One-glance verdict
$162.18 our estimate vs market $75.41
Wall Street consensus: $101.81 (-37.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
54% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
UBER · NYQ · Technology · Software - Application
Current price
$75.41
52-week range
$65.41 - $101.99
Market cap
$154.02B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $101.81 (-37.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
54% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $9.34B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Uber is a technology company that makes most of its money from its two well-known app-based services: connecting riders with drivers for transportation and delivering food and other items from local businesses through Uber Eats. The company is also growing its freight business, which acts like an Uber for trucking, by connecting companies that need to ship goods with available carriers. By building a large ecosystem (a network of connected services), Uber aims to become the main app people use for moving themselves, their food, and their products from one place to another.
Founded in 2009 as UberCab, the company started with a simple idea: to let people request a ride from their phone. This concept of connecting drivers with riders through an app quickly grew, disrupting the traditional taxi industry in cities worldwide. Over the years, Uber expanded beyond just rides, launching services for food delivery and freight shipping. The company faced challenges, including controversies over its business practices and the impact of the pandemic on its ride-hailing business, but has since focused on diversifying its offerings and achieving profitability.
At its core, Uber is a technology company that plays matchmaker. It runs smartphone apps that connect people who need a ride with available drivers, or people who are hungry with restaurants and couriers. The company doesn't own the cars or employ the drivers and couriers directly; instead, it operates as a massive network, taking a percentage of the fee for each ride or delivery it facilitates. This approach is known as an asset-light business model (a strategy where a company has relatively few capital assets compared to its operations).
This is the original and largest part of Uber's business, making up more than half of its total revenue. It's the ride-hailing service most people are familiar with, where you can use the app to book a ride in a car. Riders pay for the trip, and Uber takes a commission (a percentage of the fare) before paying the driver. This segment also includes newer options like electric bike and scooter rentals, as well as partnerships with public transit.
Commonly known as Uber Eats, this segment is a fast-growing part of the company, contributing about a third of total revenue. It allows you to order food from restaurants and have it delivered to your door. Restaurants pay Uber a commission on each order, and customers pay a delivery fee. This business has expanded beyond just restaurant meals to include groceries, convenience items, and alcohol delivery.
This is a smaller but significant part of Uber's business that many consumers may not be aware of. Uber Freight connects truck drivers with companies that need to ship goods, acting like a digital freight broker. Shippers (companies sending goods) pay to have their loads transported, and Uber takes a percentage of that payment as its fee for matching them with a carrier (the trucking company or independent driver). The goal is to make the process of finding and booking shipments more efficient than the traditional method of phone calls and faxes.
Uber's leadership is focused on making its platform a one-stop shop for all transportation and delivery needs. A key priority is growing its membership program, Uber One, which offers discounts on both rides and deliveries to encourage customer loyalty. The company is also investing in advertising within its apps, allowing restaurants and other businesses to pay for better visibility to its large user base. Additionally, Uber is looking towards the future by partnering with companies developing autonomous (self-driving) vehicles and expanding its services for corporate clients.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $101.81 (-37.2% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $162.18 a share — about 115.1% above today's price of $75.41, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $9.3B. Interest coverage 12.6x.
Uber Technologies, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 12.6 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $14.73B Interest coverage 12.65x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $1.29B Interest coverage -9.08x -100% vs UBER This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with UBER.
Total debt $3.30B Interest coverage 362.50x +2,766% vs UBER Carries about 28.7x more debt cushion than UBER.
Total debt $2.50B Interest coverage 30.65x +142% vs UBER Carries about 2.4x more debt cushion than UBER.
Total debt $2.03B Interest coverage 3.13x -75% vs UBER Carries about 4.0x less debt cushion than UBER.
Total debt $34.00M Interest coverage 8.74x -31% vs UBER Carries about 1.4x less debt cushion than UBER.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
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Debt comparison
What you should know