Knowstox

Fundamentals snapshot

The Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYQ · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Current price

$217.62

52-week range

$189.20 - $249.14

Market cap

$126.46B

One-glance verdict

Valued differently

We value banks a different way

We don't put a cash-flow fair value on banks and insurers. For these companies the reported 'cash flow' is really just money moving between loans, deposits and trades — not the leftover profit the owners could actually pocket — so the usual method would print a misleading number.

Balance sheet

Healthy

52.16x Strong cushion

Net debt $6.23B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

The Progressive Corporation

Progressive is a major insurance company in the U.S. that mostly sells vehicle insurance for personal cars, commercial trucks, and motorcycles. It makes money by collecting regular payments (called premiums) from customers in exchange for covering their costs if they get into an accident. This matters because insurance is often required by law for drivers and businesses, creating a steady and predictable demand for Progressive's services.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q3 $4.55B FY2024 Q4 $2.90B FY2025 Q1 $5.08B FY2025 Q2 $3.94B FY2025 Q3 $5.13B FY2025 Q4 $3.05B FY2026 Q1 $4.30B FY2026 Q2 $3.47B
Revenue $23.61B
Net income $3.31B
Diluted EPS 5.67
Operating cash flow $3.61B
Free cash flow $3.47B
Revenue $22.19B
Net income $2.82B
Diluted EPS 4.80
Operating cash flow $4.37B
Free cash flow $4.30B
Revenue $22.75B
Net income $2.95B
Diluted EPS 5.01
Operating cash flow $3.17B
Free cash flow $3.05B
Revenue $22.51B
Net income $2.62B
Diluted EPS 4.45
Operating cash flow $5.20B
Free cash flow $5.13B
Revenue $22.00B
Net income $3.17B
Diluted EPS 5.40
Operating cash flow $4.04B
Free cash flow $3.94B
Revenue $20.41B
Net income $2.57B
Diluted EPS 4.37
Operating cash flow $5.14B
Free cash flow $5.08B
Revenue $20.28B
Net income $2.36B
Diluted EPS 4.01
Operating cash flow $3.01B
Free cash flow $2.90B
Revenue $19.72B
Net income $2.33B
Diluted EPS 3.97
Operating cash flow $4.61B
Free cash flow $4.55B

Is it cheap or expensive?

We value banks and insurers a different way

For a bank or insurer, the "free cash flow" shown on its statements is mostly money flowing through loans, deposits and trades — not the leftover profit the owners could actually keep, which is what this kind of valuation needs. Running that through the usual method would spit out a meaningless number, so we leave the cash-flow fair value out here rather than show you something misleading.

Valued differently

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Is it drowning in debt?

Healthy

Net debt $6.2B. Interest coverage 52.2x.

Net debt $6.23B
Interest coverage 52.16x

The Progressive Corporation's profit covers its interest bill about 52.2 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here.

Healthy
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
PGR BASELINE The Progressive Corporation

Total debt $8.39B Interest coverage 52.16x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $7.50B Interest coverage 33.97x -35% vs PGR Carries about 1.5x less debt cushion than PGR.

Total debt $25.01B Interest coverage 18.07x -65% vs PGR Carries about 2.9x less debt cushion than PGR.

Total debt $9.07B Interest coverage 19.34x -63% vs PGR Carries about 2.7x less debt cushion than PGR.

Total debt $9.13B Interest coverage 10.80x -79% vs PGR Carries about 4.8x less debt cushion than PGR.

Total debt $4.38B Interest coverage 24.92x -52% vs PGR Carries about 2.1x less debt cushion than PGR.

What you should know

The case for and against PGR

3 Rewards 2 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 3.9% last year.
  • Returns 34.9% on equity, ahead of 66% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 10/10 years.

Risks

  • Forward P/E (13.4x) is higher than trailing (10.8x) - earnings are expected to drop.
  • Insider ownership is only 0.2% (peer median: 0.5%).

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
10.85x
Forward P/E
13.36x
P/B
3.68x
P/S
1.39x
EV/EBITDA
8.62x
PEG ratio
66.08x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
18.5%
Operating margin
18.2%
Net margin
12.8%
ROE
34.9%
ROA
7.8%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.24x
Current ratio
0.29x
Quick ratio
0.23x
Total debt
$8.39B
Total cash
$2.16B

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$91.06B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
16.4%
EPS TTM
20.06
EPS 5Y CAGR
153.5%

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$16.34B
Free CF TTM
$17.20B
FCF margin
18.9%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.2%
Payout ratio
69.7%
Last ex-div date
2026-10-01