One-glance verdict
$24.24 our estimate vs market $5.99
Wall Street consensus: $4.21 (-82.6% lower than our fair-value estimate)
75% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
BMBL · NMS · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Current price
$5.99
52-week range
$2.44 - $6.00
Market cap
$926.83M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $4.21 (-82.6% lower than our fair-value estimate)
75% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $255.66M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Bumble Inc. helps people find dates and friends through its dating and social networking apps, like Bumble and Badoo. The company makes money mostly from people paying for extra features within these apps (these are called in-app purchases) and subscriptions, which are like recurring payments for continued access to services. This is important because it shows how Bumble is trying to earn money from its users beyond just getting them to download the app.
"How the company got here": "Bumble was founded in 2014 by Whitney Wolfe Herd, who had previously been a co-founder of Tinder. She envisioned a dating app that prioritized women's safety and control, leading to the creation of Bumble's signature feature where women make the first move in heterosexual matches. Initially part of MagicLab, which also included the dating app Badoo, Bumble grew rapidly. In 2019, Blackstone acquired a majority stake in MagicLab, and in 2020, the company was renamed Bumble Inc. Bumble went public in February 2021, and has since focused on strategic acquisitions and product innovation, including the introduction of features for friendship and professional networking. The company has also undergone restructuring and leadership changes to optimize operations and focus on growth." "What it actually does": "Bumble Inc. operates a suite of mobile applications designed for social discovery, primarily focusing on dating, but also extending to friendship and professional networking. The core business model is freemium, meaning users can access basic features for free, with revenue generated through optional in-app purchases and premium subscriptions. These paid features often enhance user visibility, offer advanced filtering options, or provide additional engagement tools. The company's apps are designed to foster more intentional and safer connections, with a particular emphasis on empowering women." "Bumble App": "The Bumble App is the company's flagship product and its primary driver of revenue growth and brand recognition. This app is where the core concept of women making the first move in heterosexual matches is implemented, aiming to create a more respectful and controlled dating environment. While the app is free to use, Bumble generates significant revenue from users who purchase premium subscriptions or in-app items that offer benefits like increased profile visibility or the ability to see who has liked them. The Bumble App accounts for the majority of Bumble Inc.'s revenue, making it the most critical segment for the company's financial performance." "Badoo App and Other": "Badoo is a global dating app that is free to use and has a broad international presence, complementing Bumble's offerings. While Bumble App focuses on a women-first approach, Badoo operates as a more traditional dating platform with a large user base, particularly strong in Europe and other international markets. Revenue from Badoo, along with other smaller brands and experimental apps in Bumble's portfolio, contributes to the company's overall income. This segment provides international reach and helps diversify Bumble's revenue streams beyond its primary Bumble App." "What management is betting on now": "Bumble's current strategy centers on refining its core Bumble App to enhance user experience and drive sustainable growth, while also focusing on operational efficiency and profitability. Management is investing in technological innovation, particularly artificial intelligence (AI), to improve matching algorithms, personalize user experiences, and enhance safety features on the platform. The company is also prioritizing a 'quality reset' by focusing on attracting and retaining users who are more likely to engage and convert to paying customers, even if it means a smaller overall user base. This strategic shift aims to balance growth with profitability, ensuring the long-term health and competitiveness of its social discovery platforms."
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $4.21 (-82.6% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $24.24 a share — about 304.9% above today's price of $5.99, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $255.7M. Interest coverage 5.7x.
Bumble Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 5.7 times over. and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $445.92M Interest coverage 5.67x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $3.67B Interest coverage 6.17x +9% vs BMBL Has roughly the same debt cushion as BMBL.
Total debt $386.68M Interest coverage 7.16x +26% vs BMBL Carries about 1.3x more debt cushion than BMBL.
Total debt $10.23M Interest coverage 18.70x +230% vs BMBL Carries about 3.3x more debt cushion than BMBL.
Total debt $4.13B Interest coverage -4.36x -100% vs BMBL This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with BMBL.
Total debt $1.20B Interest coverage 21.03x +271% vs BMBL Carries about 3.7x more debt cushion than BMBL.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know