One-glance verdict
$12.96 our estimate vs market $10.85
Wall Street consensus: $10.50 (-19.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
16% below our estimate
Fundamentals snapshot
INNV · NMS · Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Current price
$10.85
52-week range
$3.94 - $12.64
Market cap
$1.48B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $10.50 (-19.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
16% below our estimate
Balance sheet
Net cash $54.38M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
InnovAge provides a complete package of healthcare and support services to older adults, helping them live at home instead of moving into a nursing home. The company makes its money from fixed monthly payments from government programs for each person it cares for, which creates a steady and predictable income stream. This model is important because it allows the company to focus on preventative care to keep seniors healthy and costs down over the long term.
Founded in 1989, InnovAge started as a non-profit organization focused on helping seniors live independently. A key turning point was its conversion to a for-profit company, which allowed it to raise more money for growth. This led to its initial public offering (IPO, the first time a company sells its stock to the public) in March 2021, raising $350 million. Today, InnovAge is the largest provider in the country of a specific type of senior care program called PACE, based on the number of people it serves.
InnovAge provides complete healthcare services for frail seniors who are eligible for nursing home care but prefer to live in their own homes. Think of it as a one-stop shop for all of a senior's health needs, combining the services of a doctor's office, physical therapy, and social support all in one. The company operates centers where participants can receive medical care, meals, and socialize, and also provides transportation and in-home assistance. The goal is to provide better care at a lower cost by preventing expensive hospital stays and nursing home admissions.
The company operates entirely through the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE), a model that provides comprehensive medical and social services to eligible seniors. Instead of billing for each individual service, InnovAge receives a fixed monthly payment per participant from government programs like Medicare and Medicaid. This payment model, known as capitation (a fixed fee per person), covers all of the person's healthcare costs, from doctor visits and medications to in-home help and transportation. Because InnovAge is responsible for the total cost of care, it is focused on keeping seniors healthy and preventing more serious and expensive health issues.
Management's current strategy focuses on growing by increasing the number of seniors enrolled in its existing centers and making those centers more efficient. They are also looking to expand into new states and areas where their services are needed. The company is also investing in technology to better coordinate care and improve the experience for its participants. Another key priority is exploring partnerships and acquisitions of other senior care providers to accelerate its growth.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $10.50 (-19.0% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $12.96 a share — about 19.5% away from today's price of $10.85, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $54.4M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 1.4x.
InnovAge Holding Corp.'s profit covers its interest bill about 1.4 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $86.95M Interest coverage 1.36x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $108.82M Interest coverage 10.18x +651% vs INNV Carries about 7.5x more debt cushion than INNV.
Total debt $1.51B Interest coverage 1.94x +43% vs INNV Carries about 1.4x more debt cushion than INNV.
Total debt $1.27B Interest coverage 6.19x +357% vs INNV Carries about 4.6x more debt cushion than INNV.
Total debt $2.25B Interest coverage 53.24x +3,828% vs INNV Carries about 39.3x more debt cushion than INNV.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know