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Fundamentals snapshot

MGM Resorts International

MGM · NYQ · Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Current price

$27.99

52-week range

$27.69 - $51.59

Market cap

$7.16B

One-glance verdict

Within fair range

$-2.99 our estimate vs market $27.99

Wall Street consensus: $41.68 (-1,493.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Distressed

3.19x Stretched

Net debt $27.40B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

MGM Resorts International

MGM Resorts International is a company that runs big resorts with casinos, hotels, and entertainment, making most of its money from people gambling and staying at these places. They also have online gambling operations, which is a growing part of their business. This matters because it shows how they make money and where they are focusing their efforts for future growth.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q3 $331.18M FY2024 Q4 $267.54M FY2025 Q1 $319.04M FY2025 Q2 $377.43M FY2025 Q3 $405.44M FY2025 Q4 $358.54M FY2026 Q1 $413.12M FY2026 Q2 $317.44M
Revenue $4.45B
Net income $292.43M
Diluted EPS 1.11
Operating cash flow $558.82M
Free cash flow $317.44M
Revenue $4.45B
Net income $125.14M
Diluted EPS 0.48
Operating cash flow $567.79M
Free cash flow $413.12M
Revenue $4.61B
Net income $293.61M
Diluted EPS 1.12
Operating cash flow $655.00M
Free cash flow $358.54M
Revenue $4.25B
Net income $-285.25M
Diluted EPS -1.05
Operating cash flow $681.43M
Free cash flow $405.44M
Revenue $4.40B
Net income $48.95M
Diluted EPS 0.18
Operating cash flow $645.87M
Free cash flow $377.43M
Revenue $4.28B
Net income $148.55M
Diluted EPS 0.51
Operating cash flow $547.08M
Free cash flow $319.04M
Revenue $4.35B
Net income $157.43M
Diluted EPS 0.52
Operating cash flow $671.55M
Free cash flow $267.54M
Revenue $4.18B
Net income $184.58M
Diluted EPS 0.61
Operating cash flow $667.43M
Free cash flow $331.18M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $-2.99 vs current price $27.99

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $41.68 (-1,493.7% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $-2.99 a share — about 110.7% away from today's price of $27.99, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.

fair

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 7.0% · Discount 9.7% · Terminal 2.5%

$-2.99

Bear

Growth 3.0% · Discount 9.7% · Terminal 2.5%

$-23.70

Bull

Growth 12.0% · Discount 9.7% · Terminal 2.5%

$29.77

Is it drowning in debt?

Distressed

Net debt $27.4B. Interest coverage 3.2x.

Net debt $27.40B
Interest coverage 3.19x

MGM Resorts International's profit covers its interest bill about 3.2 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Distressed
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
MGM BASELINE MGM Resorts International

Total debt $30.16B Interest coverage 3.19x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $15.46B Interest coverage 4.14x +30% vs MGM Carries about 1.3x more debt cushion than MGM.

Total debt $12.34B Interest coverage 1.93x -40% vs MGM Carries about 1.7x less debt cushion than MGM.

Total debt $25.92B Interest coverage 0.89x -72% vs MGM Carries about 3.6x less debt cushion than MGM.

Total debt $3.26B Interest coverage 5.56x +74% vs MGM Carries about 1.7x more debt cushion than MGM.

Total debt $11.06B Interest coverage 0.67x -79% vs MGM Carries about 4.8x less debt cushion than MGM.

What you should know

The case for and against MGM

3 Rewards 1 Risk

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 1.3% last year.
  • Returns 18.9% on equity, ahead of 50% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 8/10 years.

Risks

  • Net debt grew 4.4% over 3 years.

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
17.28x
Forward P/E
15.85x
P/B
2.80x
P/S
0.40x
EV/EBITDA
15.78x
PEG ratio
0.36x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
44.2%
Operating margin
6.8%
Net margin
2.4%
ROE
18.9%
ROA
1.8%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
8.93x
Current ratio
1.33x
Quick ratio
1.21x
Total debt
$30.16B
Total cash
$2.76B

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$17.76B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
16.0%
EPS TTM
1.62
EPS 5Y CAGR
-39.8%

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$2.46B
Free CF TTM
$1.46B
FCF margin
8.2%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
2022-12-08