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Fundamentals snapshot

Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.

HPP · NYQ · Real Estate · REIT - Office

Current price

$9.41

52-week range

$5.26 - $17.20

Market cap

$510.67M

One-glance verdict

Overvalued

$-30.32 our estimate vs market $9.41

Wall Street consensus: $15.73 (-151.9% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Distressed

-0.26x Concerning

Net debt $3.54B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.

Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (HPP) owns and manages office buildings and movie studios, primarily on the West Coast. They make money by renting out these spaces to big companies, mainly in tech and media, which is a steady way to earn income. This business model is important because it provides a reliable stream of rental income, similar to how your rent check comes in regularly, which helps the company pay its bills and potentially grow.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Revenue $181.85M
Net income —
Diluted EPS -0.82
Operating cash flow $44.29M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $256.03M
Net income —
Diluted EPS -11.57
Operating cash flow $59.30M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $186.62M
Net income —
Diluted EPS -0.30
Operating cash flow $33.18M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $190.00M
Net income —
Diluted EPS -0.41
Operating cash flow $-2.04M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $198.46M
Net income —
Diluted EPS -0.53
Operating cash flow $30.54M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $209.67M
Net income —
Diluted EPS -1.19
Operating cash flow $162.00K
Free cash flow —
Revenue $200.39M
Net income —
Diluted EPS -0.69
Operating cash flow $63.74M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $218.00M
Net income —
Diluted EPS -0.33
Operating cash flow $35.62M
Free cash flow —

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $-30.32 vs current price $9.41

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $15.73 (-151.9% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $-30.32 a share — about 422.3% below today's price of $9.41, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).

overvalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 3.0% · Discount 12.7% · Terminal 2.5%

$-30.32

Bear

Growth 2.5% · Discount 12.7% · Terminal 2.5%

$-31.22

Bull

Growth 10.0% · Discount 12.7% · Terminal 2.5%

$-15.10

Is it drowning in debt?

Distressed

Net debt $3.5B. Interest coverage -0.3x.

Net debt $3.54B
Interest coverage -0.26x

Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Distressed
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
HPP BASELINE Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.

Total debt $3.72B Interest coverage -0.26x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $4.50B Interest coverage 2.46x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while HPP does not.

Total debt $5.74B Interest coverage 0.71x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while HPP does not.

Total debt $17.33B Interest coverage 1.55x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while HPP does not.

Total debt $13.25B Interest coverage 2.45x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while HPP does not.

Total debt $2.43B Interest coverage 0.58x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while HPP does not.

What you should know

The case for and against HPP

1 Reward 2 Risks

Rewards

  • Free cash flow was positive in 4/10 years.

Risks

  • Return on equity was -20.9% last year — the company lost money on shareholders' equity.
  • Operating margin compressed from 15.6% to -4.7% over 3 years.

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
—
Forward P/E
-3.56x
P/B
0.23x
P/S
0.63x
EV/EBITDA
14.75x
PEG ratio
6.93x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
49.6%
Operating margin
-4.7%
Net margin
-78.4%
ROE
-20.9%
ROA
0.1%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
1.32x
Current ratio
1.63x
Quick ratio
1.21x
Total debt
$3.72B
Total cash
$179.80M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$814.50M
Revenue 5Y CAGR
-1.9%
EPS TTM
-10.87
EPS 5Y CAGR
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Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$134.73M
Free CF TTM
$98.91M
FCF margin
12.1%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
2,500.0%
Last ex-div date
2024-06-17