One-glance verdict
$11.40 our estimate vs market $2.46
Wall Street consensus: $3.75 (-67.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
78% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
GOTU · NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Current price
$2.46
52-week range
$1.40 - $3.38
Market cap
$578.24M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $3.75 (-67.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
78% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $323.08M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Gaotu Techedu is a Chinese education company that provides a wide range of tutoring and training services to students, from young children to adults. The company primarily makes money from course fees and by selling educational materials like books and digital learning tools. This is important because its performance is heavily tied to its ability to attract students and navigate the strict government regulations within China's education industry.
Gaotu started in 2014 as GSX Techedu, an online tutoring company in China that grew very quickly. A major turning point came in 2021 when the Chinese government introduced new rules, known as the "Double Reduction" policy, to reduce the burden on students. These regulations banned for-profit tutoring for school subjects, which was the company's main business and caused its stock price to fall dramatically. In response, the company changed its name to Gaotu Techedu and was forced to completely rethink its business, shifting away from K-12 academic tutoring to other areas of education.
Gaotu Techedu is a technology-focused education company in China that provides learning services for a wide range of students, from young learners to adults. It offers online courses, sells educational books, and develops digital learning tools like apps and smart devices. The company uses artificial intelligence (AI) to personalize the learning experience and make it more engaging. Think of it as a digital school and bookstore that offers classes and tools for professional development, exam preparation, and other non-school subjects.
This is the company's largest business, making up almost all of its revenue (the total money it brings in from sales). Instead of the school-subject tutoring it used to do, this segment now focuses on other areas. For college students and adults, it offers courses to prepare for postgraduate entrance exams, civil service exams, and professional qualification tests. It also provides non-academic tutoring for younger students in areas like English and personal development, as well as language training for tests like TOEFL and IELTS for those planning to study abroad.
This is a much smaller but growing part of Gaotu's business. This segment sells physical products like books and reference materials for exams. It also creates and sells digital tools, such as AI-powered reading apps for children, writing assessment tools that give instant feedback, and smart learning devices. Customers, who are students and learners, pay for these specific products to supplement their studies.
After the government regulations upended its original business, Gaotu's management is now focused on growing in areas outside of traditional K-12 academic tutoring. The company is heavily investing in professional and vocational training for adults who are looking to advance their careers. It is also putting a strong emphasis on using artificial intelligence (AI) to improve its courses and create better digital learning tools, hoping this technology will make its products more effective and efficient. The company's guidance (its forecast for future performance) suggests a focus on achieving steady growth while carefully managing costs to become profitable again.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $3.75 (-67.2% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $11.40 a share — about 363.5% above today's price of $2.46, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $323.1M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage -12.6x.
Gaotu Techedu Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $167.48M Interest coverage -12.60x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $50.72M Interest coverage -194.67x Neither company has much profit cushion over interest right now.
Total debt $545.98M Interest coverage 38.27x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while GOTU does not.
Total debt $153.47M Interest coverage 12.73x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while GOTU does not.
Total debt $255.11M Interest coverage 3.62x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while GOTU does not.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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Cash flow
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What you should know