One-glance verdict
$7.50 our estimate vs market $12.02
Wall Street consensus: $14.93 (98.9% higher than our fair-value estimate)
60% above our estimate
Fundamentals snapshot
CRESY · NMS · Industrials · Conglomerates
Current price
$12.02
52-week range
$8.45 - $14.21
Market cap
$852.52M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $14.93 (98.9% higher than our fair-value estimate)
60% above our estimate
Balance sheet
Net debt $922.32M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Cresud is an Argentinian company that makes money from both farming and real estate across Latin America. The company grows and sells major crops like soybeans and corn and raises cattle for meat, while also owning and leasing out properties like shopping malls and office buildings. This means its financial success is tied to two different areas: the prices of agricultural goods and the health of the urban real estate market.
Cresud was founded in 1936 in Argentina, originally to manage land for a Belgian financial company. [4, 6] In the 1960s, it shifted its focus entirely to farming and agriculture. [6] A major turning point came in 1994 when new leadership took over, backed by prominent investors, and began to significantly expand its land holdings. [6] The company started trading its shares on the American NASDAQ stock exchange in 1997, and in the 2000s, it expanded beyond Argentina into other South American countries like Brazil, Bolivia, and Paraguay. [4, 12]
Cresud is mainly a large-scale farming company that operates in several South American countries. [3, 4] It grows crops like soybeans and corn, raises cattle for beef, and produces sugarcane. [2] Think of them as a massive farm operator that also acts as a real estate investor for farmland, buying, improving, and sometimes selling large properties. [3] Separately, through a company it controls, Cresud also owns and manages city properties like shopping malls, office buildings, and hotels. [1, 2]
This is Cresud's main business, making up the majority of its sales. [23] It involves growing crops and raising cattle on hundreds of thousands of acres of land the company owns or leases in Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, and Paraguay. [1, 26] The company makes money by selling these products, like grains and meat, to food producers and on the global commodity markets (markets where raw materials are bought and sold). [3] A key part of this segment is also buying large farms, making them more productive, and then sometimes selling the land itself for a profit. [7]
This part of the company operates through Cresud's majority ownership in another company, IRSA, which is a major real estate player in Argentina. [4, 10] This business owns and manages properties you would recognize in a city, such as shopping malls, office towers, and hotels. [5] It earns money by collecting rent from stores in its malls and companies in its office buildings, as well as from hotel guest stays. [10] This segment provides a different and generally steadier stream of income than the more cyclical farming business. [9]
Management's strategy focuses on balancing its two different businesses to better withstand economic ups and downs. [9] They are continuing to expand their agricultural operations across South America, which helps in diversifying risk (reducing the negative effect if one region has bad weather or a poor harvest). [13] A core belief is that farmland is a valuable long-term asset, so they focus on improving their properties to increase their value over time. [3] The company also aims to manage its debt carefully and provide returns to its shareholders (the owners of the company's stock) through dividends (a portion of the company's profits paid out to investors). [3, 23]
Price history
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $14.93 (98.9% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $7.50 a share — about 37.6% away from today's price of $12.02, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $922.3M. Interest coverage 2.3x.
Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria's profit covers its interest bill about 2.3 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $1.44B Interest coverage 2.30x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $2.33B Interest coverage 0.60x -74% vs CRESY Carries about 3.8x less debt cushion than CRESY.
Total debt $278.06M Interest coverage -0.45x -100% vs CRESY This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with CRESY.
Total debt $224.31M Interest coverage 2.39x +4% vs CRESY Has roughly the same debt cushion as CRESY.
Total debt $486.76M Interest coverage 1.23x -47% vs CRESY Carries about 1.9x less debt cushion than CRESY.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know