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Fundamentals snapshot

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

OLLI · NGM · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Current price

$87.72

52-week range

$60.29 - $130.40

Market cap

$5.21B

One-glance verdict

Within fair range

$102.41 our estimate vs market $87.72

Wall Street consensus: $101.60 (-0.8% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Healthy

17.25x Strong cushion

Net debt $538.14M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet sells a wide variety of discounted items like food, home goods, and clothing. Their main source of money comes from selling these "closeout" items, which means they buy products that other stores couldn't sell and then offer them at very low prices. This strategy helps them achieve good profit margins (the difference between what they sell something for and what it cost them to buy it) because they get their inventory cheaply.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2025 Q4 $-35.38M FY2026 Q1 $123.38M FY2026 Q2 $1.96M FY2026 Q3 $54.30M FY2026 Q4 $-25.97M FY2027 Q2 $20.03M FY2027 Q3 $64.81M
Revenue $741.30M
Net income $85.45M
Diluted EPS 1.42
Operating cash flow $108.12M
Free cash flow $64.81M
Revenue $658.93M
Net income $56.40M
Diluted EPS 0.92
Operating cash flow $45.50M
Free cash flow $20.03M
Revenue $613.62M
Net income $46.17M
Diluted EPS 0.75
Operating cash flow $4.76M
Free cash flow $-25.97M
Revenue $679.56M
Net income $61.31M
Diluted EPS 0.99
Operating cash flow $80.71M
Free cash flow $54.30M
Revenue $576.77M
Net income $47.56M
Diluted EPS 0.77
Operating cash flow $28.70M
Free cash flow $1.96M
Revenue $667.08M
Net income $68.55M
Diluted EPS 1.11
Operating cash flow $147.76M
Free cash flow $123.38M
Revenue $517.43M
Net income $35.88M
Diluted EPS 0.58
Operating cash flow $-4.37M
Free cash flow $-35.38M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $102.41 vs current price $87.72

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $101.60 (-0.8% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $102.41 a share — about 16.7% away from today's price of $87.72, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.

fair

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 10.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$102.41

Bear

Growth 5.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$74.19

Bull

Growth 15.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$139.19

Is it drowning in debt?

Healthy

Net debt $538.1M. Interest coverage 17.3x.

Net debt $538.14M
Interest coverage 17.25x

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 17.3 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.

Healthy
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
OLLI BASELINE Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Total debt $725.65M Interest coverage 17.25x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

17.25x
GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Total debt $1.85B Interest coverage 2.76x -84% vs OLLI Carries about 6.2x less debt cushion than OLLI.

2.76x -84% vs OLLI
BURL Burlington Stores, Inc.

Total debt $5.91B Interest coverage 11.89x -31% vs OLLI Carries about 1.5x less debt cushion than OLLI.

11.89x -31% vs OLLI
ROST Ross Stores, Inc.

Total debt $4.74B Interest coverage 71.36x +314% vs OLLI Carries about 4.1x more debt cushion than OLLI.

71.36x +314% vs OLLI
FIVE Five Below, Inc.

Total debt $2.04B Interest coverage 34.71x +101% vs OLLI Carries about 2.0x more debt cushion than OLLI.

34.71x +101% vs OLLI

What you should know

The case for and against OLLI

3 Rewards 2 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 5.4% last year.
  • Returns 14.9% on equity, ahead of 20% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 10/10 years.

Risks

  • Net debt grew 128.6% over 3 years.
  • Insider ownership is only 0.3% (peer median: 1.9%).

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
19.62x
Forward P/E
17.71x
P/B
2.76x
P/S
1.87x
EV/EBITDA
15.41x
PEG ratio
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Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
40.6%
Operating margin
10.8%
Net margin
9.8%
ROE
14.9%
ROA
6.7%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.38x
Current ratio
2.23x
Quick ratio
0.47x
Total debt
$725.65M
Total cash
$187.50M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$2.79B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
10.9%
EPS TTM
4.47
EPS 5Y CAGR
33.4%

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$340.75M
Free CF TTM
$194.66M
FCF margin
7.0%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
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