One-glance verdict
$4.97 our estimate vs market $0.75
Wall Street consensus: $9.00 (81.1% higher than our fair-value estimate)
85% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
INTZ · NCM · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Current price
$0.75
52-week range
$0.59 - $2.27
Market cap
$18.41M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $9.00 (81.1% higher than our fair-value estimate)
85% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $4.61M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Intrusion is a cybersecurity company that helps governments and businesses protect their computer systems from internet threats. It earns money mainly by selling subscriptions to its software, which acts like a security guard by automatically blocking dangerous connections. This focus on subscriptions is key because it aims to generate recurring revenue (income that comes in regularly, like a Netflix subscription), which can make a company's sales more predictable.
Intrusion was founded way back in 1983, originally named Optical Data Systems, and started out by making computer networking equipment. In the late 1990s, as the internet grew, the company shifted its focus to cybersecurity to protect those networks. It officially changed its name to Intrusion in 2001 and has since concentrated on protecting companies and government agencies from online threats. A key recent change was in 2020 and 2021 when new leadership refocused the company on its current main product, INTRUSION Shield.
Intrusion is a cybersecurity company that acts like a security guard for a company's computer network. For decades, it has been collecting a massive library of information on the good and bad actors on the internet, tracking the reputation of billions of Internet Protocol (IP) addresses (the unique address for a device on the internet). The company uses this huge database to help its customers, which include U.S. government agencies and various businesses, block online threats before they can cause damage. Instead of just sounding an alarm after a break-in, Intrusion's goal is to stop the intruder at the door.
The company makes all of its money by selling cybersecurity products and related services under one main business line. Its main product is called INTRUSION Shield, a subscription service that monitors a customer's network traffic and automatically blocks connections from known or suspicious sources. It also offers tools like TraceCop, which is like a detective's kit for investigating cyber threats, and Savant, for real-time network monitoring. Customers, primarily in the United States, pay for these software solutions and for expert consulting services to help set up and manage their network security.
Management is focused on growing by combining its technology with a company it recently acquired, VigilAigent, to create a stronger, all-in-one cybersecurity platform. A major goal is to increase its annual recurring revenue (the predictable income from subscriptions) by selling to both commercial businesses and its traditional government customers. They are also heavily focused on selling through partners, like managed service providers (companies that manage IT services for other businesses), to reach more customers. By integrating their products and cutting overlapping costs, the company aims to reach profitability (the point where it earns more money than it spends).
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $9.00 (81.1% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $4.97 a share — about 561.3% above today's price of $0.75, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $4.6M. Interest coverage -113.1x.
Intrusion Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here and 4 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $4.79M Interest coverage -113.14x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $3.81M Interest coverage -1,171.65x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $861.85K Interest coverage -71.19x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $4.49M Interest coverage -0.95x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $5.80M Interest coverage -1,027.65x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $2.77M Interest coverage 9.29x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while INTZ does not.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know