Knowstox

Fundamentals snapshot

Vince Holding Corp.

VNCE · NCM · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Current price

$12.68

52-week range

$1.95 - $13.88

Market cap

$164.14M

One-glance verdict

Within fair range

$16.45 our estimate vs market $12.68

Wall Street consensus: $15.00 (-8.8% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Distressed

2.70x Stretched

Net debt $113.47M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Vince Holding Corp.

Vince Holding Corp. sells stylish women's and men's clothing and accessories, like cashmere sweaters and leather jackets, mainly through its own stores and online. Their success relies on making a good profit on each item they sell, known as their margins (the percentage of each sales dollar left after paying for the costs to make and sell the product). This allows them to continue offering their fashionable products and stay in business.

Price history

How the share price has moved

—
Loading price history…

Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2025 Q4 $5.13M FY2026 Q1 $21.18M FY2026 Q2 $-13.24M FY2026 Q3 $2.10M FY2026 Q4 $-5.70M FY2027 Q2 $-9.13M FY2027 Q3 $17.39M
Revenue $81.79M
Net income $10.60M
Diluted EPS 0.80
Operating cash flow $18.14M
Free cash flow $17.39M
Revenue $64.03M
Net income $-2.10M
Diluted EPS -0.16
Operating cash flow $-8.91M
Free cash flow $-9.13M
Revenue $85.13M
Net income $2.73M
Diluted EPS 0.21
Operating cash flow $-5.07M
Free cash flow $-5.70M
Revenue $73.24M
Net income $12.06M
Diluted EPS 0.93
Operating cash flow $4.20M
Free cash flow $2.10M
Revenue $57.93M
Net income $-4.80M
Diluted EPS -0.37
Operating cash flow $-11.82M
Free cash flow $-13.24M
Revenue $79.95M
Net income $-28.34M
Diluted EPS -2.25
Operating cash flow $22.69M
Free cash flow $21.18M
Revenue $80.16M
Net income $4.35M
Diluted EPS 0.34
Operating cash flow $6.44M
Free cash flow $5.13M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $16.45 vs current price $12.68

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $15.00 (-8.8% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $16.45 a share — about 29.7% away from today's price of $12.68, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.

fair

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 8.0% · Discount 10.1% · Terminal 2.5%

$16.45

Bear

Growth 2.5% · Discount 10.1% · Terminal 2.5%

$9.87

Bull

Growth 15.0% · Discount 10.1% · Terminal 2.5%

$28.02

Is it drowning in debt?

Distressed

Net debt $113.5M. Interest coverage 2.7x.

Net debt $113.47M
Interest coverage 2.70x

Vince Holding Corp.'s profit covers its interest bill about 2.7 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Distressed
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
VNCE BASELINE Vince Holding Corp.

Total debt $114.48M Interest coverage 2.70x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $38.94M Interest coverage -6.36x -100% vs VNCE This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with VNCE.

Total debt $8.95M Interest coverage 3.89x +44% vs VNCE Carries about 1.4x more debt cushion than VNCE.

Total debt $622.55M Interest coverage -1.67x -100% vs VNCE This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with VNCE.

Total debt $93.27M Interest coverage 2.60x -3% vs VNCE Has roughly the same debt cushion as VNCE.

What you should know

The case for and against VNCE

3 Rewards 1 Risk

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 4.9% last year.
  • Returns 14.1% on equity, ahead of 80% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 4/10 years.

Risks

  • Stock trades 511.7% above its 5-year average P/E.

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
21.86x
Forward P/E
13.78x
P/B
2.79x
P/S
0.52x
EV/EBITDA
17.33x
PEG ratio
—

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
52.5%
Operating margin
16.6%
Net margin
2.4%
ROE
14.1%
ROA
3.6%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
1.95x
Current ratio
1.49x
Quick ratio
0.40x
Total debt
$114.48M
Total cash
$1.01M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$314.66M
Revenue 5Y CAGR
-1.8%
EPS TTM
0.58
EPS 5Y CAGR
—

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$19.83M
Free CF TTM
$-1.30M
FCF margin
-0.4%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
—