Knowstox

Fundamentals snapshot

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation

FUN · NYQ · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Current price

$10.76

52-week range

$6.60 - $26.28

Market cap

$1.10B

One-glance verdict

Overvalued

$-17.76 our estimate vs market $10.76

Wall Street consensus: $14.23 (-180.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Distressed

0.51x Concerning

Net debt $5.02B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation runs theme parks and resorts, which is how they make money. This matters because it shows you what kind of business they are in and where their income originates.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q4 $-125.77M FY2025 Q1 $-317.97M FY2025 Q2 $18.83M FY2025 Q3 $256.20M FY2025 Q4 $-109.26M FY2026 Q1 $-137.12M FY2026 Q2 $140.33M FY2026 Q3 $254.05M
Revenue $1.17B
Net income $-366.12M
Diluted EPS -3.59
Operating cash flow $345.76M
Free cash flow $254.05M
Revenue $864.92M
Net income $-202.62M
Diluted EPS -1.99
Operating cash flow $235.85M
Free cash flow $140.33M
Revenue $225.63M
Net income $-268.60M
Diluted EPS -2.65
Operating cash flow $-83.16M
Free cash flow $-137.12M
Revenue $650.09M
Net income $-92.38M
Diluted EPS -0.93
Operating cash flow $-37.67M
Free cash flow $-109.26M
Revenue $1.32B
Net income $-1.19B
Diluted EPS -11.77
Operating cash flow $356.20M
Free cash flow $256.20M
Revenue $930.39M
Net income $-99.65M
Diluted EPS -0.99
Operating cash flow $186.98M
Free cash flow $18.83M
Revenue $202.06M
Net income $-219.72M
Diluted EPS -2.20
Operating cash flow $-178.04M
Free cash flow $-317.97M
Revenue $687.31M
Net income $-264.22M
Diluted EPS -3.22
Operating cash flow $-32.57M
Free cash flow $-125.77M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $-17.76 vs current price $10.76

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $14.23 (-180.1% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $-17.76 a share — about 265.0% below today's price of $10.76, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).

overvalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 8.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$-17.76

Bear

Growth 2.5% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$-26.44

Bull

Growth 15.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 2.5%

$-2.29

Is it drowning in debt?

Distressed

Net debt $5.0B. Interest coverage 0.5x.

Net debt $5.02B
Interest coverage 0.51x

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's profit covers its interest bill about 0.5 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Distressed
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
FUN BASELINE Six Flags Entertainment Corporation

Total debt $5.16B Interest coverage 0.51x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $2.39B Interest coverage 2.74x +433% vs FUN Carries about 5.3x more debt cushion than FUN.

Total debt $320.50M Interest coverage 1.89x +269% vs FUN Carries about 3.7x more debt cushion than FUN.

Total debt $3.59B Interest coverage 0.72x +41% vs FUN Carries about 1.4x more debt cushion than FUN.

Total debt $3.59B Interest coverage 3.02x +490% vs FUN Carries about 5.9x more debt cushion than FUN.

What you should know

The case for and against FUN

1 Reward 3 Risks

Rewards

  • Free cash flow was positive in 3/10 years.

Risks

  • Return on equity was -143.2% last year — the company lost money on shareholders' equity.
  • Net debt grew 136.1% over 3 years.
  • Operating margin compressed from 20.6% to 13.0% over 3 years.

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
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Forward P/E
-44.17x
P/B
1.99x
P/S
0.36x
EV/EBITDA
7.92x
PEG ratio
2.43x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
38.2%
Operating margin
13.0%
Net margin
-57.3%
ROE
-143.2%
ROA
2.4%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
14.55x
Current ratio
0.42x
Quick ratio
0.27x
Total debt
$5.16B
Total cash
$134.71M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$2.91B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
19.5%
EPS TTM
-9.13
EPS 5Y CAGR
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Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$460.78M
Free CF TTM
$-152.20M
FCF margin
-5.2%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
300.0%
Last ex-div date
2024-06-05