One-glance verdict
$226.04 our estimate vs market $57.98
Wall Street consensus: $67.04 (-70.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
74% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
BMW.DE · GER · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Current price
$57.98
52-week range
$51.98 - $97.92
Market cap
$34.27B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $67.04 (-70.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
74% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $102.71B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
BMW is a German company that makes luxury cars and motorcycles under brands like BMW, MINI, and Rolls-Royce. Most of its money comes from selling these vehicles, but it also makes income from financing and leasing them through its Financial Services arm. Understanding how well its car sales are doing and how profitable its financial services are helps us see how healthy the company is overall.
"How the company got here" "BMW, or Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft, has a history that began over a century ago, in 1916, initially as a manufacturer of aircraft engines. After World War I, the Treaty of Versailles prohibited Germany from building aircraft, forcing BMW to pivot. This led the company to shift its focus to producing motorcycle engines in 1923, and then to automobiles in 1928 by acquiring another company. Over the decades, BMW established itself as a maker of high-performance and luxury vehicles, with iconic models like the BMW 3 Series solidifying its reputation in the 1970s and 1980s. The company has since expanded its portfolio to include the MINI and Rolls-Royce brands, and has also developed a significant financial services arm. Today, BMW is a global leader in the premium automotive and motorcycle market, known for its engineering excellence and focus on driver-focused performance." "What it actually does" "BMW designs, manufactures, and sells a range of premium automobiles and motorcycles worldwide. Beyond just vehicles, the company also offers spare parts and accessories. BMW operates through distinct business segments, including its core automotive business, its motorcycle division, and a financial services arm that supports vehicle sales and ownership. The company's brands include BMW, MINI, and the ultra-luxury Rolls-Royce, each catering to different segments of the premium market. BMW is recognized globally for its commitment to luxury, performance, and increasingly, sustainable mobility solutions." "Automotive" "This is BMW's largest business segment, encompassing the design, manufacturing, and sale of automobiles under the BMW, MINI, and Rolls-Royce brands. These vehicles range from premium compact cars to high-end luxury models, offering a variety of powertrain options including electric, hybrid, and combustion engines. This segment is the primary revenue generator for BMW, making up the bulk of the company's sales. BMW's automotive division is focused on delivering vehicles that blend luxury with performance, and is increasingly investing in electric vehicle technology and sustainable manufacturing processes." "Motorcycles" "Under the BMW Motorrad brand, this segment focuses on the development, manufacturing, and sale of motorcycles and scooters for both private and specialized use. BMW Motorrad has a long history, dating back to the production of its first motorcycle in 1923. This division contributes a smaller but significant portion to BMW's overall revenue compared to the automotive segment. The motorcycles are known for their engineering and performance, reflecting the brand's broader commitment to quality and driving dynamics." "Financial Services" "This segment provides a range of financial and mobility services to support BMW's vehicle sales and customer ownership. Services include car rentals, credit financing, leasing options that can bundle insurance and service products, and financing for dealerships and customers. The 'Alphabet' brand specifically offers vehicle fleet financing services for corporate clients. This division plays a crucial role in the overall BMW ecosystem by facilitating vehicle purchases and enhancing customer loyalty, contributing a notable portion to the company's total earnings." "What management is betting on now" "BMW's current strategy is heavily focused on leading the transition to electric and digitalized mobility. A key priority is the rollout of the 'NEUE KLASSE' vehicle architecture, designed purely for electric mobility, which is set to debut in 2025. The company is also committed to decarbonization and advancing a circular economy by increasing the use of recycled materials in its vehicles. Management is also working to transform the customer experience by exploring direct-to-consumer sales models and strengthening global supply chain resilience, particularly in battery production. BMW aims to maintain its position as a leading premium manufacturer by balancing technological innovation with sustainability and profitability."
Price history
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $67.04 (-70.3% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $226.04 a share — about 289.9% above today's price of $57.98, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $102.7B. Interest coverage 17.8x.
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft is healthier than 0 of 1 peers on balance-sheet leverage.
Total debt $118.65B Interest coverage 17.76x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
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What you should know