One-glance verdict
$658.48 our estimate vs market $40.10
Wall Street consensus: $53.00 (-92.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
94% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
CENT · NMS · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Current price
$40.10
52-week range
$28.77 - $46.97
Market cap
$2.51B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $53.00 (-92.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
94% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $411.88M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Central Garden & Pet sells popular products for pets and gardens, such as Nylabone dog toys and Pennington grass seed, primarily through big retail stores like Walmart and Home Depot. The company's success is tied to how much people are willing to spend on their pets and yards, which can change with the economy. A key factor for its profits is managing its supply chain (the entire process of getting products made and delivered to stores), as efficiently moving a wide variety of goods is essential to keeping costs low.
Central Garden & Pet started in 1955 as a small garden supply distributor in California. A major turning point came in 1980 when William E. Brown bought the company and began a period of significant growth. Through a series of acquisitions (buying other companies), it expanded from a regional distributor to a national supplier and eventually added pet supplies to its business, officially becoming Central Garden & Pet in 1992. Over the years, it has purchased many well-known brands like Pennington Seed, Nylabone, and Kaytee, shifting its focus from just distributing products to owning and marketing its own brands.
Central Garden & Pet makes and sells a wide variety of products for your pets and your yard. Think of them as a company that provides many of the items you'd find in a pet store or garden center. They sell these products under many different brand names to big-box retailers, grocery stores, and online sellers. So, while you might not see the name "Central Garden & Pet" on the bag of dog food or grass seed you buy, there's a good chance they made it.
This is the larger of the company's two main business areas, making up more than half of its sales. This segment provides almost everything a pet owner might need, from dog treats and toys under brands like Cadet and Nylabone to aquarium supplies from Aqueon and food for birds and small animals from Kaytee. They even sell live fish and small animals to pet stores. Essentially, this part of the business profits from selling a huge range of supplies that pet owners regularly purchase to care for their animals.
The Garden segment sells products to help people take care of their lawns and gardens. This includes well-known brands like Pennington for grass seed and wild bird feed, Ferry-Morse for vegetable and flower seeds, and Amdro and Sevin for insect and weed control. This business is more seasonal, with a large portion of its sales happening in the spring. Homeowners, gardeners, and bird-watching enthusiasts are the main customers who buy these products to beautify their yards and control pests.
The company's current strategy, called "Central to Home," focuses on growing its existing popular brands and acquiring new ones to build a stronger portfolio. They are also working on becoming more efficient to improve their margins (the profit made on each dollar of sales) and fuel further growth. A key part of their plan is to partner closely with major retailers and expand their online sales presence. Management is essentially betting that by owning strong brands and being a reliable partner to stores, they can continue to be a leader in the stable and growing pet and garden markets.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $53.00 (-92.0% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $658.48 a share — about 1,542.1% above today's price of $40.10, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $411.9M. Interest coverage 4.3x.
Central Garden & Pet Company's profit covers its interest bill about 4.3 times over.
Total debt $1.41B Interest coverage 4.33x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $2.49B Interest coverage 3.28x -24% vs CENT Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than CENT.
Total debt $493.66M Interest coverage 5.36x +24% vs CENT Carries about 1.2x more debt cushion than CENT.
Total debt $748.20M Interest coverage 4.98x +15% vs CENT Has roughly the same debt cushion as CENT.
Total debt $6.54B Interest coverage 21.22x +390% vs CENT Carries about 4.9x more debt cushion than CENT.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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What you should know