One-glance verdict
$129.26 our estimate vs market $53.83
Wall Street consensus: $105.00 (-18.8% lower than our fair-value estimate)
58% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
MMS · NYQ · Industrials · Specialty Business Services
Current price
$53.83
52-week range
$52.73 - $100.00
Market cap
$2.83B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $105.00 (-18.8% lower than our fair-value estimate)
58% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $1.47B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Maximus is a contractor for governments, getting paid to run large public programs like helping people enroll in health insurance or providing job-seeking support. The company makes most of its money from long-term contracts with U.S. federal and state agencies, which can provide a steady stream of revenue (the money a company brings in from sales). Its business depends on governments continuing to hire outside companies to manage these complex but essential citizen services.
Founded in 1975 by David V. Mastran, Maximus started as a consulting firm for the U.S. government. A key turning point was in the late 1980s when it won a contract to help with a welfare-to-work program in Los Angeles County, shifting its focus to running government programs. Major policy changes, like welfare reform in the 1990s and the Affordable Care Act in 2010, created more opportunities for private companies to manage government services, fueling Maximus's growth. The company went public in 1997 and has since expanded by acquiring other companies, particularly to enhance its technology and clinical assessment capabilities.
Maximus is a contractor that governments hire to run large public service programs. Think of them as a behind-the-scenes operator for services like Medicaid, Medicare, and student loan programs. For example, they run call centers where people can get information about their benefits, help individuals enroll in health insurance plans, and provide job search and training services for welfare recipients. Essentially, Maximus steps in to handle the complex administrative and technology-related tasks of government programs that serve millions of people.
This is the company's largest segment, making up more than half of its business. It provides a wide range of services directly to the United States federal government. This includes running call centers for Medicare, processing student loan defaults, and conducting medical disability exams for veterans to determine their eligibility for benefits. They also offer technology services like modernizing government IT systems and ensuring cybersecurity (protecting computer systems from theft or damage).
This division works with state and local governments across the United States. A major part of their work is helping to administer health and human services programs. This involves determining if people are eligible for programs like Medicaid, enrolling them, and providing customer service through large call centers. They also manage welfare-to-work programs, which include everything from assessing job seekers' needs to providing training and support to help them find and keep a job.
This segment provides similar services to governments in other countries, such as the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia. A significant part of this business involves conducting health and disability assessments to determine a person's eligibility for government support. They also run employment programs designed to help people who are unemployed find jobs. While smaller than its U.S. operations, this segment extends the company's business model to international markets.
The company's leadership is focused on three main areas for future growth. First, they are concentrating on expanding their work with the U.S. federal government, seeing it as a major area of opportunity. Second, they are heavily investing in technology, particularly artificial intelligence (AI) and automation, to make their services more efficient and improve the experience for citizens interacting with government programs. Finally, Maximus is continuing to grow its clinical services, such as performing health assessments, which are specialized and in high demand.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $105.00 (-18.8% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $129.26 a share — about 140.1% above today's price of $53.83, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $1.5B. Interest coverage 6.3x.
Maximus, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 6.3 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $1.63B Interest coverage 6.28x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $6.94B Interest coverage 10.34x +65% vs MMS Carries about 1.6x more debt cushion than MMS.
Total debt $4.12B Interest coverage 4.97x -21% vs MMS Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than MMS.
Total debt $603.72M Interest coverage 4.72x -25% vs MMS Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than MMS.
Total debt $2.68B Interest coverage 4.07x -35% vs MMS Carries about 1.5x less debt cushion than MMS.
Total debt $5.62B Interest coverage 4.81x -23% vs MMS Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than MMS.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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What you should know