One-glance verdict
$94.85 our estimate vs market $100.58
Wall Street consensus: $102.14 (7.7% higher than our fair-value estimate)
6% above our estimate
Fundamentals snapshot
PAYX · NMS · Technology · Software - Application
Current price
$100.58
52-week range
$85.45 - $154.90
Market cap
$36.04B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $102.14 (7.7% higher than our fair-value estimate)
6% above our estimate
Balance sheet
Net debt $3.23B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Paychex acts as the human resources (HR) department for small and medium-sized businesses, managing essential tasks like employee payroll, benefits, and insurance. The company makes its money by charging clients regular fees for these services, which creates predictable recurring revenue (money that comes in consistently, like a subscription) and helps make its business stable. This one-stop-shop model makes it convenient for customers to sign up and difficult for them to leave.
Paychex was started in 1971 by Tom Golisano with just $3,000. He saw an opportunity to provide payroll services to small businesses, which were often ignored by larger payroll companies that focused on big corporations. The company grew by franchising and consolidating, eventually going public in 1983 to raise money for expansion. Over the years, Paychex acquired several other companies to add new services like retirement plan administration, time tracking, and HR outsourcing. This strategy transformed it from a simple payroll processor into a comprehensive provider of human capital management (HCM) solutions.
Paychex helps small- and medium-sized businesses manage the behind-the-scenes work of having employees. Its main job is to process payroll (calculating and distributing employee pay and handling taxes), but it also offers a wide range of other services. Think of it as an all-in-one platform for a company's workforce needs, including human resources (HR) support, employee benefits like health insurance and 401(k) plans, and time-tracking tools. Businesses pay Paychex to handle these complex tasks so they can focus on their actual operations, saving them time and helping them stay compliant with government regulations.
This is the company's largest business area, making up about three-quarters of its total revenue. It includes the core services people associate with Paychex, primarily payroll processing, tax administration, and retirement services. Clients also get access to a software platform called Paychex Flex, which is a hub for managing HR tasks, tracking employee time, and onboarding new hires. Businesses pay recurring fees for these services, often based on the number of employees they have.
This segment, which accounts for the remaining quarter of revenue, offers a more all-inclusive service. PEO stands for Professional Employer Organization, which is a service where Paychex becomes a co-employer of a client's employees. This allows smaller businesses to offer better employee benefits, like more affordable health insurance, that are usually only available to large corporations. In addition to benefits, this segment also provides workers' compensation and other business insurance, bundling many HR functions into a single package.
This is a smaller, but still important, way Paychex makes money. When a client gives Paychex money to pay its employees and payroll taxes, there's a short period before that money is actually sent out. During this time, Paychex invests the funds—a practice often called earning interest on "float"—and keeps the returns it makes. While it's not a primary business line, it provides an additional stream of income for the company.
Paychex is focused on being a technology-driven HR leader for businesses of all sizes. A key part of this strategy is using artificial intelligence (AI) to automate routine tasks, provide smarter insights to clients, and make its software easier to use. The company is also pushing to get more clients for its PEO and comprehensive HR solutions, as these services generate more revenue per customer and make clients more likely to stick around. Finally, Paychex continues to acquire other companies to add new technologies and expand its reach, particularly in serving larger mid-market companies.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $102.14 (7.7% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $94.85 a share — about 5.7% away from today's price of $100.58, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $3.2B. Interest coverage 20.9x.
Paychex, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 20.9 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $5.01B Interest coverage 20.95x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $4.40B Interest coverage 11.87x -43% vs PAYX Carries about 1.8x less debt cushion than PAYX.
Total debt $763.60M Interest coverage 166.82x +696% vs PAYX Carries about 8.0x more debt cushion than PAYX.
Total debt $6.90B Interest coverage 19.99x -5% vs PAYX Has roughly the same debt cushion as PAYX.
Total debt $430.00M Interest coverage -0.42x -100% vs PAYX This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with PAYX.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
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Debt comparison
What you should know