Knowstox

Fundamentals snapshot

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

NGVC · NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Current price

$31.46

52-week range

$23.47 - $40.42

Market cap

$725.03M

One-glance verdict

Overvalued

$8.04 our estimate vs market $31.46

Wall Street consensus: $42.25 (425.7% higher than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Stretched

20.58x Strong cushion

Net debt $305.21M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage sells natural and organic groceries, including produce, bulk items, and private label products like vitamins and supplements. Their money mainly comes from selling these products in their stores across the United States. This matters because it shows how well they are doing at getting people to buy their healthy food and wellness items.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q4 $17.95M FY2025 Q1 $-6.94M FY2025 Q2 $27.64M FY2025 Q3 $-4.15M FY2025 Q4 $7.55M FY2026 Q1 $11.56M FY2026 Q2 $2.35M FY2026 Q3 $1.25M
Revenue $334.74M
Net income $11.07M
Diluted EPS 0.48
Operating cash flow $11.26M
Free cash flow $1.25M
Revenue $337.38M
Net income $13.43M
Diluted EPS 0.58
Operating cash flow $22.70M
Free cash flow $2.35M
Revenue $335.58M
Net income $11.33M
Diluted EPS 0.49
Operating cash flow $21.13M
Free cash flow $11.56M
Revenue $336.14M
Net income $11.80M
Diluted EPS 0.51
Operating cash flow $15.63M
Free cash flow $7.55M
Revenue $328.70M
Net income $11.61M
Diluted EPS 0.50
Operating cash flow $2.93M
Free cash flow $-4.15M
Revenue $335.77M
Net income $13.10M
Diluted EPS 0.56
Operating cash flow $34.06M
Free cash flow $27.64M
Revenue $330.22M
Net income $9.94M
Diluted EPS 0.43
Operating cash flow $2.68M
Free cash flow $-6.94M
Revenue $322.66M
Net income $9.01M
Diluted EPS 0.38
Operating cash flow $24.48M
Free cash flow $17.95M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $8.04 vs current price $31.46

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $42.25 (425.7% higher than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $8.04 a share — about 74.5% below today's price of $31.46, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).

overvalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 5.0% · Discount 9.1% · Terminal 2.5%

$8.04

Bear

Growth 2.5% · Discount 9.1% · Terminal 2.5%

$5.24

Bull

Growth 8.0% · Discount 9.1% · Terminal 2.5%

$11.93

Is it drowning in debt?

Stretched

Net debt $305.2M. Interest coverage 20.6x.

Net debt $305.21M
Interest coverage 20.58x

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 20.6 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.

Stretched
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
NGVC BASELINE Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Total debt $322.68M Interest coverage 20.58x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $2.11B Interest coverage 391.03x +1,800% vs NGVC Carries about 19.0x more debt cushion than NGVC.

Total debt $1.85B Interest coverage 2.76x -87% vs NGVC Carries about 7.4x less debt cushion than NGVC.

Total debt $526.58M Interest coverage 7.39x -64% vs NGVC Carries about 2.8x less debt cushion than NGVC.

What you should know

The case for and against NGVC

3 Rewards 0 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 1.0% last year.
  • Returns 21.6% on equity, ahead of 60% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 8/10 years.

Risks

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
15.35x
Forward P/E
13.54x
P/B
3.03x
P/S
0.54x
EV/EBITDA
10.77x
PEG ratio
1.44x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
33.5%
Operating margin
3.9%
Net margin
3.5%
ROE
21.6%
ROA
5.7%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
1.35x
Current ratio
1.10x
Quick ratio
0.18x
Total debt
$322.68M
Total cash
$17.47M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$1.34B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
6.0%
EPS TTM
2.05
EPS 5Y CAGR
28.6%

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$70.72M
Free CF TTM
$24.10M
FCF margin
1.8%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
1.9%
Payout ratio
27.8%
Last ex-div date
2026-08-17