Knowstox

Fundamentals snapshot

trivago N.V.

TRVG · NMS · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Current price

$3.84

52-week range

$2.59 - $6.80

Market cap

$270.94M

One-glance verdict

Undervalued

$48.06 our estimate vs market $3.84

Wall Street consensus: $5.92 (-87.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Healthy

37.32x Strong cushion

Net cash $133.58M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

trivago N.V.

Trivago is like a big online comparison website for hotels and places to stay, helping people find the best deals from lots of different travel companies. Most of their money comes from travel companies paying to be listed on their site, which is important because it shows how Trivago makes its income. They make it easy for people to search for hotels, vacation rentals, and apartments all in one place.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $48.06 vs current price $3.84

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $5.92 (-87.7% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $48.06 a share — about 1,151.7% above today's price of $3.84, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).

undervalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 12.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 3.0%

$48.06

Bear

Growth 5.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 3.0%

$33.82

Bull

Growth 20.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 3.0%

$72.22

Is it drowning in debt?

Healthy

Net cash $133.6M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 37.3x.

Net debt $-133.58M
Interest coverage 37.32x

trivago N.V.'s profit covers its interest bill about 37.3 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Healthy
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
TRVG BASELINE trivago N.V.

Total debt $39.56M Interest coverage 37.32x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $893.90M Interest coverage 1.95x -95% vs TRVG Carries about 19.2x less debt cushion than TRVG.

Total debt $1.47B Interest coverage 1.70x -95% vs TRVG Carries about 22.0x less debt cushion than TRVG.

Total debt $16.12M Interest coverage -0.99x -100% vs TRVG This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with TRVG.

What you should know

The case for and against TRVG

3 Rewards 3 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 19.1% last year.
  • Returns 6.7% on equity, ahead of 66% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 4/10 years.

Risks

  • Forward P/E (33.8x) is higher than trailing (22.6x) - earnings are expected to drop.
  • Stock trades 16.8% above its 5-year average P/E.
  • Operating margin compressed from 12.0% to -3.4% over 3 years.

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
22.59x
Forward P/E
33.85x
P/B
1.18x
P/S
0.45x
EV/EBITDA
19.62x
PEG ratio
5.98x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
96.0%
Operating margin
-3.4%
Net margin
2.2%
ROE
6.7%
ROA
0.6%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.17x
Current ratio
1.65x
Quick ratio
1.60x
Total debt
$39.56M
Total cash
$173.14M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$665.59M
Revenue 5Y CAGR
0.9%
EPS TTM
0.17
EPS 5Y CAGR
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Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$8.62M
Free CF TTM
$3.59M
FCF margin
0.5%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
2023-11-14