Knowstox

Fundamentals snapshot

Bumble Inc.

BMBL · NMS · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Current price

$5.99

52-week range

$2.44 - $6.00

Market cap

$926.83M

One-glance verdict

Undervalued

$24.24 our estimate vs market $5.99

Wall Street consensus: $4.21 (-82.6% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Watch

5.67x Adequate

Net debt $255.66M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Bumble Inc.

Bumble Inc. helps people find dates and friends through its dating and social networking apps, like Bumble and Badoo. The company makes money mostly from people paying for extra features within these apps (these are called in-app purchases) and subscriptions, which are like recurring payments for continued access to services. This is important because it shows how Bumble is trying to earn money from its users beyond just getting them to download the app.

Price history

How the share price has moved

—
Loading price history…

Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Revenue $207.09M
Net income $27.25M
Diluted EPS 0.20
Operating cash flow $56.04M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $210.53M
Net income $-110.06M
Diluted EPS -0.84
Operating cash flow $53.63M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $212.38M
Net income $45.21M
Diluted EPS 0.34
Operating cash flow $77.22M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $224.16M
Net income $-490.18M
Diluted EPS -3.96
Operating cash flow $59.07M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $246.16M
Net income $37.34M
Diluted EPS 0.33
Operating cash flow $76.82M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $248.23M
Net income $-253.74M
Diluted EPS -2.45
Operating cash flow $71.24M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $247.10M
Net income $13.44M
Diluted EPS 0.13
Operating cash flow $43.24M
Free cash flow —
Revenue $261.65M
Net income $4.18M
Diluted EPS 0.09
Operating cash flow $-5.40M
Free cash flow —

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $24.24 vs current price $5.99

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $4.21 (-82.6% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $24.24 a share — about 304.9% above today's price of $5.99, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).

undervalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 8.0% · Discount 11.0% · Terminal 3.0%

$24.24

Bear

Growth 3.0% · Discount 11.0% · Terminal 3.0%

$18.10

Bull

Growth 15.0% · Discount 11.0% · Terminal 3.0%

$35.95

Is it drowning in debt?

Watch

Net debt $255.7M. Interest coverage 5.7x.

Net debt $255.66M
Interest coverage 5.67x

Bumble Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 5.7 times over. and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Watch
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
BMBL BASELINE Bumble Inc.

Total debt $445.92M Interest coverage 5.67x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $3.67B Interest coverage 6.17x +9% vs BMBL Has roughly the same debt cushion as BMBL.

Total debt $386.68M Interest coverage 7.16x +26% vs BMBL Carries about 1.3x more debt cushion than BMBL.

Total debt $10.23M Interest coverage 18.70x +230% vs BMBL Carries about 3.3x more debt cushion than BMBL.

Total debt $4.13B Interest coverage -4.36x -100% vs BMBL This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with BMBL.

Total debt $1.20B Interest coverage 21.03x +271% vs BMBL Carries about 3.7x more debt cushion than BMBL.

What you should know

The case for and against BMBL

1 Reward 2 Risks

Rewards

  • Free cash flow was positive in 4/10 years.

Risks

  • Net debt grew 77.0% over 3 years.
  • Return on equity was -75.8% last year — the company lost money on shareholders' equity.

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
—
Forward P/E
6.37x
P/B
1.44x
P/S
1.09x
EV/EBITDA
5.48x
PEG ratio
—

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
73.3%
Operating margin
20.9%
Net margin
-61.8%
ROE
-75.8%
ROA
8.2%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.68x
Current ratio
1.81x
Quick ratio
1.55x
Total debt
$445.92M
Total cash
$190.26M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$854.16M
Revenue 5Y CAGR
6.1%
EPS TTM
-4.27
EPS 5Y CAGR
—

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$245.96M
Free CF TTM
$238.68M
FCF margin
27.9%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
—