One-glance verdict
$2.09 our estimate vs market $12.00
Wall Street consensus: $16.22 (675.5% higher than our fair-value estimate)
474% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
VALE · NYQ · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Current price
$12.00
52-week range
$11.43 - $17.94
Market cap
$51.07B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $16.22 (675.5% higher than our fair-value estimate)
474% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $14.92B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Vale S.A. mines and sells essential metals like iron ore and nickel, which are used to make things like steel and batteries. The money it makes mostly comes from selling these mined materials, and its success matters because these metals are crucial for building infrastructure and powering new technologies.
"How the company got here" "Vale S.A. was founded in 1942 by the Brazilian government as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, initially to supply iron ore to Allied nations during World War II and to drive Brazil's industrialization. It began as a state-owned enterprise, with its early operations focused on extracting iron ore from Minas Gerais and transporting it via the Vitória-Minas Railway. A significant turning point was the privatization of the company in 1997, which opened the door for international expansion and access to global capital markets. Over the decades, Vale has grown into one of the world's largest mining companies, diversifying its portfolio beyond iron ore to include nickel, copper, and other metals, while also developing extensive logistics networks, including railways, ports, and ships. The company has faced significant challenges, including environmental disasters, which have led to reforms in safety and operational practices." "What it actually does" "Vale S.A. is a global mining giant that extracts, processes, and sells a variety of essential minerals. While it's most known for being the world's largest producer of iron ore, used primarily to make steel, Vale also mines significant amounts of nickel, which is crucial for stainless steel and batteries, and copper, vital for electrification and infrastructure. The company's operations are highly integrated, meaning it not only mines these resources but also manages the complex logistics required to transport them worldwide, using its own railways, ports, and ships. Vale also produces by-products like gold, silver, and cobalt, and is increasingly focused on metals needed for the energy transition." "Iron Ore Solutions" "This is Vale's largest business, focusing on the extraction and production of iron ore and iron ore pellets. Iron ore is the main ingredient used to produce steel, which is essential for construction, manufacturing, and infrastructure projects worldwide. Vale is the world's leading producer of iron ore, known for its high-grade quality, particularly from its Carajás operations in Brazil. The company also produces iron ore briquettes, an innovative product designed to reduce carbon emissions during steelmaking. This segment is supported by Vale's extensive logistics network, ensuring efficient delivery to customers, especially in Asia, which is a major market for steel production." "Vale Base Metals" "This segment is focused on producing metals critical for the global energy transition, primarily nickel and copper. Nickel is a key component in batteries for electric vehicles (EVs) and in the production of stainless steel, while copper is essential for electrical wiring, renewable energy technologies, and infrastructure development. Vale is one of the world's largest nickel producers and has significant copper operations in Brazil, Canada, and Indonesia. The company is strategically investing in this area to meet the growing demand driven by electrification and the shift towards cleaner energy sources." "What management is betting on now" "Vale's current strategy centers on three main pillars: optimizing its leading iron ore business, growing its portfolio of metals for the energy transition, and strengthening its commitment to safety and sustainability. Management is focused on improving the reliability and product mix within its iron ore operations, aiming for operational excellence and cost competitiveness. Simultaneously, Vale is accelerating growth in its base metals segment, particularly copper and nickel, to capitalize on the increasing demand from electrification and renewable energy technologies. A significant priority is also enhancing safety protocols and advancing decarbonization efforts, reflecting a commitment to responsible mining and reducing environmental impact, especially after past incidents."
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $16.22 (675.5% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $2.09 a share — about 82.6% below today's price of $12.00, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $14.9B. Interest coverage 5.6x.
Vale S.A.'s profit covers its interest bill about 5.6 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $20.48B Interest coverage 5.56x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $28.43B Interest coverage 12.10x +118% vs VALE Carries about 2.2x more debt cushion than VALE.
Total debt $22.85B Interest coverage 8.45x +52% vs VALE Carries about 1.5x more debt cushion than VALE.
Total debt $10.36B Interest coverage 17.62x +217% vs VALE Carries about 3.2x more debt cushion than VALE.
Total debt $8.51B Interest coverage 18.96x +241% vs VALE Carries about 3.4x more debt cushion than VALE.
Total debt $5.58B Interest coverage 48.14x +766% vs VALE Carries about 8.7x more debt cushion than VALE.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know