One-glance verdict
$28.80 our estimate vs market $3.63
Wall Street consensus: $4.51 (-84.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
87% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
BZUN · NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Current price
$3.63
52-week range
$2.07 - $3.92
Market cap
$210.54M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $4.51 (-84.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
87% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $138.33M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Baozun helps brands sell their products online in China, handling everything from building their online stores to managing sales and delivering items. Their main money comes from these services for brands in areas like clothing and electronics, which is important because it shows how much businesses rely on them to reach Chinese shoppers. They also earn from managing brands' overall presence and getting products to customers efficiently, which involves careful planning of their supply chain (how goods get from where they are made to where they are sold).
"How the company got here": "Baozun Inc. was founded in 2007 in Shanghai, China, by Vincent Wenbin Qiu and Junhua Wu, with the goal of helping global brands establish and grow their e-commerce presence in the Chinese market. The company started by offering end-to-end e-commerce solutions, essentially acting as a digital partner for brands. A significant turning point was its initial public offering (IPO) on the NASDAQ in 2015, followed by a dual listing in Hong Kong, which provided capital for expansion. More recently, Baozun acquired Gap's Greater China operations in early 2023, integrating it into a new business line and signaling a strategic shift towards brand management. This acquisition and strategic evolution have positioned Baozun to navigate the dynamic Chinese e-commerce landscape.", "What it actually does": "Baozun acts as a comprehensive service provider for brands that want to sell their products online in China and other international markets. Think of them as a behind-the-scenes partner that handles all the technical and operational aspects of selling online. This includes setting up and managing online stores, running digital marketing campaigns to attract customers, handling customer service inquiries, and managing the warehousing and delivery of products. Essentially, Baozun allows brands to focus on their products while Baozun takes care of the complexities of e-commerce.", "Baozun E-Commerce (BEC)": "Baozun E-Commerce, or BEC, is Baozun's traditional e-commerce business, primarily focused on mainland China. This segment handles the day-to-day operations of brands' online stores, including managing sales, customer service, and providing services related to logistics (the movement of goods) and supply chain management (how products get from the factory to the customer). BEC also offers IT solutions and digital marketing to help brands reach and engage with online shoppers. This part of Baozun's business is focused on driving sales and ensuring smooth online operations for its brand partners.", "Baozun Brand Management (BBM)": "Baozun Brand Management, or BBM, is a newer and growing part of Baozun's business that focuses on a more holistic approach to managing brands. This segment goes beyond just operating online stores and involves developing brand strategies, planning marketing campaigns, and overseeing retail and e-commerce operations. BBM also handles supply chain and logistics, and uses technology to empower the brands it works with. A key example of this segment's work is managing the Gap brand in China, where Baozun has focused on localization (adapting the brand to the Chinese market) to improve its performance.", "Baozun International (BZI)": "Baozun International, or BZI, is Baozun's e-commerce business that operates outside of mainland China. This segment focuses on helping brands sell their products online in regions such as Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. BZI is a growth area for Baozun, as it expands the company's reach and allows it to tap into new markets. For example, Baozun has introduced brands like Hunter into markets like Singapore and Malaysia through BZI.", "What management is betting on now": "Baozun's management is focused on accelerating its growth through strategic initiatives and technological advancements. A key priority is to improve profitability by focusing on margin expansion (increasing the profit from each sale) and operational efficiency, rather than just increasing sales volume. They are heavily investing in digital tools, including artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics, to enhance their services and make operations more efficient. Baozun is also strengthening its capabilities in 'omni-channel' commerce, which means ensuring a seamless shopping experience for customers across different platforms, including emerging ones like short-video commerce. The company aims to grow its non-GAAP operating profit (a measure of profit that excludes certain expenses) to RMB 550 million by 2028, indicating a strong focus on financial performance."
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $4.51 (-84.3% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $28.80 a share — about 693.3% above today's price of $3.63, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $138.3M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 1.7x.
Baozun Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 1.7 times over. and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $282.87M Interest coverage 1.68x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $4.17M Interest coverage 13.35x +694% vs BZUN Carries about 7.9x more debt cushion than BZUN.
Total debt $5.66M Interest coverage -13.38x -100% vs BZUN This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with BZUN.
Total debt $3.73M Interest coverage 468.59x +27,766% vs BZUN Carries about 278.7x more debt cushion than BZUN.
Total debt $589.89M Interest coverage 7.96x +373% vs BZUN Carries about 4.7x more debt cushion than BZUN.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know