One-glance verdict
$-23.61 our estimate vs market $29.40
Wall Street consensus: $42.00 (-277.9% lower than our fair-value estimate)
225% below our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
RGS · NGM · Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services
Current price
$29.40
52-week range
$19.31 - $30.93
Market cap
$73.50M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $42.00 (-277.9% lower than our fair-value estimate)
225% below our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $275.40M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Regis Corporation runs hair salons like Supercuts and SmartStyle, making money mostly from customers getting haircuts and buying hair products. This matters because their success depends on people continuing to visit salons for their hair needs and purchasing products, which helps them maintain good profit margins (the percentage of money left over after paying for the costs of running the business).
"How the company got here" "Regis Corporation has a long history, starting in 1922 as Kunin Beauty Salon, founded by Paul and Florence Kunin. Their son, Myron Kunin, took over in 1958 and renamed the company Regis, shifting its focus from department store salons to locations in shopping malls. The company went public in 1991 and grew significantly through acquisitions, notably acquiring Supercuts in 1996, which greatly expanded its presence in strip centers and street locations. Over the years, Regis has evolved, with a recent strategic shift towards an "asset-light" franchise model and exiting premium mall locations to streamline operations." "What it actually does" "Regis Corporation is a major player in the hair care industry, owning and franchising a vast network of hair salons primarily across North America, with some locations in the UK. The core services offered at these salons include haircuts, styling (like shampooing and conditioning), and hair coloring. Beyond services, Regis salons also sell a variety of hair care and beauty products. The company operates under many well-known brand names, aiming to provide convenient and value-priced haircare solutions to a broad customer base." "Franchise Salons" "This segment represents the largest portion of Regis Corporation's business, where the company partners with independent owners who operate salons under Regis' established brands. Franchisees pay Regis for the right to use the brand name, receive training, marketing support, and access to the company's operational systems. In return, Regis earns revenue through franchise fees and royalties, which are a percentage of the franchisee's sales. This model allows Regis to expand its reach without the direct capital investment and operational management required for company-owned stores." "Company-Owned Salons" "In this segment, Regis Corporation directly owns and operates its hair salons. These salons are often located in places like strip centers and Walmart stores, offering a range of hair care services and products. While this segment requires more direct investment and management from Regis, it allows the company to have greater control over the customer experience and operational execution. The company uses these owned salons as a base to test new ideas and operational improvements before potentially rolling them out across its franchised locations." "What management is betting on now" "Regis Corporation's current strategy, often referred to as its "Strategic Roadmap," focuses on several key areas to drive growth and value. A major priority is modernizing its Supercuts brand to attract more customers and stylists, aiming to increase foot traffic and the average amount customers spend per visit. The company is also investing in technology, including artificial intelligence (AI), to make salon operations smoother and enhance the customer experience. Furthermore, Regis is looking to optimize its portfolio of brands and explore growth opportunities in promising markets, while also focusing on empowering its franchisees with better tools and support to improve their profitability."
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $42.00 (-277.9% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $-23.61 a share — about 180.3% below today's price of $29.40, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $275.4M. Interest coverage 1.2x.
Regis Corporation's profit covers its interest bill about 1.2 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 3 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $301.43M Interest coverage 1.19x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $426.31M Interest coverage 0.73x -38% vs RGS Carries about 1.6x less debt cushion than RGS.
Total debt $25.57M Interest coverage 1.61x +36% vs RGS Carries about 1.4x more debt cushion than RGS.
Total debt $7.29M Interest coverage -69.82x -100% vs RGS This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with RGS.
Total debt $83.73M Interest coverage 0.92x -23% vs RGS Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than RGS.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know