One-glance verdict
$67.26 our estimate vs market $45.40
Wall Street consensus: $60.05 (-10.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)
33% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
ASO · NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Current price
$45.40
52-week range
$41.29 - $62.45
Market cap
$2.82B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $60.05 (-10.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)
33% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $1.61B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Academy Sports and Outdoors is a large retail store that sells everything for sports and outdoor activities, from fishing rods and camping tents to soccer balls and athletic shoes. The company makes money by selling a wide variety of these items, including its own exclusive brands, which can help improve its profit margins (the percentage of a sale that is actual profit). This broad selection is important because it attracts many different types of customers, from serious hunters to families looking for backyard fun.
Academy Sports + Outdoors started in 1938 as a family-owned tire shop in San Antonio, Texas. It soon began selling military surplus items and gradually shifted its focus to sports and outdoor gear. For over 70 years, it was run by the Gochman family, expanding across Texas and into neighboring states. A major turning point came in 2011 when it was acquired by the investment firm KKR, which helped the company grow and launch its online store. The company went public in 2020, meaning its shares became available for anyone to buy on the stock market.
Academy is a retail store, much like a Target or Walmart, but it focuses specifically on sporting goods and outdoor recreation equipment. You can walk into one of their large stores and find everything from fishing rods and hunting gear to basketballs and athletic shoes. They sell well-known national brands like Nike and Under Armour, but also have their own private brands, which are products they create and sell exclusively in their stores. The company operates hundreds of stores, mostly in the South, Southeast, and Midwest, and also sells its products online.
This is the company's largest category, making up about a third of its sales. It includes everything you would need for activities like camping, fishing, and hunting. Customers buy items like tents, coolers, fishing rods, firearms, and ammunition from this department. This segment is a key differentiator for Academy, setting it apart from some other general sporting goods stores.
Making up over a quarter of the company's sales, this department sells clothing for sports and outdoor activities. This includes everything from athletic wear and licensed team jerseys to outdoor-specific clothing like camouflage and work apparel. They offer clothes for men, women, and children from popular national brands as well as their own private labels.
This segment, which accounts for just over a fifth of sales, covers equipment for a wide variety of activities. Shoppers can find gear for team sports like baseball, soccer, and basketball, as well as items for fitness and general recreation like bikes, patio furniture, and grills. It's the part of the store that caters to families and individuals looking for items to support their hobbies and active lifestyles.
This is the smallest of the four main categories, representing just under a fifth of total sales. It includes a broad range of shoes for different needs, such as running shoes, cleats for sports, hiking boots, and casual everyday shoes. Like their apparel section, they sell well-known brands alongside their own exclusive footwear lines.
The company's main focus for growth is opening new stores, aiming to add over a hundred new locations over the next five years. They are also working to improve their online shopping experience and grow e-commerce (online sales) to make up a larger piece of their business. Another key strategy is to increase the sales of their own private brands, like Magellan Outdoors and BCG, because these products generally bring in a higher profit margin (the amount of profit made on each sale). Finally, they are using customer data to make sure they stock the right products for the specific neighborhoods their stores are in, a practice known as localized merchandising.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $60.05 (-10.7% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $67.26 a share — about 48.2% above today's price of $45.40, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $1.6B. Interest coverage 14.1x.
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 14.1 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $1.95B Interest coverage 14.14x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $7.79B Interest coverage 20.68x +46% vs ASO Carries about 1.5x more debt cushion than ASO.
Total debt $504.44M Interest coverage -1.02x -100% vs ASO This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with ASO.
Total debt $4.09B Interest coverage 0.90x -94% vs ASO Carries about 15.7x less debt cushion than ASO.
Total debt $773.48M Interest coverage 195.90x +1,285% vs ASO Carries about 13.9x more debt cushion than ASO.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know