One-glance verdict
$57.63 our estimate vs market $48.03
Wall Street consensus: $60.60 (5.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
17% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
CNM · NYQ · Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Current price
$48.03
52-week range
$43.96 - $67.18
Market cap
$9.30B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $60.60 (5.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
17% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $2.30B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Core & Main is a key U.S. distributor of essential products for water systems, selling items like pipes, valves, and fire hydrants to cities and professional contractors. Most of its business comes from the constant need to repair and upgrade aging infrastructure, which is important because it creates steady demand for its products. This work provides a reliable stream of recurring revenue (income a company can reasonably expect to receive on a regular basis), since maintaining public water systems is a non-stop necessity for communities.
Core & Main's roots trace back to a division within The Home Depot called HD Supply Waterworks. In 2017, a private equity firm (a company that invests in businesses) named Clayton, Dubilier & Rice bought this division and established it as an independent company, renaming it Core & Main. This move allowed the company to focus entirely on the specialized market of water infrastructure. Since becoming independent, Core & Main has grown significantly by acquiring smaller, local distributors and became a publicly traded company in 2021.
Think of Core & Main as a specialized superstore for the massive, mostly unseen network of pipes and products that control water in our communities. They don't manufacture the products themselves, but act as a critical link, called a distributor, between thousands of suppliers and the contractors and local governments who build and maintain our water systems. They supply everything from the huge pipes that carry drinking water to your house, to fire hydrants, storm drains that prevent flooding, and even smart meters that measure water usage. Their customers are the professionals who do the hands-on work of repairing, replacing, and building the infrastructure for water, wastewater, and fire protection.
This is the company's largest and most foundational business, making up the majority of its sales. It involves supplying the essential components for moving water, like pipes of all sizes, valves that control the flow, and the countless fittings that connect everything together. Municipalities (your local city or town) and private water companies pay for these products to maintain and upgrade the vast underground networks that provide clean drinking water and manage wastewater. When a water main breaks or a new neighborhood is built, the necessary parts likely come from a distributor like Core & Main.
This segment focuses on products that manage rainwater and prevent flooding, accounting for a significant portion of the company's business. This includes large pipes, drains, and specialized materials that are used to build systems for detaining and diverting stormwater runoff from roads, parking lots, and developments. The customers are typically contractors working on construction projects for both public and private entities who need to ensure proper drainage to protect property and the environment.
A smaller but vital part of the business, this segment provides the specialized equipment used to extinguish fires inside buildings. This includes pipes, sprinkler heads, valves, and fittings that make up the fire sprinkler systems required in commercial and many residential buildings. Professional fire protection contractors purchase these materials from Core & Main to install and service these life-saving systems.
This segment provides the devices that measure and regulate water usage, which is a growing part of the business. It includes not just the physical water meters but also advanced "smart" metering technology that allows for remote reading and better water management for utilities. Municipalities and private water companies are the primary customers, buying these products to accurately bill customers and monitor the water system for leaks and inefficiencies.
Management's strategy focuses on growing by acquiring smaller, local distributors in what they see as a very fragmented market (an industry with many small, independent players). They are also focused on expanding their geographic footprint by opening new branch locations in attractive markets. The company believes there is a huge, long-term need to repair and upgrade the aging water infrastructure in the United States, and they are positioning themselves as the go-to supplier for these essential projects. They are also investing in their own technology to make their supply chain (the process of getting products from the manufacturer to the customer) more efficient and to improve the customer experience.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $60.60 (5.2% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $57.63 a share — about 20.0% above today's price of $48.03, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $2.3B. Interest coverage 6.0x.
Core & Main, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 6.0 times over.
Total debt $2.45B Interest coverage 6.02x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $6.08B Interest coverage 14.14x +135% vs CNM Carries about 2.3x more debt cushion than CNM.
Total debt $486.23M Interest coverage 140.77x +2,240% vs CNM Carries about 23.4x more debt cushion than CNM.
Total debt $2.78B Interest coverage 30.80x +412% vs CNM Carries about 5.1x more debt cushion than CNM.
Total debt $445.50M Interest coverage 267.05x +4,338% vs CNM Carries about 44.4x more debt cushion than CNM.
Total debt $6.51B Interest coverage 3.19x -47% vs CNM Carries about 1.9x less debt cushion than CNM.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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What you should know