One-glance verdict
$129.05 our estimate vs market $75.08
Wall Street consensus: $98.00 (-24.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)
42% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
KNSA · NMS · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Current price
$75.08
52-week range
$35.20 - $82.94
Market cap
$5.86B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $98.00 (-24.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)
42% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $517.03M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals is a drug company that currently makes most of its money selling one approved medicine called ARCALYST, which treats a recurring heart inflammation condition. Because its success relies heavily on this single product, the company is also investing in its pipeline (the set of experimental drugs it is testing) to develop new treatments. If these new drugs are eventually approved for sale, they could create new sources of revenue (money earned from sales) and help the company grow.
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals was founded in 2015 to create medicines for severe diseases that lack effective treatments. A major turning point came in 2021 when its drug, ARCALYST, was approved by the FDA (the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, which decides if medicines are safe and effective to be sold). This approval transformed Kiniksa from a company purely focused on research into a commercial business that sells a product. Since launching ARCALYST, the company's sales have grown significantly, allowing it to become cash flow positive (bringing in more money than it spends on operations).
Kiniksa is a biopharmaceutical company, which means it discovers, develops, and sells specialized medicines. It focuses on conditions where patients have limited options, with a particular emphasis on inflammatory diseases that affect the heart. The company's main activity is selling its approved drug, ARCALYST, which doctors prescribe for a specific heart condition. At the same time, Kiniksa invests heavily in its pipeline (a set of new drugs in development) which are being tested in clinical trials (studies involving patients to ensure a drug is safe and works as intended).
This is currently the company's only way of making money. This single segment consists of the sale of its one approved drug, ARCALYST, for a rare and painful heart condition called recurrent pericarditis. [2, 17] When doctors prescribe this medicine to patients, Kiniksa records revenue (the money earned from sales). [2] Because all of its income comes from this one product, the success of ARCALYST is the most important factor for the company's financial performance right now. [4, 17]
The company's main strategy is to continue growing sales of ARCALYST by reaching more doctors and patients who could benefit from it. [2, 27] Management is also betting heavily on its pipeline (the set of drugs currently in development) to create future products. A key focus is a new drug, KPL-387, which treats the same condition as ARCALYST but is designed as a more convenient once-a-month injection. [2, 15] By advancing this and other new therapies, Kiniksa aims to build on its success and become a leader in treating specific cardiovascular diseases. [15]
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $98.00 (-24.1% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $129.05 a share — about 71.9% above today's price of $75.08, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $517.0M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 61.6x.
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc's profit covers its interest bill about 61.6 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $8.90M Interest coverage 61.63x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $739.72M Interest coverage -12.82x -100% vs KNSA This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with KNSA.
Total debt $2.79B Interest coverage 1.65x -97% vs KNSA Carries about 37.3x less debt cushion than KNSA.
Total debt $165.93M Interest coverage 12.90x -79% vs KNSA Carries about 4.8x less debt cushion than KNSA.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know