One-glance verdict
$55.25 our estimate vs market $77.65
Wall Street consensus: $113.94 (106.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
41% above our estimate
Fundamentals snapshot
NFLX · NMS · Communication Services · Entertainment
Current price
$77.65
52-week range
$70.86 - $129.50
Market cap
$326.97B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $113.94 (106.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
41% above our estimate
Balance sheet
Net debt $4.45B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Netflix is a streaming service that sells monthly subscriptions for watching TV shows, movies, and games on internet-connected devices. The company's money comes almost entirely from these membership fees, creating a predictable and steady stream of what's called recurring revenue (income that comes in consistently, like a monthly bill). This reliable cash flow is important because it allows Netflix to spend billions on creating new and exclusive content to attract more subscribers and keep its current ones from canceling.
Netflix was founded in 1997 by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph, starting as a service that let people rent DVDs by mail. Instead of paying for each rental, customers could pay a flat monthly fee to get unlimited DVDs, which was a new idea at the time. In 2007, the company made a huge shift by introducing streaming, allowing people to watch movies and shows instantly over the internet. This change set the stage for Netflix to become a global entertainment giant, moving from mailing physical discs to creating its own award-winning original shows and movies.
Netflix is a subscription service that lets you watch a wide variety of TV shows, movies, documentaries, and more on almost any device with an internet connection, like your TV, phone, or computer. You pay a monthly fee to access a huge library of content from around the world, including their own 'Netflix Originals' that you can't find anywhere else. The service is known for being on-demand, meaning you can watch what you want, whenever you want, without commercials on most plans.
This is the main way Netflix makes money, accounting for the vast majority of its business. Customers pay a recurring monthly fee, called a subscription, to access the library of movies and TV shows. There are different price levels, or tiers; paying more might get you higher video quality or the ability for more people in your household to watch on different screens at the same time. This model provides the company with a steady and predictable stream of income, also known as revenue (the total money a company brings in from sales).
A newer but rapidly growing part of the business is its lower-priced subscription plan that includes commercials. To attract customers who are more sensitive to price, Netflix offers a cheaper monthly plan that shows a few minutes of ads per hour. Companies pay Netflix to show their ads to the millions of people watching on this plan, creating a second major source of income for the company. This part of the business is expanding quickly, with a large percentage of new sign-ups choosing the ad-supported option.
Netflix has also moved into the world of mobile and cloud-based video games, which are included with a regular subscription at no extra cost. The goal isn't necessarily to make money directly from the games themselves, but to keep subscribers engaged and entertained so they continue paying their monthly fee. By offering games based on popular shows or well-known characters, Netflix hopes to add more value to its service and give people another reason to stick around.
Netflix's leadership is focused on a few key areas to keep the company growing. A major priority is expanding its ad-supported subscription plan to attract more customers globally and build a strong advertising business. They are also investing heavily in creating their own original content—movies, series, and live programming—in many different languages to appeal to diverse tastes worldwide. Finally, the company is exploring new forms of entertainment like video games and live events to keep users engaged on the platform for longer.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $113.94 (106.2% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $55.25 a share — about 28.8% away from today's price of $77.65, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $4.5B. Interest coverage 17.2x.
Netflix, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 17.2 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $16.74B Interest coverage 17.16x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $47.36B Interest coverage 7.63x -56% vs NFLX Carries about 2.2x less debt cushion than NFLX.
Total debt $32.47B Interest coverage 0.63x -96% vs NFLX Carries about 27.3x less debt cushion than NFLX.
Total debt $94.61B Interest coverage 4.69x -73% vs NFLX Carries about 3.7x less debt cushion than NFLX.
Total debt $544.44M Interest coverage 70.90x +313% vs NFLX Carries about 4.1x more debt cushion than NFLX.
Total debt $122.13B Interest coverage 4.92x -71% vs NFLX Carries about 3.5x less debt cushion than NFLX.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know