One-glance verdict
$48.06 our estimate vs market $3.84
Wall Street consensus: $5.92 (-87.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)
92% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
TRVG · NMS · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Current price
$3.84
52-week range
$2.59 - $6.80
Market cap
$270.94M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $5.92 (-87.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)
92% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $133.58M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Trivago is like a big online comparison website for hotels and places to stay, helping people find the best deals from lots of different travel companies. Most of their money comes from travel companies paying to be listed on their site, which is important because it shows how Trivago makes its income. They make it easy for people to search for hotels, vacation rentals, and apartments all in one place.
<results> <result> <heading>How the company got here</heading> <body>Trivago was founded in Germany in 2005 by three friends who saw an opportunity to make hotel searching easier. They created the first hotel search engine in Germany, aiming to help travelers compare prices from different booking sites all in one place. After receiving initial investment, the company grew, expanding its platform and eventually being acquired by Expedia Group. In 2016, Trivago became a publicly traded company on the Nasdaq stock exchange. The company has since focused on refining its technology and expanding its global reach, navigating the competitive online travel landscape.</body> </result> <result> <heading>What it actually does</heading> <body>Trivago operates a hotel search engine that acts like a comparison website for accommodations. Think of it like a search engine for hotels, but instead of showing you websites, it shows you prices from many different booking sites, hotel chains, and individual hotels. When you search for a place to stay on Trivago, it pulls together prices from various sources, allowing you to compare them easily. Trivago doesn't actually book the hotel for you or own any hotels; its main job is to direct you to the booking website where you can make the reservation.</body> </result> <result> <heading>Referral Revenue</heading> <body>Trivago makes money primarily through "Referral Revenue." This means that when you click on a hotel offer or advertisement on Trivago's website or app and are sent to a booking site, the booking site pays Trivago. It's like a commission for sending a potential customer their way. This revenue comes from online travel agencies (OTAs) and hotels themselves, who pay Trivago for each click that leads to their site. This segment represents the vast majority of Trivago's income, with a significant portion coming from major booking platforms like Expedia Group and Booking Holdings.</body> </result> <result> <heading>Americas</heading> <body>This is one of Trivago's main geographical segments, covering countries like the United States, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and others in North and South America. Revenue from this region is generated through the same referral model, where clicks on hotel listings lead to payments from advertisers. The Americas segment has become Trivago's largest source of revenue, contributing a significant share of the company's overall income. This indicates a strong user base and a high volume of hotel searches and clicks originating from this part of the world.</body> </result> <result> <heading>Developed Europe</heading> <body>This segment includes key European markets such as Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Spain, and Italy, among others. Similar to other segments, Trivago earns revenue here when users click on hotel offers, directing them to booking partners. Developed Europe is a substantial contributor to Trivago's total revenue, reflecting the platform's popularity and usage in these established travel markets. The company focuses on driving traffic and conversions within this region through its search and comparison services.</body> </result> <result> <heading>Rest of World (RoW)</heading> <body>This segment encompasses all the countries not included in the Americas or Developed Europe segments. It includes a wide range of countries across Asia, Africa, and Oceania, with significant revenue contributions historically coming from places like Japan and Australia. The revenue model remains consistent: Trivago earns money when users click on hotel advertisements and are referred to booking sites. While it may be more fragmented than other regions, the Rest of World segment is important for Trivago's global presence and offers opportunities for growth as more travelers worldwide use online platforms to book accommodations.</body> </result> <result> <heading>What management is betting on now</heading> <body>Trivago's management is focused on driving growth through strategic brand marketing, aiming to make Trivago the go-to platform for travelers seeking hotel deals. They are investing in building a "flywheel" effect, where increased brand awareness and marketing spend lead to more traffic, which in turn generates more revenue. This strategy involves optimizing their marketing mix, including a greater emphasis on owned and direct channels, to reduce reliance on search engines. They are also working on improving their product's conversion rates and leveraging their logged-in member base to drive more revenue. The company aims for sustained growth with improving profitability, targeting a specific Adjusted EBITDA margin in the coming years.</body> </result> </results>
Price history
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $5.92 (-87.7% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $48.06 a share — about 1,151.7% above today's price of $3.84, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $133.6M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 37.3x.
trivago N.V.'s profit covers its interest bill about 37.3 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $39.56M Interest coverage 37.32x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $893.90M Interest coverage 1.95x -95% vs TRVG Carries about 19.2x less debt cushion than TRVG.
Total debt $1.47B Interest coverage 1.70x -95% vs TRVG Carries about 22.0x less debt cushion than TRVG.
Total debt $16.12M Interest coverage -0.99x -100% vs TRVG This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with TRVG.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
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Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know