One-glance verdict
$20.13 our estimate vs market $44.87
Wall Street consensus: $45.00 (123.6% higher than our fair-value estimate)
123% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
CBRL · NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Current price
$44.87
52-week range
$24.85 - $60.26
Market cap
$1.00B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $45.00 (123.6% higher than our fair-value estimate)
123% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $1.12B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store runs a chain of combined restaurants and gift shops, primarily located along American highways. The company makes money from two main sources in one building: selling Southern-style comfort food to diners and a wide range of gifts and food items to shoppers. This dual business model is important because it encourages restaurant guests to shop after their meal, increasing how much money the company can make from each visitor.
Cracker Barrel was started in 1969 by Dan Evins, who ran a Shell gas station in Tennessee. He thought he could attract more travelers on the newly expanding interstate highways if he added a restaurant and a gift shop. The concept of a roadside stop offering a warm meal and a taste of nostalgia was a hit, and the company grew quickly, opening more locations along highways. By the early 1980s, the company became publicly traded on the stock market and had phased out selling gasoline to focus entirely on its restaurant and retail combination.
Cracker Barrel operates a chain of locations that each combine a full-service restaurant with a gift shop, designed to look like an old-fashioned country store. Most of its stores are located along interstate highways, making them a popular stop for travelers. The restaurants serve Southern-style comfort food for breakfast, lunch, and dinner. The attached gift shops sell a variety of items, including rocking chairs, old-fashioned candy, toys, clothing, and home decor.
This is the main part of Cracker Barrel's business, making up about 81% of its total sales. Customers pay for classic American comfort food served in a dining room with a rustic, nostalgic theme. The menu features breakfast all day, as well as traditional lunch and dinner meals like meatloaf and fried chicken. This segment's success depends on attracting enough guests (customer traffic) and how much they spend on average (the average check).
The other part of the business is the gift shop that every customer walks through to enter or exit the restaurant. This segment brings in about 19% of the company's revenue (money from sales). Shoppers buy a wide range of items, from home goods and apparel to toys and packaged food items like jams and candies. While smaller than the restaurant business, these retail sales are a key part of the company's unique identity and add to the total revenue per visitor.
The company's leadership is focused on strengthening the main Cracker Barrel brand. They recently sold off a smaller, separate restaurant chain they owned, Maple Street Biscuit Company, to concentrate their efforts and improve overall profitability (the ability to make a profit). Management is also using the company's real estate assets to pay down debt, which strengthens its financial health. The plan is to drive growth by refining the brand, optimizing the menu, and improving the store and digital experience for guests.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $45.00 (123.6% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $20.13 a share — about 55.1% below today's price of $44.87, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $1.1B. Interest coverage 3.7x.
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 3.7 times over.
Total debt $1.15B Interest coverage 3.66x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $1.09B Interest coverage 3,831.36x +104,445% vs CBRL Carries about 1045.5x more debt cushion than CBRL.
Total debt $8.05B Interest coverage 8.18x +123% vs CBRL Carries about 2.2x more debt cushion than CBRL.
Total debt $1.92B Interest coverage 2.44x -34% vs CBRL Carries about 1.5x less debt cushion than CBRL.
Total debt $434.66M Interest coverage 10.12x +176% vs CBRL Carries about 2.8x more debt cushion than CBRL.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know