One-glance verdict
$7,607.76 our estimate vs market $2,836.43
Wall Street consensus: $3,980.50 (-47.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)
63% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
CSU.TO · TOR · Technology · Software - Application
Current price
$2,836.43
52-week range
$2,196.00 - $4,500.00
Market cap
$60.11B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $3,980.50 (-47.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)
63% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $4.10B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Constellation Software is a company that buys and permanently holds a large collection of smaller software businesses, each serving a specific niche like managing a city's public transit or a local winery. The company makes most of its money from recurring revenue (predictable, subscription-like payments that customers make for software updates and support), which creates a very stable cash flow. This steady stream of money allows Constellation to keep buying more of these small, essential software companies to fuel its growth.
Constellation Software was started in 1995 by Mark Leonard, who used to be a venture capitalist (someone who invests in young, promising companies). Instead of building one single software product, his idea was to buy many small, specialized software businesses and hold onto them forever. The company went public in 2006, which allowed it to raise more money to buy even more companies. This strategy of acquiring and holding has been very successful, and the company has now bought over 850 businesses that serve very specific industries.
Constellation doesn't sell one main product with its name on it; instead, it owns a huge collection of over a thousand smaller software companies. Each of these companies creates and sells "mission-critical" software, which is software that is absolutely essential for a specific industry's daily operations, like a billing system for a local utility company or a management system for a construction business. Constellation makes money primarily from recurring fees, like maintenance and support contracts, which make up the bulk of its sales. It also earns revenue from professional services (like helping customers install the software) and from selling software licenses.
This is one of Constellation's largest and most diverse divisions, buying software companies that serve a wide variety of industries all over the world. Think of software for agribusiness, financial services, and education. The Volaris Group is known for being a generalist, meaning it doesn't stick to just one type of industry. It acts as a major growth engine for Constellation by constantly finding and acquiring new businesses in different niche markets.
The Harris group primarily focuses on selling software to the public sector. Its customers are organizations like local governments, schools, hospitals, and public utility companies. For example, a Harris company might make the software that a city uses to manage its water billing or that a school district uses to manage student records. This segment provides very stable and predictable income because government and public-sector clients tend to be very long-term customers.
The Jonas group acquires software businesses in a number of specific areas, with a strong presence in hospitality (like software for managing golf clubs or spas) and construction. It also serves industries like food service and industrial markets. This group is a good example of Constellation's strategy of finding a niche market and buying leading software providers within it. By owning multiple companies in a specific vertical, Jonas becomes an expert in that field.
The Perseus group operates a collection of software companies across another diverse set of industries. These include businesses that make software for home builders, dealerships (like for cars or tractors), and real estate companies. Like Constellation's other groups, Perseus buys companies with the intention of holding them for the long term. It provides a permanent home for these specialized software businesses, allowing them to continue serving their customers while benefiting from Constellation's financial strength and management expertise.
The company's main strategy is to continue doing what it has done successfully for decades: buying more vertical market software businesses. Management is focused on disciplined capital allocation (the process of deciding where to invest the company's money for the best long-term results) to generate strong cash flows. A key part of the strategy is its decentralized model, which means they let the founders and managers of the companies they buy continue to run their businesses independently. This approach empowers local leaders and allows Constellation to manage a vast and diverse portfolio of companies effectively.
Price history
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $3,980.50 (-47.7% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $7,607.76 a share — about 168.2% above today's price of $2,836.43, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $4.1B. Interest coverage 8.2x.
Constellation Software Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 8.2 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $8.15B Interest coverage 8.23x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $11.32B Interest coverage 6.88x -16% vs CSU.TO Carries about 1.2x less debt cushion than CSU.TO.
Total debt $3.60B Interest coverage 5.98x -27% vs CSU.TO Carries about 1.4x less debt cushion than CSU.TO.
Total debt $1.46B Interest coverage 71.61x +770% vs CSU.TO Carries about 8.7x more debt cushion than CSU.TO.
Total debt $7.78B Interest coverage 3.31x -60% vs CSU.TO Carries about 2.5x less debt cushion than CSU.TO.
Total debt $5.97B Interest coverage 3.45x -58% vs CSU.TO Carries about 2.4x less debt cushion than CSU.TO.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
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Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know