One-glance verdict
$27.36 our estimate vs market $4.36
Wall Street consensus: $6.81 (-75.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)
84% below our estimate
Fundamentals snapshot
TROX · NYQ · Basic Materials · Chemicals
Current price
$4.36
52-week range
$2.86 - $10.59
Market cap
$695.49M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $6.81 (-75.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)
84% below our estimate
Balance sheet
Net debt $3.32B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Tronox is a major producer of titanium dioxide (TiO2), a bright white pigment that makes everyday products like paint, plastics, and paper look whiter and more opaque. The company digs up its own raw materials from mines it owns, giving it more control over its supply chain (the entire process of making a product, from sourcing materials to delivering the final item). Because TiO2 is a key ingredient in so many goods for housing and manufacturing, Tronox's business often reflects the overall health of the global economy.
Tronox was created in 2006 when it was separated from a larger company called Kerr-McGee. A key moment in its history was the purchase of Exxaro's mineral sands business in 2012, which allowed Tronox to own its own sources of raw materials. This strategy of owning both the mines and the processing plants is known as vertical integration. Another major step was buying the titanium dioxide (TiO2) business from a company called Cristal in 2019, which made Tronox one of the largest producers in the world. The company faced financial difficulties and filed for bankruptcy in 2009, but it successfully reorganized and came out of it in 2011.
Tronox makes a very bright white powder called titanium dioxide, or TiO2 for short. You've likely encountered this product without knowing it, as it's the key ingredient that makes paints, plastics, and paper appear white, bright, and opaque. Think of the white paint on your walls, the white plastic of a milk jug, or the bright white of high-quality paper. Beyond making things white, TiO2 is also used in sunscreens to block harmful UV rays and can even be found in things like toothpaste.
This is the company's main business, making up the vast majority of its sales, roughly 80%. Tronox mines titanium ore and processes it into a high-quality white pigment. Companies that manufacture products like paints, plastics, and paper buy this pigment to make their own products white and durable. Because this pigment is so widely used in construction and consumer goods, Tronox's sales in this area can be a good indicator of broader economic activity.
When Tronox mines for titanium ore, it also extracts another valuable mineral called zircon, which accounts for about 10-15% of its revenue. Zircon is a very hard and heat-resistant material. Because of these properties, it is sold to manufacturers who use it to make ceramics, such as tiles and bathroom fixtures, and in industrial processes that require high temperatures.
This smaller part of the business sells raw and semi-processed materials to other companies. This includes titanium-bearing materials, known as feedstock, that haven't been turned into the final white pigment yet. It also includes other materials that are co-products (materials produced as a result of making something else) from the mining and pigment-making process, such as high-purity pig iron.
Tronox is focused on becoming more efficient and reducing its costs to improve its financial performance. A key part of its strategy is expanding into the market for rare earth elements, which are minerals crucial for many modern technologies like electric vehicles and wind turbines. The company is also investing in sustainability by working to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions (gases that trap heat in the atmosphere) and improve water management. By controlling its own mines, Tronox aims to have a more stable and predictable supply chain (the entire process of making and selling goods, from getting the raw materials to delivering the final product to customers).
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $6.81 (-75.1% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $27.36 a share — about 528.3% away from today's price of $4.36, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $3.3B. Interest coverage -0.1x.
Tronox Holdings plc's profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here and 3 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $3.54B Interest coverage -0.12x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $4.12B Interest coverage -0.10x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $588.60M Interest coverage -0.79x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $2.50B Interest coverage -0.27x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $964.90M Interest coverage 5.27x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while TROX does not.
Total debt $1.41M Interest coverage 12.43x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while TROX does not.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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Cash flow
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What you should know