One-glance verdict
$-10.19 our estimate vs market $63.46
Wall Street consensus: $66.93 (-757.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)
723% below our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
TRP · NYQ · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream
Current price
$63.46
52-week range
$52.71 - $71.47
Market cap
$66.11B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $66.93 (-757.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)
723% below our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $43.41B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
TC Energy Corporation is like a giant underground highway system for natural gas, moving it from where it's found to where people and businesses need it across North America. Their main income comes from charging fees to transport this gas, which is a pretty steady way to make money because everyone needs energy. This business model helps ensure they have consistent funds, even when other parts of the economy are shaky.
"How the company got here" TC Energy Corporation, originally founded in 1951 as Trans-Canada Pipe Lines Limited, began with the ambitious goal of building a pipeline to bring natural gas from Western Canada to Eastern markets. Over the decades, the company grew through strategic mergers and acquisitions, notably with NOVA Corporation's pipeline business in 1998 and the acquisition of Columbia Pipeline Group in 2016, significantly expanding its U.S. footprint. In 2019, the company rebranded to TC Energy Corporation to better reflect its diversified operations across natural gas, power generation, and energy storage in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. More recently, in 2024, TC Energy completed the separation of its Liquids Pipelines business, sharpening its focus on natural gas infrastructure and power generation. "What it actually does" TC Energy is an energy infrastructure company that primarily transports and stores natural gas, and also has interests in power generation. Instead of producing energy itself, it builds and operates the essential pipelines and facilities that move natural gas from where it's produced to where it's needed for heating homes, powering industries, and generating electricity. The company's extensive network spans across Canada, the United States, and Mexico, making it a critical link in North America's energy supply chain. TC Energy earns money by charging for the use of its pipeline capacity and storage services, often through long-term contracts that provide stable revenue. "Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines" This segment is the backbone of TC Energy's operations in Canada, managing a vast network of natural gas pipelines, including the NGTL System and the Canadian Mainline. These pipelines are crucial for transporting natural gas produced in Western Canada to various markets, including domestic consumers, industrial facilities, and export terminals. The operations within this segment are largely regulated, meaning the company's rates and returns are overseen by government bodies, providing a degree of revenue stability. This segment represents a significant portion of TC Energy's overall business, connecting vital supply basins to demand centers. "U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines" TC Energy's U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines segment encompasses a substantial network of pipelines and storage facilities across the United States, including systems like Columbia Gas, Columbia Gulf, and ANR. These assets are vital for moving natural gas from supply regions to major consumption areas in the Northeast, Midwest, and Gulf Coast, serving power generation plants, industrial users, and export facilities. This segment is a major contributor to TC Energy's earnings, benefiting from regulated frameworks and long-term commercial agreements that ensure predictable revenue streams. "Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines" This segment focuses on TC Energy's natural gas pipeline operations within Mexico, connecting U.S. natural gas supplies to Mexican power generation facilities and industrial consumers. Projects like the Southeast Gateway Pipeline are key components of this segment, highlighting TC Energy's role as a significant investor in Mexico's energy infrastructure. The operations here are often supported by long-duration transportation contracts, providing a stable revenue base for the company's investments in the region. "Power and Energy Solutions" The Power and Energy Solutions segment includes TC Energy's involvement in power generation facilities and natural gas storage. This includes ownership interests in power plants that use natural gas, nuclear, and other sources, contributing to a diverse energy portfolio. It also encompasses non-regulated natural gas storage facilities, which provide flexibility and balancing services to the energy market. A notable asset within this segment is TC Energy's investment in Bruce Power, a major nuclear power generation facility. "What management is betting on now" TC Energy's current strategy is centered on strengthening its position as a leading North American natural gas infrastructure provider. Management is focused on maximizing the value of its existing assets through safe and efficient operations, while also pursuing disciplined growth through selective pipeline expansion projects. A key priority is to capture the increasing demand for natural gas driven by factors like LNG exports and the growing need for electricity to power data centers and artificial intelligence infrastructure. The company is also committed to maintaining financial strength and agility, ensuring it can fund growth while managing its debt effectively. By focusing on its core natural gas and power businesses, TC Energy aims to deliver reliable energy and create long-term value for its stakeholders.
Price history
Earnings history
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Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $66.93 (-757.1% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $-10.19 a share — about 116.1% below today's price of $63.46, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $43.4B. Interest coverage 2.4x.
TC Energy Corporation's profit covers its interest bill about 2.4 times over.
Total debt $44.59B Interest coverage 2.38x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $81.15B Interest coverage 2.31x -3% vs TRP Has roughly the same debt cushion as TRP.
Total debt $34.21B Interest coverage 4.90x +106% vs TRP Carries about 2.1x more debt cushion than TRP.
Total debt $33.40B Interest coverage 2.62x +10% vs TRP Has roughly the same debt cushion as TRP.
Total debt $33.93B Interest coverage 3.06x +29% vs TRP Carries about 1.3x more debt cushion than TRP.
Total debt $70.71B Interest coverage 2.68x +13% vs TRP Has roughly the same debt cushion as TRP.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know