging, which you can think of as anything that isn't a hard, rigid container. This includes pouches for snacks, wrappers for cheese, and bags for fresh produce and pet food. Companies that make food, drinks, and healthcare products pay Amcor for these packaging solutions.
This part of the company produces hard, or rigid, plastic containers. Think of the plastic bottles for sodas and water, jars for sauces and spreads, and containers for personal care products like shampoo. This segment is smaller than the Flexibles business but is still a major part of Amcor's operations. Beverage and food companies are the primary customers for these products.
Amcor is heavily focused on what it calls "responsible packaging." This means creating packaging that is lighter, can be recycled or reused, and is made with more recycled materials. The company has set a goal to make all of its packaging recyclable or reusable. They are also investing in innovation to develop new types of packaging that are better for the environment, which they believe will attract and keep customers who are also focused on sustainability.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $50.18 (59.5% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $31.45 a share — about 25.1% below today's price of $41.97, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $14.0B. Interest coverage 3.2x.
Amcor plc's profit covers its interest bill about 3.2 times over. and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $15.14B Interest coverage 3.25x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $4.40B Interest coverage 15.87x +388% vs AMCR Carries about 4.9x more debt cushion than AMCR.
Total debt $9.90B Interest coverage -0.02x -100% vs AMCR This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with AMCR.
Total debt $7.58B Interest coverage 4.43x +36% vs AMCR Carries about 1.4x more debt cushion than AMCR.
Total debt $6.27B Interest coverage 4.11x +26% vs AMCR Carries about 1.3x more debt cushion than AMCR.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know