Knowstox

Fundamentals snapshot

Bavarian Nordic A/S

BVNRY · PNK · Healthcare · Biotechnology

Current price

$12.27

52-week range

$8.67 - $12.72

Market cap

$2.75B

One-glance verdict

Undervalued

$28.56 our estimate vs market $12.27

Balance sheet

Healthy

161.37x Strong cushion

Net cash $333.08M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Bavarian Nordic A/S

Bavarian Nordic A/S makes vaccines that protect people from serious diseases like smallpox and rabies, with most of its money coming from selling these life-saving shots globally. This is important because it shows the company's core business is providing essential health solutions that governments and people rely on.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $28.56 vs current price $12.27

Our most-likely fair value is $28.56 a share — about 132.8% above today's price of $12.27, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).

undervalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 10.0% · Discount 8.2% · Terminal 3.0%

$28.56

Bear

Growth 5.0% · Discount 8.2% · Terminal 3.0%

$21.79

Bull

Growth 18.0% · Discount 8.2% · Terminal 3.0%

$43.85

Is it drowning in debt?

Healthy

Net cash $333.1M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 161.4x.

Net debt $-333.08M
Interest coverage 161.37x

Bavarian Nordic A/S's profit covers its interest bill about 161.4 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Healthy
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
BVNRY BASELINE Bavarian Nordic A/S

Total debt $19.65M Interest coverage 161.37x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $295.26M Interest coverage 24.42x -85% vs BVNRY Carries about 6.6x less debt cushion than BVNRY.

Total debt $90.78M Interest coverage -11.92x -100% vs BVNRY This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with BVNRY.

Total debt $235.11M Interest coverage -1.95x -100% vs BVNRY This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with BVNRY.

What you should know

The case for and against BVNRY

3 Rewards 2 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 9.2% last year.
  • Returns 12.2% on equity, ahead of 66% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 3/10 years.

Risks

  • Stock trades 545.4% above its 5-year average P/E.
  • Insider ownership is only 0.0% (peer median: 5.0%).

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
12.15x
Forward P/E
—
P/B
1.41x
P/S
0.43x
EV/EBITDA
0.32x
PEG ratio
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Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
50.2%
Operating margin
36.8%
Net margin
24.3%
ROE
12.2%
ROA
5.0%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.01x
Current ratio
6.53x
Quick ratio
3.83x
Total debt
$19.65M
Total cash
$352.72M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$948.02M
Revenue 5Y CAGR
25.6%
EPS TTM
1.01
EPS 5Y CAGR
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Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$407.13M
Free CF TTM
$203.81M
FCF margin
21.5%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
2020-03-27