One-glance verdict
$67.39 our estimate vs market $16.69
Wall Street consensus: $16.00 (-76.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
75% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
ULH · NMS · Industrials · Trucking
Current price
$16.69
52-week range
$11.73 - $25.80
Market cap
$440.08M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $16.00 (-76.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
75% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $818.21M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Universal Logistics Holdings is a transportation company that acts as the shipping and handling department for other large businesses, especially in the automotive and retail industries. It earns money by managing key steps in its customers' supply chains (the entire journey of a product from raw material to the final consumer), from warehousing parts to trucking finished goods. This means the company's financial health is often directly connected to the success of the major industries it serves.
Founded in 1981, the company started as Universal Truckload Services, Inc., focusing on traditional trucking. Over the years, it expanded its services to become a more comprehensive logistics provider. A key turning point was in 2016 when it changed its name to Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. to reflect its broader range of services beyond just truckload transportation. The company has grown by acquiring other businesses, which has helped it diversify its customer base and service offerings, particularly in the intermodal and contract logistics spaces.
Think of Universal Logistics Holdings as a company that helps other businesses move their goods and manage their supply chains (the entire process of making and selling goods). They offer a variety of transportation and logistics solutions across the United States, Mexico, Canada, and Colombia. This means they can handle everything from trucking and warehousing to more complex services that are deeply integrated into a customer's manufacturing process. They serve a wide range of industries including automotive, retail, and manufacturing.
This is the company's largest and most profitable segment. Here, Universal provides dedicated services to businesses, often on-site at their customer's facilities. This can include managing a customer's warehouse, handling materials, and providing short-haul transportation of goods. Essentially, businesses pay Universal to become a crucial part of their internal logistics operations, often under contracts that last for a year or more.
This segment focuses on moving shipping containers. When goods arrive at a port on a ship or at a rail yard on a train, this part of the business arranges for a truck to pick up the container and take it to its final destination. This service is crucial for companies that import goods. Customers, such as steamship lines and railroad companies, pay for these local and regional transportation services.
This is the company's more traditional trucking business. It involves transporting a wide variety of goods for different customers, such as automotive parts, building materials, and consumer products. This segment uses different types of trucks, including flatbeds for large items and refrigerated trucks for temperature-sensitive goods. Customers pay to have their freight moved from one point to another.
The company's leadership is focused on becoming more deeply embedded in their customers' supply chains, rather than just providing basic transportation. They are also concentrating on specialized, high-value freight, such as hauling components for the wind energy sector, to improve profitability even when the overall freight market is weak. Additionally, management is looking to grow both organically (by selling more services to existing customers) and through further strategic acquisitions.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $16.00 (-76.3% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $67.39 a share — about 303.8% above today's price of $16.69, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $818.2M. Interest coverage 1.2x.
Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 1.2 times over. and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $838.52M Interest coverage 1.23x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $324.43M Interest coverage 1.70x +39% vs ULH Carries about 1.4x more debt cushion than ULH.
Total debt $146.40M Interest coverage -5.38x -100% vs ULH This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with ULH.
Total debt $945.79M Interest coverage 1.43x +17% vs ULH Carries about 1.2x more debt cushion than ULH.
Total debt $459.76M Interest coverage 8.06x +558% vs ULH Carries about 6.6x more debt cushion than ULH.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know