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Fundamentals snapshot

Vale S.A.

VALE · NYQ · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Current price

$12.00

52-week range

$11.43 - $17.94

Market cap

$51.07B

One-glance verdict

Overvalued

$2.09 our estimate vs market $12.00

Wall Street consensus: $16.22 (675.5% higher than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Distressed

5.56x Adequate

Net debt $14.92B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Vale S.A.

Vale S.A. mines and sells essential metals like iron ore and nickel, which are used to make things like steel and batteries. The money it makes mostly comes from selling these mined materials, and its success matters because these metals are crucial for building infrastructure and powering new technologies.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2011 Q4 $8.42B FY2012 Q4 $818.00M
Revenue $48.75B
Net income $5.51B
Diluted EPS —
Operating cash flow $16.59B
Free cash flow $818.00M
Revenue $60.39B
Net income $22.89B
Diluted EPS —
Operating cash flow $24.50B
Free cash flow $8.42B

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $2.09 vs current price $12.00

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $16.22 (675.5% higher than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $2.09 a share — about 82.6% below today's price of $12.00, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).

overvalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 7.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$2.09

Bear

Growth 3.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$0.91

Bull

Growth 12.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$3.97

Is it drowning in debt?

Distressed

Net debt $14.9B. Interest coverage 5.6x.

Net debt $14.92B
Interest coverage 5.56x

Vale S.A.'s profit covers its interest bill about 5.6 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.

Distressed
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
VALE BASELINE Vale S.A.

Total debt $20.48B Interest coverage 5.56x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $28.43B Interest coverage 12.10x +118% vs VALE Carries about 2.2x more debt cushion than VALE.

Total debt $22.85B Interest coverage 8.45x +52% vs VALE Carries about 1.5x more debt cushion than VALE.

Total debt $10.36B Interest coverage 17.62x +217% vs VALE Carries about 3.2x more debt cushion than VALE.

Total debt $8.51B Interest coverage 18.96x +241% vs VALE Carries about 3.4x more debt cushion than VALE.

Total debt $5.58B Interest coverage 48.14x +766% vs VALE Carries about 8.7x more debt cushion than VALE.

What you should know

The case for and against VALE

2 Rewards 3 Risks

Rewards

  • Free cash flow was positive in 4/10 years.
  • Dividend yield is 6.8% with 25-year payout history.

Risks

  • Stock trades 124.8% above its 5-year average P/E.
  • Net debt grew 33.8% over 3 years.
  • Operating margin compressed from 40.6% to 22.0% over 3 years.

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
24.00x
Forward P/E
6.43x
P/B
1.31x
P/S
0.23x
EV/EBITDA
1.76x
PEG ratio
0.30x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
34.9%
Operating margin
22.0%
Net margin
4.8%
ROE
4.1%
ROA
7.9%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.55x
Current ratio
1.19x
Quick ratio
0.68x
Total debt
$20.48B
Total cash
$5.56B

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$179.56B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
6.1%
EPS TTM
0.50
EPS 5Y CAGR
-48.6%

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$67.90B
Free CF TTM
$520.33M
FCF margin
0.3%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
6.8%
Payout ratio
159.1%
Last ex-div date
2026-08-13