One-glance verdict
$96.55 our estimate vs market $87.18
Wall Street consensus: $118.70 (22.9% higher than our fair-value estimate)
10% below our estimate
Fundamentals snapshot
RBRK · NYQ · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Current price
$87.18
52-week range
$42.25 - $107.91
Market cap
$17.94B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $118.70 (22.9% higher than our fair-value estimate)
10% below our estimate
Balance sheet
Net cash $598.06M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Rubrik sells data security software to businesses, acting like a digital insurance policy that helps them back up their information and recover quickly from cyberattacks. It makes money primarily through subscriptions, creating a predictable income stream known as recurring revenue (money that comes in consistently from customers over time). As digital threats like ransomware become more common, more companies need this kind of protection to keep their operations running.
Rubrik was founded in 2014 by a team of engineers from major tech companies with the initial goal of simplifying how businesses back up and recover their data. A key turning point came around 2021 when the company shifted its focus from just data backup to data security, a move driven by the increasing threat of ransomware attacks on businesses. This repositioning helped the company grow rapidly, leading to its initial public offering (IPO), where a company sells its stock to the public for the first time, in April 2024. The company has also made strategic acquisitions, such as buying Laminar in 2023, to add new capabilities like managing the security of a company's data.
Think of Rubrik as a digital Fort Knox for a company's important information. It provides a safety net, ensuring that if a business's computer systems are hacked, especially by ransomware (a type of malicious software that blocks access to data until a ransom is paid), they can quickly get their data back and continue operating. Rubrik's main product, the Rubrik Security Cloud, is a platform that helps businesses protect their data whether it's stored in their own data centers, in the public cloud (like Amazon Web Services or Microsoft Azure), or within software-as-a-service (SaaS) applications. The company's services are designed to not only back up data but also to detect threats, identify unusual activity, and help recover from cyberattacks.
This is Rubrik's primary way of making money, accounting for the vast majority of its revenue. Instead of a one-time sale, customers pay a recurring fee, typically on a multi-year contract, to use Rubrik's data security software. This model is known as Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and provides a predictable stream of income for the company. The price customers pay is usually based on factors like the amount of data they need to protect and the specific features they use.
This is a smaller and decreasing part of Rubrik's business. It includes revenue from maintenance contracts on older, perpetual software licenses that were sold before the company fully shifted to a subscription model. It also includes fees for professional services, such as helping customers set up and deploy Rubrik's platform, as well as providing training and support. While not the main focus, these services help ensure customers are able to effectively use Rubrik's core products.
Rubrik's leadership is heavily focused on positioning the company as a leader in "cyber resilience," which means helping organizations not just prevent attacks but also quickly recover from them. A major part of this strategy is integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into its platform to automate data security and more effectively detect threats. The company is also pursuing a "land-and-expand" strategy, aiming to first sell a core data protection service to a customer and then sell them additional security products over time. Management sees a large opportunity in helping companies secure their data as they adopt AI technologies, positioning Rubrik as a foundational layer for the AI era.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $118.70 (22.9% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $96.55 a share — about 10.8% away from today's price of $87.18, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $598.1M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage -20.1x.
Rubrik, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $1.15B Interest coverage -20.05x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $917.65M Interest coverage 27.83x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RBRK does not.
Total debt $528.37M Interest coverage -22.31x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $2.73B Interest coverage 15.55x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RBRK does not.
Total debt $2.50B Interest coverage 654.16x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RBRK does not.
Total debt $820.18M Interest coverage -10.47x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
What you should know
The numbers
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What you should know