One-glance verdict
$92.24 our estimate vs market $229.16
Wall Street consensus: $337.74 (266.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
148% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
HWM · NYQ · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Current price
$229.16
52-week range
$182.78 - $310.00
Market cap
$91.39B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $337.74 (266.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
148% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $4.10B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Howmet Aerospace makes highly engineered parts for airplanes and commercial trucks, like fan blades for jet engines, specialized fasteners, and durable, lightweight wheels. The company earns most of its money from the aerospace industry, selling critical components to major plane manufacturers. This means Howmet's success is closely tied to the demand for new aircraft, which often increases as more people travel and more goods are shipped globally.
Howmet Aerospace's story begins with the aluminum giant Alcoa, which was founded in 1888. In 2016, Alcoa separated its business into two companies: a new Alcoa Corporation and Arconic Inc., which held the businesses that made specialized, engineered products. Just a few years later, in 2020, Arconic itself split into two, creating the modern Howmet Aerospace. This final move was designed to let Howmet Aerospace focus entirely on making high-tech, specialized parts for the aerospace and transportation industries.
Think of Howmet Aerospace as a specialty manufacturer of critical metal parts that have to withstand extreme stress and temperatures. You won't find their products on store shelves, but they are essential components inside airplanes and large trucks. The company makes everything from the blades inside a jet engine to the special fasteners holding an airplane's body together and the strong, lightweight aluminum wheels on big-rig trucks. Their expertise is in creating precisely engineered solutions where failure is not an option, which is why their business is so focused on the aerospace and defense industries.
This is Howmet's largest and most important business, making up more than half of the company's revenue. It manufactures the sophisticated parts found in the hottest sections of jet engines and industrial gas turbines, which are used to generate power. These parts include airfoils (the complex, sculpted blades that spin inside an engine) and seamless rolled rings that form the engine's structure. Major engine makers for commercial and military aircraft are the primary customers for this segment.
This division is the world leader in making the high-tech nuts, bolts, and special fasteners that hold an aircraft together from nose to tail. These aren't ordinary fasteners; they are precision-engineered components designed to be incredibly strong and reliable under the demanding conditions of flight. Beyond airplanes, this segment also produces fasteners for commercial trucks, industrial equipment, and even wind turbines. Customers include major aircraft manufacturers and their suppliers.
This part of the company creates large, structural components for aircraft, such as parts for the airframe, wings, and landing gear. They specialize in working with advanced materials like titanium and nickel-based alloys to produce strong, lightweight forgings and other complex parts. This segment serves both commercial airplane builders and defense contractors, providing the essential skeleton and structural supports for modern aircraft.
This segment invented the first forged aluminum truck wheel and is now a global leader in that market. It makes lightweight, durable aluminum wheels for heavy-duty trucks, trailers, and buses under the well-known Alcoa Wheels brand. The main customers are large truck manufacturers and commercial transportation fleets, who buy these wheels to save fuel (because they are lighter than steel) and reduce maintenance.
The company's current strategy is heavily focused on the growing demand in the commercial aerospace market as more new, fuel-efficient airplanes are built. Management is investing in expanding the company's production capacity (the ability to make more products) for its most in-demand engine parts and fasteners to meet this need. They are also focused on growing their aftermarket business, which involves selling replacement parts for existing aircraft, a steady and profitable source of revenue. The company also sees opportunities in the defense market and with industrial gas turbines used for power generation.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $337.74 (266.2% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $92.24 a share — about 59.7% below today's price of $229.16, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $4.1B. Interest coverage 14.1x.
Howmet Aerospace Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 14.1 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here.
Total debt $4.66B Interest coverage 14.11x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $33.49B Interest coverage 2.66x -81% vs HWM Carries about 5.3x less debt cushion than HWM.
Total debt $2.54B Interest coverage 7.85x -44% vs HWM Carries about 1.8x less debt cushion than HWM.
Total debt $1.38B Interest coverage 10.48x -26% vs HWM Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than HWM.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
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What you should know