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Fundamentals snapshot

ATI Inc.

ATI · NYQ · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Current price

$165.59

52-week range

$93.11 - $243.57

Market cap

$22.49B

One-glance verdict

Overvalued

$59.05 our estimate vs market $165.59

Wall Street consensus: $247.22 (318.7% higher than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Watch

5.80x Adequate

Net debt $1.42B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

ATI Inc.

ATI Inc. makes special metals and parts like titanium and nickel alloys that go into things like airplanes and medical equipment. Their money mainly comes from selling these tough materials to important industries like aerospace and defense, which matters because it shows how crucial their products are for high-tech applications.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q4 $333.60M FY2025 Q1 $-145.80M FY2025 Q2 $89.40M FY2025 Q3 $167.00M FY2025 Q4 $223.10M FY2026 Q1 $73.00M FY2026 Q2 $63.20M FY2026 Q3 $61.80M
Revenue $1.42B
Net income $189.80M
Diluted EPS 1.37
Operating cash flow $154.60M
Free cash flow $61.80M
Revenue $1.26B
Net income $151.00M
Diluted EPS 1.09
Operating cash flow $131.80M
Free cash flow $63.20M
Revenue $1.15B
Net income $118.20M
Diluted EPS 0.85
Operating cash flow $128.20M
Free cash flow $73.00M
Revenue $1.18B
Net income $96.60M
Diluted EPS 0.70
Operating cash flow $315.80M
Free cash flow $223.10M
Revenue $1.13B
Net income $110.00M
Diluted EPS 0.78
Operating cash flow $229.50M
Free cash flow $167.00M
Revenue $1.14B
Net income $100.70M
Diluted EPS 0.70
Operating cash flow $161.50M
Free cash flow $89.40M
Revenue $1.14B
Net income $97.00M
Diluted EPS 0.67
Operating cash flow $-92.50M
Free cash flow $-145.80M
Revenue $1.17B
Net income $137.10M
Diluted EPS 0.94
Operating cash flow $380.90M
Free cash flow $333.60M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $59.05 vs current price $165.59

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $247.22 (318.7% higher than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $59.05 a share — about 64.3% below today's price of $165.59, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).

overvalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 10.0% · Discount 8.1% · Terminal 2.5%

$59.05

Bear

Growth 5.0% · Discount 8.1% · Terminal 2.5%

$41.78

Bull

Growth 18.0% · Discount 8.1% · Terminal 2.5%

$97.99

Is it drowning in debt?

Watch

Net debt $1.4B. Interest coverage 5.8x.

Net debt $1.42B
Interest coverage 5.80x

ATI Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 5.8 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.

Watch
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
ATI BASELINE ATI Inc.

Total debt $1.86B Interest coverage 5.80x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $699.30M Interest coverage 16.03x +176% vs ATI Carries about 2.8x more debt cushion than ATI.

Total debt $4.62B Interest coverage 14.11x +143% vs ATI Carries about 2.4x more debt cushion than ATI.

Total debt $1.97B Interest coverage 6.08x +5% vs ATI Has roughly the same debt cushion as ATI.

Total debt $934.90M Interest coverage 4.55x -22% vs ATI Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than ATI.

Total debt $1.07B Interest coverage 3.81x -34% vs ATI Carries about 1.5x less debt cushion than ATI.

What you should know

The case for and against ATI

3 Rewards 3 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 9.3% last year.
  • Returns 28.7% on equity, ahead of 66% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 6/10 years.

Risks

  • Stock trades 81.1% above its 5-year average P/E.
  • Net debt grew 14.5% over 3 years.
  • Insider ownership is only 0.8% (peer median: 1.0%).

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
41.40x
Forward P/E
25.35x
P/B
11.22x
P/S
4.49x
EV/EBITDA
23.05x
PEG ratio
1.33x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
25.1%
Operating margin
19.9%
Net margin
11.1%
ROE
28.7%
ROA
10.4%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.87x
Current ratio
2.77x
Quick ratio
1.17x
Total debt
$1.86B
Total cash
$442.30M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$5.01B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
13.1%
EPS TTM
4.00
EPS 5Y CAGR
8.5%

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$730.40M
Free CF TTM
$333.70M
FCF margin
6.7%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
2016-08-16