Knowstox

Fundamentals snapshot

Distribution Solutions Group, Inc.

DSGR · NMS · Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Current price

$34.56

52-week range

$19.02 - $34.83

Market cap

$1.60B

One-glance verdict

Overvalued

$15.30 our estimate vs market $34.56

Wall Street consensus: $35.00 (128.7% higher than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Stretched

1.41x Concerning

Net debt $796.69M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Distribution Solutions Group, Inc.

Distribution Solutions Group acts as a vital middleman, selling and delivering a huge range of essential parts and equipment to other businesses like factories and aerospace companies. They provide everything from basic nuts and bolts to complex testing tools, and also help clients manage their own supply chain (the complex process of getting parts from the source to the factory floor). This is important because they handle the specialized logistics for thousands of small but crucial items, allowing other companies to operate smoothly and focus on their own products.

Price history

How the share price has moved

Loading price history…

Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q2 $18.02M FY2024 Q3 $-20.54M FY2024 Q4 $41.12M FY2025 Q1 $-10.41M FY2025 Q2 $28.66M FY2025 Q3 $32.86M FY2025 Q4 $11.72M FY2026 Q1 $-23.72M
Revenue $496.00M
Net income $382.00K
Diluted EPS 0.01
Operating cash flow $-20.36M
Free cash flow $-23.72M
Revenue $481.60M
Net income $-6.37M
Diluted EPS -0.14
Operating cash flow $16.94M
Free cash flow $11.72M
Revenue $517.96M
Net income $6.45M
Diluted EPS 0.14
Operating cash flow $38.37M
Free cash flow $32.86M
Revenue $502.44M
Net income $5.00M
Diluted EPS 0.11
Operating cash flow $33.30M
Free cash flow $28.66M
Revenue $478.03M
Net income $3.26M
Diluted EPS 0.07
Operating cash flow $-4.76M
Free cash flow $-10.41M
Revenue $480.46M
Net income $-25.93M
Diluted EPS -0.55
Operating cash flow $45.72M
Free cash flow $41.12M
Revenue $468.02M
Net income $21.92M
Diluted EPS 0.46
Operating cash flow $-17.27M
Free cash flow $-20.54M
Revenue $439.54M
Net income $1.90M
Diluted EPS 0.04
Operating cash flow $21.39M
Free cash flow $18.02M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $15.30 vs current price $34.56

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $35.00 (128.7% higher than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $15.30 a share — about 55.7% below today's price of $34.56, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).

overvalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 4.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$15.30

Bear

Growth 2.5% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$12.53

Bull

Growth 10.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$28.98

Is it drowning in debt?

Stretched

Net debt $796.7M. Interest coverage 1.4x.

Net debt $796.69M
Interest coverage 1.41x

Distribution Solutions Group, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 1.4 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.

Stretched
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
DSGR BASELINE Distribution Solutions Group, Inc.

Total debt $849.41M Interest coverage 1.41x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $555.42M Interest coverage 12.99x +819% vs DSGR Carries about 9.2x more debt cushion than DSGR.

Total debt $365.30M Interest coverage 27.37x +1,836% vs DSGR Carries about 19.4x more debt cushion than DSGR.

Total debt $902.01M Interest coverage 2.92x +107% vs DSGR Carries about 2.1x more debt cushion than DSGR.

Total debt $99.20M Interest coverage 976.00x +68,928% vs DSGR Carries about 690.3x more debt cushion than DSGR.

What you should know

The case for and against DSGR

3 Rewards 3 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 0.9% last year.
  • Returns 0.9% on equity, ahead of 16% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 8/10 years.

Risks

  • Stock trades 139.5% above its 5-year average P/E.
  • Net debt grew 73.1% over 3 years.
  • Insider ownership is only 1.2% (peer median: 18.0%).

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
288.00x
Forward P/E
21.33x
P/B
2.46x
P/S
0.80x
EV/EBITDA
15.56x
PEG ratio
2.69x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
33.1%
Operating margin
3.1%
Net margin
0.3%
ROE
0.9%
ROA
2.7%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
1.31x
Current ratio
2.63x
Quick ratio
1.19x
Total debt
$849.41M
Total cash
$52.73M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$2.00B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
47.6%
EPS TTM
0.12
EPS 5Y CAGR
-4.8%

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$68.25M
Free CF TTM
$62.83M
FCF margin
3.1%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
2012-06-29