One-glance verdict
$175.17 our estimate vs market $101.26
Wall Street consensus: $121.50 (-30.6% lower than our fair-value estimate)
42% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
INGR · NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Current price
$101.26
52-week range
$94.44 - $128.63
Market cap
$6.39B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $121.50 (-30.6% lower than our fair-value estimate)
42% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $831.00M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Ingredion turns crops like corn into specialty ingredients such as starches and sweeteners, which are used in everything from yogurt and candy to paper and medicine. The company makes money by selling these essential components to other large businesses that create the final products you buy in stores. Because its ingredients are fundamental to so many everyday items, Ingredion is a critical part of the supply chain (the network of companies involved in creating and distributing a product) for the food and industrial sectors.
Ingredion started over a century ago in 1906, originally named the Corn Products Refining Company. For decades, it focused on turning corn into familiar pantry items like Mazola corn oil and Karo syrup. Over time, the company expanded across the globe and began using other plants, not just corn, to create ingredients. To reflect this broader focus, it changed its name to Ingredion in 2012 and has since acquired smaller companies to build expertise in more specialized, high-value ingredients.
Ingredion is a company that makes the ingredients other companies use to produce everyday items. It takes raw materials like corn, potatoes, fruits, and vegetables and processes them into starches, sweeteners, and texturizers. You won't find the Ingredion brand in your grocery aisle, but their ingredients are in the foods you eat, the beverages you drink, and even in products like paper, medicines, and lotions. Essentially, they provide the components that make crackers crunchy, yogurt creamy, candy sweet, or tissues soft and strong.
This is Ingredion's global business focused on creating specialized ingredients that improve a product's feel or nutritional value. This segment develops solutions that make foods thicker or creamier, or help reduce sugar and add fiber. Companies pay Ingredion for these premium ingredients to meet consumer demands for healthier, 'clean label' products (products with simple, recognizable ingredients). This is the company's main area for growth and innovation.
This part of the business sells a wide range of ingredients, including foundational starches and sweeteners, to customers in the United States and Canada. The customers are large food and beverage makers, as well as companies in industrial sectors like paper and packaging. This is a high-volume business that provides the steady, reliable cash flow (money coming in from sales after subtracting the costs to run the business) that helps fund investments in other, faster-growing parts of the company.
Similar to its U.S./Canada counterpart, this segment serves customers across Latin America. It supplies essential ingredients derived from corn and other plants to a variety of industries, from bakeries and beverage makers to brewers. This business leverages Ingredion's long-standing manufacturing presence in the region to provide localized products and support. It is a significant contributor to the company's overall sales and profits.
Management's main strategy is to focus on selling more high-value specialty ingredients from its Texture & Healthful Solutions business. They are betting that consumer demand for healthier foods, such as those with less sugar or more plant-based protein, will continue to grow. The company is investing heavily in innovation to create these specialized ingredients. The plan is to use the profits from their traditional ingredient businesses to fuel this shift toward more profitable, solution-oriented products.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $121.50 (-30.6% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $175.17 a share — about 73.0% above today's price of $101.26, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $831.0M. Interest coverage 28.0x.
Ingredion Incorporated's profit covers its interest bill about 28.0 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here.
Total debt $1.78B Interest coverage 28.03x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $9.34B Interest coverage 2.33x -92% vs INGR Carries about 12.0x less debt cushion than INGR.
Total debt $17.06B Interest coverage 2.06x -93% vs INGR Carries about 13.6x less debt cushion than INGR.
Total debt $1.29B Interest coverage 4.28x -85% vs INGR Carries about 6.5x less debt cushion than INGR.
Total debt $6.28B Interest coverage 3.68x -87% vs INGR Carries about 7.6x less debt cushion than INGR.
Total debt $3.28B Interest coverage 10.19x -64% vs INGR Carries about 2.7x less debt cushion than INGR.
What you should know
The numbers
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What you should know