One-glance verdict
$284.71 our estimate vs market $79.09
Wall Street consensus: $91.15 (-68.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
72% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
JOYY · NMS · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Current price
$79.09
52-week range
$54.24 - $85.15
Market cap
$3.87B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $91.15 (-68.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
72% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $1.31B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
JOYY Inc. provides social platforms like Bigo Live for live streaming and Likee for short videos, primarily making money from user engagement and advertising. This matters because their ability to keep users active and attract advertisers directly impacts their earnings and future growth. They also offer communication tools like imo and e-commerce solutions through Shopline, creating a broad "ecosystem" (a network of interconnected businesses and services) that aims to keep users within their platforms.
1. "How the company got here" JOYY Inc. started in 2005 as YY Inc., initially focusing on gaming portals and audio-based interactive platforms in China. A significant turning point was its NASDAQ listing in 2012, which provided capital for global expansion. The company rebranded to JOYY Inc. in December 2019, signaling a broader international focus beyond its Chinese origins. This evolution reflects a strategic shift from a domestic social media player to a global technology company with a diverse portfolio of social products. 2. "What it actually does" JOYY Inc. is a global technology company that operates a suite of social media and communication platforms. These platforms allow users worldwide to interact in real-time through live streaming, short videos, instant messaging, and casual games. The company leverages artificial intelligence (AI) and data-driven technologies to personalize user experiences and enhance its services. JOYY's mission is to enrich lives through technology, connecting hundreds of millions of users across more than 150 countries. 3. "BIGO" The BIGO segment is JOYY's largest business, primarily focused on social entertainment platforms. Its flagship products include Bigo Live, a social live streaming platform where users can broadcast and watch live sessions, and Likee, a short-form video social platform. This segment also includes imo, an instant messenger that offers audio and video communication services. BIGO generates revenue mainly through virtual item sales during live streams, where viewers purchase virtual gifts for broadcasters, and also through advertising. This segment represents a significant portion of JOYY's overall revenue. 4. "All Other" The "All Other" segment encompasses JOYY's other diverse business lines, including Hago, a social networking platform that integrates casual games with social features like multi-user chatrooms. This segment also includes Bigo Ads, an AI-powered advertising platform that offers marketing and monetization solutions for businesses. Additionally, it features Shopline, a smart commerce platform that helps merchants build and grow their brands online through various sales channels. This segment aims to diversify JOYY's revenue streams beyond its core social entertainment offerings. 5. "Bigo Ads" Bigo Ads is an AI-powered advertising platform that provides marketing and monetization solutions for businesses. It uses deep learning algorithms to help developers and brands scale their user base and increase their advertising revenue. Bigo Ads operates within JOYY's ecosystem, displaying advertisements on platforms like Bigo Live and Likee, and also partners with other platforms. This business line focuses on programmatic advertising, which is a method of buying and selling ad space automatically using technology. 6. "Shopline" Shopline is a smart commerce platform that empowers merchants to create and grow their online brands. It offers solutions for various sales channels, including e-commerce websites, social commerce, and physical retail stores. Shopline provides tools for merchants to manage their online presence, reach customers, and sell products. This business line represents JOYY's expansion into the e-commerce infrastructure and Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) sector, aiming to support businesses in their online retail operations. 7. "What management is betting on now" JOYY's management is focused on expanding its global commerce Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and solutions business, as indicated by its investment in Shopline. They are also working to refine content quality and user acquisition strategies across their core social entertainment platforms like Bigo Live and Likee. The company is leveraging AI and data intelligence to improve user experiences and monetization across its diverse product portfolio. This strategy aims to create a more integrated ecosystem and diversify revenue streams beyond live streaming.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $91.15 (-68.0% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $284.71 a share — about 260.0% above today's price of $79.09, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $1.3B - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 108.2x.
JOYY Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 108.2 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $69.66M Interest coverage 108.18x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $1.43B Interest coverage 7.47x -93% vs JOYY Carries about 14.5x less debt cushion than JOYY.
Total debt $4.23B Interest coverage -4.36x -100% vs JOYY This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with JOYY.
Total debt $1.87B Interest coverage 5.64x -95% vs JOYY Carries about 19.2x less debt cushion than JOYY.
Total debt $2.54B Interest coverage 79.81x -26% vs JOYY Carries about 1.4x less debt cushion than JOYY.
Total debt $10.24M Interest coverage 18.70x -83% vs JOYY Carries about 5.8x less debt cushion than JOYY.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know