One-glance verdict
$11.17 our estimate vs market $4.04
Wall Street consensus: $6.33 (-43.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
64% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
TLS · NGM · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Current price
$4.04
52-week range
$3.79 - $8.36
Market cap
$301.94M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $6.33 (-43.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
64% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $43.68M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Telos Corporation is a cybersecurity company that primarily sells security software and identity verification services to the U.S. government. For example, it helps federal agencies manage cyber risks and provides identity services like the TSA PreCheck enrollment program. This heavy reliance on government clients means its financial success is closely tied to winning and renewing these large, long-term contracts.
Telos started in the early 1970s as a technology contractor, providing specialized software for U.S. military and space missions, including NASA's Voyager spacecraft. In the 1980s, it expanded into the personal computer market before shifting its focus to network and information security in the 1990s. A major turning point came in the 2000s with the creation of its Xacta software, which helps organizations manage cybersecurity risks. The company has a long history of serving the U.S. federal government and went public on the stock market in November 2020.
Telos provides advanced cybersecurity and technology solutions primarily for organizations that need very high levels of security, like the U.S. military, intelligence agencies, and other government bodies. Think of them as a digital security guard for complex organizations. Their products and services help protect computer systems from cyberattacks, verify people's identities for secure access, and ensure that sensitive communications and networks are kept safe. For example, Telos is one of the companies authorized to enroll travelers in the TSA PreCheck® program at airports.
This is the company's largest and main growth business, making up the vast majority of its revenue. This segment sells software and services that manage an organization's security risks and compliance (the process of following rules and regulations). Its key products are Xacta, a platform that automates cybersecurity risk management, and Telos ID, which provides identity verification services like fingerprinting and background checks for programs such as TSA PreCheck®. Government agencies and highly regulated businesses pay Telos for these tools to protect their systems and confirm people are who they say they are.
This is the company's original and smaller business, focused on providing hands-on services rather than just software. The Secure Networks team designs, builds, and defends complex computer networks for government and military clients who have critical missions. This includes everything from setting up secure Wi-Fi on a military base to managing and defending entire enterprise networks from cyber threats. This part of the business is more labor-intensive and has lower margins (the profit made on each dollar of sales) compared to the Security Solutions segment.
The company's leadership is focused on winning new contracts and growing its Security Solutions business, which is their most profitable area. A major priority is expanding their identity services, like the TSA PreCheck® enrollment program, which has been a significant growth driver. They are also investing in artificial intelligence for their Xacta platform to further automate the process of managing cybersecurity compliance for their customers. After a period where revenue (the total money earned from sales) declined as large projects ended, the strategy is centered on securing new business to rebuild and accelerate growth.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $6.33 (-43.3% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $11.17 a share — about 176.6% above today's price of $4.04, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $43.7M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage -45.1x.
Telos Corporation's profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $6.97M Interest coverage -45.14x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $53.00M Interest coverage 38.25x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while TLS does not.
Total debt $528.37M Interest coverage -22.31x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $421.56M Interest coverage -0.21x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $6.58B Interest coverage 10.34x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while TLS does not.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
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Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know