One-glance verdict
$192.67 our estimate vs market $96.14
Wall Street consensus: $119.50 (-38.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
50% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
INGR · NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Current price
$96.14
52-week range
$93.72 - $123.49
Market cap
$6.06B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $119.50 (-38.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
50% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $831.00M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Ingredion takes plants like corn and turns them into specialized ingredients, such as sweeteners and starches, for other businesses to use. These ingredients are essential building blocks for a huge variety of everyday products, from soft drinks and snacks to paper and laundry detergents. Because its products are a necessary part of so many different customer supply chains (the network of companies involved in creating and distributing a product), Ingredion's business is tied to the broad demand for consumer goods.
Ingredion started over 100 years ago as Corn Products Refining Company in 1906, initially focused on products from corn like cornstarch and corn syrup. A key turning point was the acquisition of National Starch in 2010, which significantly expanded its business into more specialized ingredients. To better reflect its broader focus beyond just corn products, the company changed its name from Corn Products International to Ingredion in 2012. Over the years, it has grown by purchasing other companies to add new technologies and expand into different parts of the world.
Ingredion takes raw materials like corn, potatoes, tapioca, and other plants and turns them into ingredients that other companies use to make everyday products. You might not see the Ingredion name on a product at the grocery store, but their ingredients are in many things you buy, from food and drinks to paper and personal care items. For example, their starches can make crackers crunchier and yogurt creamier, while their sweeteners are used in beverages and candies. They also make ingredients for industrial uses, like making paper stronger or creating biodegradable plastics.
This is Ingredion's global business focused on creating ingredients that improve the feel and nutritional quality of foods. This segment develops specialty starches, plant-based proteins, and ingredients for sugar reduction that food and beverage makers buy to create products that are healthier or have a more appealing texture. This is a major growth area for the company, representing a significant portion of their business as they shift towards more profitable, specialized products. Companies pay Ingredion for these ingredients to make things like gluten-free foods, low-sugar drinks, or creamy, plant-based yogurts.
This part of the company sells a wide range of starches and sweeteners to customers in Latin America. These ingredients are used by food and beverage manufacturers in products like baked goods, drinks, and candy. This segment has a long history in the region and serves both large multinational companies and smaller local producers. It represents a substantial portion of Ingredion's business in that part of the world.
Similar to its Latin American counterpart, this segment focuses on selling starches and sweeteners in the United States and Canada. Its customers are in various industries, including food and beverage, brewing, and paper manufacturing. For example, a company that makes corrugated boxes might buy starches from Ingredion to use as an adhesive. This is a core part of their business that generates significant cash flow (the money left over after the costs of running the business).
Management is focused on growing its specialty ingredients business, particularly in areas like texture and 'clean-label' (products with simple, natural-sounding ingredients) solutions. They are also investing in plant-based proteins and ingredients that help other companies reduce the sugar in their products. The company's strategy is to shift from selling basic ingredients to providing more customized solutions that help their customers solve specific product development challenges. This involves working closely with customers in their innovation labs to co-create new products.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $119.50 (-38.0% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $192.67 a share — about 100.4% above today's price of $96.14, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $831.0M. Interest coverage 28.0x.
Ingredion Incorporated's profit covers its interest bill about 28.0 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here.
Total debt $1.78B Interest coverage 28.03x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $9.34B Interest coverage 2.33x -92% vs INGR Carries about 12.0x less debt cushion than INGR.
Total debt $17.06B Interest coverage 2.06x -93% vs INGR Carries about 13.6x less debt cushion than INGR.
Total debt $1.29B Interest coverage 4.28x -85% vs INGR Carries about 6.5x less debt cushion than INGR.
Total debt $6.28B Interest coverage 3.68x -87% vs INGR Carries about 7.6x less debt cushion than INGR.
Total debt $3.17B Interest coverage 10.19x -64% vs INGR Carries about 2.7x less debt cushion than INGR.
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