One-glance verdict
$300.61 our estimate vs market $175.64
Wall Street consensus: $197.05 (-34.5% lower than our fair-value estimate)
42% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
HSY · NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners
Current price
$175.64
52-week range
$156.16 - $239.48
Market cap
$35.29B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $197.05 (-34.5% lower than our fair-value estimate)
42% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $5.13B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Hershey's makes and sells delicious treats like chocolate bars and snacks that people enjoy all over the world. Most of its money comes from selling these popular products, and its success matters because it shows how well the company is doing at meeting people's sweet cravings. This is a good indicator of their overall business health, similar to how we might look at how busy a local bakery is to understand if it's doing well.
The Hershey Company was founded in 1894 by Milton S. Hershey, who initially found success with caramels before pivoting to chocolate. He believed chocolate was a permanent confection, unlike caramels, and established the Hershey Chocolate Company as a subsidiary of his caramel business. By 1900, he sold his caramel company to focus entirely on chocolate, and by 1905, he had built a massive chocolate manufacturing plant in Derry Township, Pennsylvania, which led to the development of the town of Hershey around it. The Hershey Trust Company, established in 1905, still holds a controlling voting interest in the company today and has historically blocked acquisition attempts.
Hershey is a company that makes and sells a wide variety of confectionery and snack products. Think of all the candy bars, chocolate treats, chewing gums, mints, and even some snack items like popcorn and pretzels that you see in stores – many of those come from Hershey. They sell these products under many well-known brand names, both in the United States and in about 65 other countries around the world.
This is Hershey's largest business segment, focusing on chocolate and non-chocolate candies, as well as gum and mints, primarily in the United States and Canada. It's the heart of the company's traditional offerings, including iconic brands like Hershey's, Reese's, and Kit Kat (in the U.S.). This segment also encompasses related items like protein bars and pantry products such as baking ingredients and beverages.
This segment is dedicated to Hershey's ventures into the salty snack market within the United States. It includes a range of products like popcorn (such as SkinnyPop), pretzels (like Dot's Homestyle Pretzels), and other snack mixes. This part of the business is about expanding beyond traditional sweets into broader snacking categories.
This segment covers all of Hershey's business operations outside of North America. It includes sales and manufacturing in regions like Mexico, Brazil, India, and Malaysia, serving consumers in those areas and exporting to many other countries. While not as large as the North American segments, it represents Hershey's efforts to grow its brands globally.
Hershey's current strategy, which they call 'Lead Next Generation Snacking,' involves strengthening their core candy business while also significantly expanding into other snacking areas, including salty and functional snacks like protein bars. They are investing in their brands, using technology and AI to improve operations and their supply chain, and aiming for greater efficiency. The goal is to be a more integrated snacking company that can adapt quickly to changing consumer tastes and preferences.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $197.05 (-34.5% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $300.61 a share — about 71.2% above today's price of $175.64, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $5.1B. Interest coverage 6.5x.
The Hershey Company's profit covers its interest bill about 6.5 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $5.92B Interest coverage 6.50x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $22.06B Interest coverage 6.04x -7% vs HSY Has roughly the same debt cushion as HSY.
Total debt $76.54B Interest coverage 7.67x +18% vs HSY Carries about 1.2x more debt cushion than HSY.
Total debt $13.62B Interest coverage 4.93x -24% vs HSY Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than HSY.
Total debt $13.29M Interest coverage 225.81x +3,372% vs HSY Carries about 34.7x more debt cushion than HSY.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
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Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know