One-glance verdict
$39.81 our estimate vs market $17.14
Wall Street consensus: $22.62 (-43.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
57% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
MITK · NCM · Technology · Software - Application
Current price
$17.14
52-week range
$8.53 - $21.05
Market cap
$773.40M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $22.62 (-43.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
57% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $43.54M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Mitek Systems creates the software that allows you to deposit a check by taking a picture with your phone and also helps banks verify customer identities to prevent online fraud. The company makes most of its money by licensing its software to financial businesses, which often creates recurring revenue (predictable income from ongoing subscriptions or contracts). This is important because as more of our financial lives move online, the need for secure and convenient identity verification becomes essential.
Mitek Systems started in 1986 with a focus on software that could recognize images and text. A major turning point came in the late 2000s when it pioneered Mobile Deposit, the technology that lets you deposit a check by taking a picture of it with your smartphone. This made the company a key partner for thousands of banks. Seeing a growing need for online security, Mitek then expanded by acquiring several companies focused on verifying people's digital identities, transforming itself into a broader fraud prevention and identity verification company.
Mitek creates software that banks and other businesses build into their own mobile apps and websites. You've likely used Mitek's technology if you've ever deposited a check using your phone's camera. It also provides technology that verifies you are who you say you are when you're opening a new bank account or logging in online. This involves confirming your driver's license or passport is real and sometimes matching a selfie to the photo on your ID to prevent fraud.
This is Mitek's original and well-established business that provides the technology for mobile check deposits. Financial institutions like banks and credit unions pay Mitek to use its software, which includes the MiSnap feature that automatically captures a clear image of the check. This segment also includes newer products like Check Fraud Defender, which helps banks detect fraudulent checks. While this is a mature part of the company, it provides a steady, reliable stream of revenue.
This is Mitek's faster-growing business, now making up more than half of the company's revenue. Companies pay Mitek to verify the identity of their customers during online interactions, like when someone is opening a new account. The technology can check if an ID document is authentic and use biometrics (like a face scan) to confirm the person is real and present. This helps businesses prevent fraud and comply with regulations known as Know Your Customer (KYC) rules.
Management's current strategy is called 'Unify and Grow.' The goal is to combine its separate identity verification and fraud prevention tools into a single, more complete platform for businesses. They are focused on growing their software-as-a-service (SaaS) revenue, which means customers pay a recurring subscription fee rather than a one-time license. The company is also investing in artificial intelligence to stay ahead of new fraud methods like deepfakes and synthetic identity fraud (where a criminal creates a fake identity).
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $22.62 (-43.2% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $39.81 a share — about 132.3% above today's price of $17.14, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $43.5M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 1.8x.
Mitek Systems, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 1.8 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $56.17M Interest coverage 1.80x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $12.42M Interest coverage 25.23x +1,299% vs MITK Carries about 14.0x more debt cushion than MITK.
Total debt $961.65M Interest coverage 1.11x -39% vs MITK Carries about 1.6x less debt cushion than MITK.
Total debt $31.36M Interest coverage -12.48x -100% vs MITK This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with MITK.
Total debt $53.00M Interest coverage 38.25x +2,022% vs MITK Carries about 21.2x more debt cushion than MITK.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know