One-glance verdict
$100.79 our estimate vs market $112.41
Wall Street consensus: $120.15 (19.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
12% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
RBRK · NYQ · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Current price
$112.41
52-week range
$42.25 - $127.90
Market cap
$23.14B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $120.15 (19.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
12% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net cash $598.06M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Rubrik sells data security software that helps companies back up their digital information and recover it quickly after a cyberattack. The company mainly earns money through software subscriptions, creating a predictable income stream known as recurring revenue (money that comes in at regular intervals, like a monthly bill). This is important because as cyber threats grow, more businesses need services like Rubrik's to keep their data from being lost or held for ransom.
Rubrik was founded in 2014 by several engineers with experience at major tech companies who saw a better way to protect business data. They started by creating a simpler, more modern system for backing up and recovering company information, challenging older, more complicated methods. A key turning point was the company's shift from just being a backup service to focusing heavily on data security, especially in protecting against ransomware attacks. This strategic change, along with its expansion into cloud data management, helped it grow rapidly and led to its initial public offering (IPO), where a company first sells its stock to the public, in April 2024.
Imagine a company's most important information—customer lists, financial records, product designs—is like a treasure chest. Rubrik builds a high-tech, invisible vault around that chest to protect it from being stolen, damaged, or held for ransom by hackers. It creates secure copies of the data, constantly watches for any suspicious activity, and if something bad happens, it can quickly restore everything to how it was. This service works whether the company's data is stored in its own building, in the cloud (on servers owned by companies like Amazon or Microsoft), or across both.
Rubrik makes almost all of its money by selling subscriptions to its main software platform, the Rubrik Security Cloud. Think of this like a subscription to a home security service; customers pay a recurring fee, usually for one or more years, to have Rubrik continuously protect their data. This single business line includes everything from basic data backup and recovery to more advanced features like detecting data threats and ensuring a company is prepared for a cyberattack. Because it's a subscription, it provides Rubrik with a predictable stream of revenue (money the company earns from sales).
Rubrik's leadership is heavily focused on positioning the company as a central player in the era of Artificial Intelligence (AI). They are betting that as companies use AI more, they will need even stronger tools to protect the vast amounts of data that AI systems rely on. A key part of this strategy is to move beyond just data protection and become the main control center for managing data security and recovery in a world full of AI-driven opportunities and threats. The company is also focused on continuing to grow its subscription revenue and improving its financial efficiency to become consistently profitable.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $120.15 (19.2% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $100.79 a share — about 10.3% below today's price of $112.41, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $598.1M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage -20.1x.
Rubrik, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $1.15B Interest coverage -20.05x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $917.65M Interest coverage 27.83x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RBRK does not.
Total debt $528.37M Interest coverage -22.31x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $2.53B Interest coverage 15.55x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RBRK does not.
Total debt $820.18M Interest coverage -10.47x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know