One-glance verdict
$101.00 our estimate vs market $147.24
Wall Street consensus: $158.56 (57.0% higher than our fair-value estimate)
46% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
MRK · NYQ · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General
Current price
$147.24
52-week range
$82.01 - $156.92
Market cap
$363.27B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $158.56 (57.0% higher than our fair-value estimate)
46% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $46.77B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Merck is a large healthcare company that makes medicines and vaccines for both people and animals. A significant portion of its revenue (the money a company makes from selling things) comes from its widely-used cancer drug, Keytruda, as well as its large animal health business. Because these products address critical, ongoing health needs, the company often sees steady demand.
Merck's story starts in Germany way back in 1668 with the purchase of a single pharmacy. The American branch, Merck & Co., was set up in 1891 and became a separate, independent U.S. company during World War I. Over the next century, its scientists made huge breakthroughs, creating the first vaccines for measles and mumps. A key moment was the 1953 merger with Sharp & Dohme, which is why the company is known as MSD outside of North America. More recently, the company developed Keytruda, a revolutionary cancer therapy that has become one of the world's best-selling drugs.
Merck is a global healthcare company that discovers, develops, and sells medicines and vaccines to improve the health of people and animals. You would encounter its products at a doctor's office or a hospital, not on a store shelf. Its most well-known products include Keytruda, a major cancer treatment, and Gardasil, a vaccine that helps protect against the HPV virus. Beyond these, the company makes a wide range of prescription products for other serious illnesses, from infectious diseases to diabetes, as well as products for the health of pets and farm animals.
This is Merck's largest business by far, making up the vast majority of its revenue (the total money it brings in from sales). This segment creates medicines and vaccines for humans, which it sells to drug wholesalers, hospitals, and government agencies. Its biggest focus areas are oncology (the treatment of cancer), with its blockbuster drug Keytruda, and vaccines like Gardasil. It also develops and sells important treatments for hospitals to use in acute care situations, as well as medicines for other conditions like diabetes.
This is a smaller but still significant part of the company, providing a wide range of products for the well-being of animals. It makes medicines and vaccines for both companion animals (pets like dogs and cats) and livestock (farm animals like cattle and poultry). Customers are typically veterinarians, farmers, and pet owners who use these products to prevent and treat diseases. This division also offers technology, such as identification and monitoring systems, to help manage the health of large herds of animals.
Management's main focus is preparing for the future when its top-selling cancer drug, Keytruda, eventually loses its patent protection. Their strategy is to build up a strong pipeline (the group of new drugs currently in development) to create new sources of growth. To do this, they are heavily investing in both their own research and development (R&D, the process of creating new medicines) and in making deals with other companies to acquire promising new drugs. The company has stated it will follow the best science into any disease area, not just cancer, and remains committed to its historic leadership in developing new vaccines.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $158.56 (57.0% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $101.00 a share — about 31.4% below today's price of $147.24, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $46.8B. Interest coverage 16.3x.
Merck & Co., Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 16.3 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $53.91B Interest coverage 16.29x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $63.48B Interest coverage 6.52x -60% vs MRK Carries about 2.5x less debt cushion than MRK.
Total debt $49.04B Interest coverage 26.36x +62% vs MRK Carries about 1.6x more debt cushion than MRK.
Total debt $45.05B Interest coverage 7.26x -55% vs MRK Carries about 2.2x less debt cushion than MRK.
Total debt $70.88B Interest coverage 6.94x -57% vs MRK Carries about 2.3x less debt cushion than MRK.
Total debt $54.91B Interest coverage 38.04x +134% vs MRK Carries about 2.3x more debt cushion than MRK.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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Cash flow
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Debt comparison
What you should know