One-glance verdict
$562.85 our estimate vs market $596.08
Wall Street consensus: $811.33 (44.1% higher than our fair-value estimate)
6% above our estimate
Fundamentals snapshot
CASY · NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Current price
$596.08
52-week range
$497.38 - $927.85
Market cap
$22.03B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $811.33 (44.1% higher than our fair-value estimate)
6% above our estimate
Balance sheet
Net debt $2.36B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Casey's operates a chain of convenience stores and gas stations, making money from selling both fuel and in-store items like their popular pizza. While gasoline sales bring in a lot of revenue, the company's financial success is heavily driven by its prepared food and drinks, which have much higher profit margins (the percentage of each sale that the company keeps as profit). This is important because it means Casey's uses low-profit gas to attract customers who then spend money on the high-profit items inside the store.
Casey's started in 1968 when founder Don Lamberti converted a single gas station in Boone, Iowa, into a convenience store. His strategy was to serve small towns that bigger retailers often ignored, creating a community hub. A major turning point came in 1984 when Casey's started selling fresh, made-from-scratch pizza, which transformed the business from just a gas-and-go stop into a popular food destination. This food-first focus, especially in rural areas, allowed the company to grow steadily across the Midwest and eventually become a publicly traded company in 1983, funding further expansion.
Casey's operates a chain of convenience stores, which are like small neighborhood shops combined with a gas station. You'd recognize them as places to fill up your car with gasoline, and also run inside to grab a wide variety of items. These include drinks, snacks, grocery items like milk and bread, and health products. A big part of what makes Casey's different is that they have their own kitchens inside, where they prepare fresh foods like pizza, donuts, and sandwiches.
The most visible part of the business is selling gasoline and diesel fuel at the pump outside its stores. While selling fuel brings in the largest portion of the company's total revenue (the total amount of money collected), it's a low-margin business, meaning the profit on each gallon sold is relatively small. The main purpose of fuel sales is to draw customers to the location. The hope is that once you're there to fill up your tank, you'll also go inside the store to buy other things.
This is the company's most profitable business and what makes it unique among convenience stores. Inside its stores, Casey's operates kitchens that make and sell items like their famous pizza, breakfast sandwiches, and donuts, along with fountain drinks and coffee. This segment is a huge focus for the company because it has high margins (the profit earned on each item is much larger compared to fuel). In fact, Casey's is one of the largest pizza chains in the United States because of this successful model.
This part of the business includes all the other items you'd find on the shelves inside a Casey's store. This includes packaged snacks, candy, beer, soft drinks, and tobacco products, as well as everyday essentials like health and beauty aids. While these items don't have profits as high as the prepared foods, they are more profitable than gasoline sales. This segment provides a convenient one-stop-shop for customers, encouraging them to spend more once they are inside.
Management's current strategy focuses on three main goals to grow the business. First, they are heavily investing in their prepared foods, adding new items like chicken wings to the menu and expanding their own private-brand products. Second, Casey's plans to continue expanding its number of stores, aiming to add at least 400 new locations through both building new stores and acquiring (buying) smaller chains. Finally, they are focused on using technology to improve how they run their stores, from better inventory management to enhancing the customer experience through their mobile app and rewards program.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $811.33 (44.1% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $562.85 a share — about 5.6% away from today's price of $596.08, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $2.4B. Interest coverage 10.7x.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. is healthier than 0 of 1 peers on balance-sheet leverage.
Total debt $2.89B Interest coverage 10.70x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know