One-glance verdict
$10.98 our estimate vs market $47.81
Wall Street consensus: $59.00 (437.5% higher than our fair-value estimate)
336% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
PACS · NYQ · Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Current price
$47.81
52-week range
$10.31 - $50.38
Market cap
$7.57B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $59.00 (437.5% higher than our fair-value estimate)
336% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $3.24B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
PACS Group, Inc. owns and operates senior living facilities, including skilled nursing homes and assisted living communities, where they earn most of their money from patient care services. This matters because the aging population means more demand for these essential services, which can lead to steady income for the company.
1. "How the company got here" PACS Group was founded in 2013 by experienced post-acute care operators, starting with just two skilled nursing facilities. The company's strategy from the outset focused on operating facilities rather than owning a large real estate portfolio, positioning itself as an operator and consolidator in a fragmented market. Over the years, PACS Group expanded significantly through the acquisition and transition of facilities, growing to operate hundreds of facilities across numerous states. A major turning point was its initial public offering (IPO) in 2024, which transitioned the company to a public entity and provided capital for further expansion. 2. "What it actually does" PACS Group operates a network of post-acute healthcare facilities. These facilities provide care for individuals who need help recovering after a hospital stay, require long-term nursing support, or need assistance with daily living activities. Essentially, the company offers a bridge between hospitals and home care, taking patients who aren't ready to go home and helping them recover or manage ongoing health needs in a supervised environment. The services provided include room and board, nursing care, rehabilitation therapy, medication management, and help with daily personal care. 3. "Skilled Nursing Facilities" This is the core business of PACS Group, where they operate facilities providing 24-hour nursing oversight, medication administration, wound care, and recovery support for patients needing a higher level of care after hospitalization or for long-term needs. These centers also offer post-acute rehabilitation services for short-stay patients recovering from surgery, illness, or injury. The company bills patients, Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurers for the room, care, and therapy services provided in these facilities. This segment is the primary revenue driver for PACS Group. 4. "Assisted Living and Independent Living Facilities" In addition to skilled nursing, PACS Group also operates senior living communities. These communities offer housing, meals, and personal care services for older adults who may not require 24-hour skilled medical care but still need assistance with daily living activities. Independent living facilities provide a setting for seniors who are largely self-sufficient but appreciate the convenience of services like prepared meals and on-site support. Revenue from these facilities comes from residents and their families paying for housing and support services. 5. "What management is betting on now" Management is focused on continuing the company's growth strategy, which involves acquiring and improving underperforming facilities and expanding its operational footprint. A key priority is enhancing the quality of care and clinical outcomes, as evidenced by the company's focus on achieving high star ratings from quality rating systems. PACS Group is also investing in technology and operational systems to create uniformity and consistency across its diverse portfolio of facilities, aiming to improve efficiency and support future growth. The company believes its "turnaround" formula for transforming facilities presents significant growth potential in the fragmented post-acute care industry.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $59.00 (437.5% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $10.98 a share — about 77.0% below today's price of $47.81, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $3.2B. Interest coverage 10.9x.
PACS Group, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 10.9 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $3.40B Interest coverage 10.92x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $2.29B Interest coverage 53.24x +388% vs PACS Carries about 4.9x more debt cushion than PACS.
Total debt $1.21B Interest coverage 4.91x -55% vs PACS Carries about 2.2x less debt cushion than PACS.
Total debt $2.63B Interest coverage 2.35x -79% vs PACS Carries about 4.7x less debt cushion than PACS.
Total debt $1.28B Interest coverage 3.53x -68% vs PACS Carries about 3.1x less debt cushion than PACS.
Total debt $5.49B Interest coverage 0.36x -97% vs PACS Carries about 30.0x less debt cushion than PACS.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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Cash flow
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Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know