One-glance verdict
$59.05 our estimate vs market $165.59
Wall Street consensus: $247.22 (318.7% higher than our fair-value estimate)
180% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
ATI · NYQ · Industrials · Metal Fabrication
Current price
$165.59
52-week range
$93.11 - $243.57
Market cap
$22.49B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $247.22 (318.7% higher than our fair-value estimate)
180% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $1.42B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
ATI Inc. makes special metals and parts like titanium and nickel alloys that go into things like airplanes and medical equipment. Their money mainly comes from selling these tough materials to important industries like aerospace and defense, which matters because it shows how crucial their products are for high-tech applications.
"How the company got here" ATI Inc., formerly Allegheny Technologies Incorporated, was formed in 1996 through the merger of Allegheny Ludlum Corporation, a steel innovator with roots tracing back to 1776, and Teledyne, a conglomerate in electronics and aerospace. Over the years, ATI has strategically shifted its focus from a broader specialty metals producer to a more specialized advanced materials company. A key turning point was the 2011 acquisition of Ladish, which significantly enhanced ATI's capabilities in forged products and deepened its exposure to the aerospace sector. More recently, the company has continued to refine its portfolio, moving away from lower-value commodity products and concentrating on higher-margin, technically differentiated materials and components. "What it actually does" ATI Inc. is a global manufacturer that creates highly specialized metals and complex components. These aren't your everyday metals; they are engineered to perform under extreme conditions, such as high temperatures, intense pressure, and corrosive environments. Think of the critical parts inside jet engines, advanced medical devices, or robust defense systems – that's where ATI's materials shine. The company's expertise lies in its deep understanding of materials science and its advanced manufacturing processes, allowing it to produce materials with specific, high-performance characteristics that are essential for demanding applications. "High Performance Materials & Components" This segment is ATI's primary revenue generator, accounting for about 52.2% of the company's sales. It focuses on producing advanced materials and components for applications where failure is not an option, such as in aerospace and defense. Products include titanium, nickel-based, and cobalt-based alloys, as well as precision forgings and machined components. These materials are crucial for parts like jet engine components, airframes, and defense systems, where strength, heat resistance, and durability are paramount. The segment is integrated from raw materials through to finished parts, offering a complete supply chain for its customers. "Advanced Alloys & Solutions" This segment makes up the remaining 47.8% of ATI's sales and focuses on providing value-added flat-rolled products and specialty materials. It encompasses specialty rolled products, specialty alloys, and standard stainless steel products. These materials are used in a variety of industries, including medical, energy, automotive, and construction. For example, ATI's niobium-titanium alloys are used in MRI machines, and their zirconium alloys are used in nuclear reactors due to their resistance to extreme heat, radiation, and corrosion. This segment leverages ATI's melting technologies and processing capabilities to deliver advanced alloys in forms like plates, sheets, and strips. "What management is betting on now" ATI's management is focused on strengthening its position as a leader in the aerospace and defense markets, which currently represent the majority of its revenue. A key strategy is to increase the company's content per aircraft engine and to secure long-term agreements with customers to ensure stable demand. Management is also prioritizing operational improvements to increase efficiency and cash generation, aiming to convert earnings into free cash flow. Furthermore, ATI is committed to disciplined capital allocation, meaning they are carefully choosing where to invest, focusing on high-return growth projects and returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases. The company is also exploring opportunities in emerging markets like electric vehicles and renewable energy.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $247.22 (318.7% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $59.05 a share — about 64.3% below today's price of $165.59, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $1.4B. Interest coverage 5.8x.
ATI Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 5.8 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $1.86B Interest coverage 5.80x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $699.30M Interest coverage 16.03x +176% vs ATI Carries about 2.8x more debt cushion than ATI.
Total debt $4.62B Interest coverage 14.11x +143% vs ATI Carries about 2.4x more debt cushion than ATI.
Total debt $1.97B Interest coverage 6.08x +5% vs ATI Has roughly the same debt cushion as ATI.
Total debt $934.90M Interest coverage 4.55x -22% vs ATI Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than ATI.
Total debt $1.07B Interest coverage 3.81x -34% vs ATI Carries about 1.5x less debt cushion than ATI.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know