One-glance verdict
$187.88 our estimate vs market $73.65
Wall Street consensus: $83.54 (-55.5% lower than our fair-value estimate)
61% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
GIB · NYQ · Technology · Information Technology Services
Current price
$73.65
52-week range
$59.63 - $97.11
Market cap
$15.25B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $83.54 (-55.5% lower than our fair-value estimate)
61% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $2.77B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
CGI is a global technology consulting company that helps other businesses and governments manage their computer systems and software. The company earns most of its money from long-term contracts to provide these essential services, which creates a steady stream of recurring revenue (predictable income from ongoing client agreements). This business model is important because it makes CGI's sales less dependent on one-time projects and more stable over time.
CGI started in 1976 in a basement in Quebec, Canada, with just two founders. Their growth strategy, which they call “Build and Buy,” involves winning new projects while also purchasing other companies to expand their reach and skills. A few key acquisitions were transformative: buying American Management Systems (AMS) in 2004 doubled their U.S. presence, and acquiring Stanley Inc. in 2010 deepened their work with the U.S. government. The biggest turning point was buying Logica, a large European competitor, in 2012, which more than doubled their workforce and made them one of the world's largest independent IT firms.
Think of CGI as a team of expert mechanics and advisors for the complex technology and business operations of huge organizations like governments, banks, and healthcare providers. They don't sell physical products you'd see in a store; instead, they provide services to help these large entities run more smoothly. This could mean anything from building a new online system for a government agency to managing a bank's entire computer network or providing advice on how to become more efficient. Their main goal is to handle the complicated tech and business processes so their clients can focus on their own core missions.
This is CGI's largest line of business, making up more than half of its revenue. In this area, clients hire CGI to take over and run a part of their operations on a long-term basis, a practice known as outsourcing (hiring an outside firm to handle internal tasks). For example, a company might pay CGI to manage its cybersecurity, run its payroll systems, or handle its customer service centers. This provides CGI with a steady and predictable stream of income because these are often multi-year contracts.
This part of the business is focused on specific, project-based work rather than long-term management. Here, a client hires CGI to solve a particular problem or build something new, like creating a custom software application, upgrading an old computer system, or advising on a major business change. For instance, a city government might hire CGI to build a new public transportation app or a manufacturing company might ask for help making its supply chain (the network for producing and delivering products) more efficient. This work is less predictable than managed services but allows CGI to solve a wide variety of client challenges.
The company's core strategy continues to be what they call “Build and Buy.” The “Build” part focuses on deepening relationships with current clients and selling them more services, particularly in high-demand areas like artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and cybersecurity. The “Buy” part involves continuing to acquire smaller, specialized companies to quickly gain new technologies and expertise. Management is essentially betting that by combining steady growth from existing customers with strategic purchases, they can stay ahead in the rapidly changing technology landscape.
Price history
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $83.54 (-55.5% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $187.88 a share — about 155.1% above today's price of $73.65, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $2.8B. Interest coverage 21.9x.
CGI Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 21.9 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $3.23B Interest coverage 21.94x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $8.39B Interest coverage 47.43x +116% vs GIB Carries about 2.2x more debt cushion than GIB.
Total debt $2.09B Interest coverage 89.92x +310% vs GIB Carries about 4.1x more debt cushion than GIB.
Total debt $6.58B Interest coverage 10.34x -53% vs GIB Carries about 2.1x less debt cushion than GIB.
Total debt $5.38B Interest coverage 4.27x -81% vs GIB Carries about 5.1x less debt cushion than GIB.
Total debt $923.00M Interest coverage 87.00x +296% vs GIB Carries about 4.0x more debt cushion than GIB.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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What you should know