One-glance verdict
$17.56 our estimate vs market $70.27
Wall Street consensus: $50.71 (188.8% higher than our fair-value estimate)
300% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
CBRL · NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Current price
$70.27
52-week range
$24.85 - $73.67
Market cap
$1.57B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $50.71 (188.8% higher than our fair-value estimate)
300% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $999.52M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Cracker Barrel sells comfort food and country-themed gifts in its restaurants, with money coming from both food sales and merchandise. This mix is important because it helps them make more money overall (their margins - the percent of each sales dollar left after costs) and gives customers more reasons to visit.
Cracker Barrel was founded in 1969 by Dan Evins with the idea of creating a place that felt like home for travelers on the go. The first store opened in Lebanon, Tennessee, combining a country-style restaurant with a gift shop. This unique concept aimed to offer a consistent, comforting experience that resonated with people looking for a taste of Southern hospitality. Over the decades, Cracker Barrel grew steadily, becoming a familiar roadside destination across the United States.
Cracker Barrel operates a chain of restaurants that are also gift shops, offering a blend of Southern comfort food and unique retail items. The restaurants serve breakfast, lunch, and dinner, with options for dining in, picking up, or delivery. The attached gift shops sell a variety of merchandise, including apparel, home decor like rocking chairs, toys, cookware, and specialty food items such as candies and preserves. It's designed to be a one-stop shop for a meal and a souvenir.
This is the core of Cracker Barrel's business, where customers come to enjoy homestyle meals. The restaurants are known for their breakfast offerings, but also serve lunch and dinner with a menu featuring Southern classics. They cater to a wide range of customers looking for a sit-down dining experience, offering dine-in, convenient pick-up, and delivery services to reach more people. This segment is the primary driver of the company's revenue.
Complementing the dining experience, the gift shop section offers a curated selection of merchandise. Shoppers can find items ranging from decorative pieces like rocking chairs and seasonal gifts to apparel, toys, and kitchenware. There's also a focus on unique food items, including candies, preserves, and other specialty food products, providing an additional revenue stream and enhancing the overall Cracker Barrel brand experience. This part of the business aims to capture impulse buys and offer unique gift options.
Cracker Barrel is focusing on enhancing its off-premise business, which includes pick-up and delivery options, to meet evolving customer needs. They are also working on improving the in-store experience by optimizing operations and menu offerings to drive traffic and sales. Management is also investing in their retail offerings to ensure the gift shop remains an attractive part of the overall visit. The goal is to strengthen both dining and retail sales while adapting to changing consumer habits.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $50.71 (188.8% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $17.56 a share — about 75.0% below today's price of $70.27, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $999.5M. Interest coverage -0.1x.
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $1.04B Interest coverage -0.11x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $1.09B Interest coverage 3,831.36x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while CBRL does not.
Total debt $8.59B Interest coverage 8.18x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while CBRL does not.
Total debt $1.92B Interest coverage 2.44x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while CBRL does not.
Total debt $434.66M Interest coverage 10.12x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while CBRL does not.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know