One-glance verdict
$30.37 our estimate vs market $10.26
Wall Street consensus: $11.00 (-63.8% lower than our fair-value estimate)
66% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
PRDSY · PNK · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
Current price
$10.26
52-week range
$8.90 - $12.51
Market cap
$13.20B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $11.00 (-63.8% lower than our fair-value estimate)
66% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $4.24B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Prada designs and sells luxurious clothing and accessories like handbags and shoes under its famous Prada and Miu Miu labels. Most of their sales come from these high-end fashion items, which is important because it shows how well they can sell fancy products to people willing to pay for the brand.
"How the company got here" "Prada was founded in 1913 by Mario Prada and his brother Martino as a leather goods shop in Milan, Italy. Initially, the shop, called Fratelli Prada, sold imported English leather goods and travel accessories. The business gained prestige, becoming an official supplier to the Italian Royal Household in 1919, which allowed them to incorporate the House of Savoy's coat of arms into their logo. For decades, the company focused on high-quality leather goods. A significant turning point came in the 1970s when Mario's granddaughter, Miuccia Prada, took over the business with her husband, Patrizio Bertelli. Under their leadership, Prada began to innovate, notably by introducing waterproof nylon fabrics into their product lines, which became a hallmark of the brand. By the 1990s, Prada was recognized globally for its unique designs and luxury status." "What it actually does" "Prada is a luxury fashion house that designs, manufactures, and distributes a wide range of high-end products. These include leather goods like handbags and wallets, ready-to-wear clothing for men and women, footwear, and accessories such as scarves and belts. The company also has a presence in the beauty sector, offering fragrances, skincare, and makeup. Prada products are sold worldwide through a network of directly operated stores, department stores, independent retailers, and online channels." "Prada" "The Prada brand is the core of the company and accounts for the majority of its revenue, over 70%. This segment offers a comprehensive collection of luxury items, including iconic leather handbags, ready-to-wear clothing, sophisticated footwear, and a variety of accessories. Prada is also expanding into the beauty market with fragrances, skincare, and makeup lines, often featuring refillable options to promote sustainability. The brand is known for its blend of classic elegance and modern innovation, appealing to a discerning global clientele." "Miu Miu" "Miu Miu is a distinct brand within the Prada Group, founded by Miuccia Prada as her "other soul." It is positioned as a more fashion-forward and youthful line compared to the main Prada brand, often targeting younger consumers and celebrities. Miu Miu offers a range of clothing, accessories, and footwear that embodies a playful yet sophisticated aesthetic. In recent years, Miu Miu has experienced significant growth, with retail sales increasing substantially." "Church's" "Church's is a heritage brand specializing in high-quality English footwear, particularly known for its classic men's dress shoes and boots. Prada acquired Church's in 1999, adding a distinguished shoemaker with a long-standing reputation for craftsmanship to its portfolio. This segment focuses on traditional shoemaking techniques and premium materials, appealing to customers who value timeless style and durability." "Car Shoe" "Car Shoe is another footwear brand within the Prada Group, known for its distinctive driving shoes and casual footwear. The brand offers a blend of comfort and Italian style, often featuring high-quality leather and unique design elements." "Marchesi 1824" "Marchesi 1824 is Prada's venture into the food sector, specifically focusing on high-end pastries and confectionery. Prada acquired a majority stake in this historic Milanese pastry shop, founded in 1824, bringing its luxury expertise to the culinary world. This segment offers artisanal products that reflect Italian tradition and quality craftsmanship." "What management is betting on now" "Prada's current strategy heavily emphasizes investment in its core leather goods and clothing lines, which together represent a significant portion of its net sales. The company is focused on global growth and strengthening customer relationships through enhanced engagement and personalized experiences. Prada is also committed to innovation, not only in product design but also in its business operations, including a focus on sustainability and digital advancements. This includes investing in energy efficiency, waste reduction, and supply chain traceability to minimize environmental impact and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. The recent appointment of Raf Simons as co-director alongside Miuccia Prada signals a continued focus on creative direction and potentially reaching new audiences."
Price history
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $11.00 (-63.8% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $30.37 a share — about 196.0% above today's price of $10.26, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $4.2B. Interest coverage 12.5x.
Prada S.p.A.'s profit covers its interest bill about 12.5 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $5.38B Interest coverage 12.49x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $15.06B Interest coverage 15.20x +22% vs PRDSY Carries about 1.2x more debt cushion than PRDSY.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
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Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know