One-glance verdict
$40.94 our estimate vs market $24.45
Wall Street consensus: $37.17 (-9.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
40% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
HUBG · NMS · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Current price
$24.45
52-week range
$23.91 - $53.26
Market cap
$1.50B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $37.17 (-9.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
40% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $379.06M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Hub Group provides services that help companies move their products efficiently across North America, kind of like a mover and planner for businesses. Their money primarily comes from helping clients with transportation and overall logistics management (the planning and execution of moving goods), which are crucial for businesses to get their items from one place to another smoothly. This matters because reliable and cost-effective shipping, often referred to as managing the supply chain (the entire process of making and selling a product, from raw materials to the customer), is key for companies to keep their customers happy and their businesses running.
<section> <heading>How the company got here</heading> <body1>Hub Group was founded in 1971 by Phillip Yeager, who left his job at the Pennsylvania Railroad to start the company as a shipper's agent, an intermediary that booked transportation with railroads. Initially named Hub City Terminals, the company began with a small investment and operated out of a single room. It grew by expanding its services and by setting up independent S corporations for each office. Hub Group went public in 1996, which provided access to capital and a broader investor base. Over the years, Hub Group has expanded its services through strategic acquisitions, moving from its core intermodal business to offering a wider range of logistics and transportation solutions. This evolution has transformed it into a comprehensive supply chain partner for its clients.</body1> </section> <section> <heading>What it actually does</heading> <body1>Hub Group is a company that helps other businesses move their goods from one place to another. Think of it like a travel agent, but for cargo instead of people. They arrange for trucks, trains, and sometimes even ships to transport products efficiently and cost-effectively. Hub Group manages the complex process of getting items from where they are made to where they need to be sold or used, offering services like tracking shipments, managing carriers (the companies that own the trucks or trains), and finding the best routes. They work with a variety of industries, including retail, consumer products, automotive, and manufacturing.</body1> </section> <section> <heading>Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS)</heading> <body1>This is Hub Group's largest business segment, making up about 60% of its total revenue. Intermodal transportation is like a relay race for freight, where goods are moved using multiple types of transportation, most commonly by train for long distances and then by truck for the "first mile" (getting the goods to the train) and the "last mile" (getting the goods from the train to their final destination). This segment also includes dedicated trucking services, where Hub Group provides a company's own fleet of trucks and drivers for exclusive use, ensuring consistent and reliable transportation for specific customer needs.</body1> </section> <section> <heading>Logistics</heading> <body1>The Logistics segment is the other significant part of Hub Group's business, focusing on a broader range of supply chain services beyond just moving goods from point A to point B. This includes transportation management, where Hub Group acts as a central hub to plan, book, and oversee shipments across different carriers and modes of transport. It also encompasses services like freight brokerage (finding available trucks for shippers), shipment optimization (making sure shipments are as efficient as possible), warehousing (storing goods), fulfillment (preparing orders for shipment), and final mile delivery (getting products to the end customer's doorstep). This segment has grown through acquisitions, adding capabilities in areas like e-commerce fulfillment and specialized refrigerated transport.</body1> </section> <section> <heading>What management is betting on now</heading> <body1>Hub Group's management is focused on growing its logistics segment by acquiring companies that add new capabilities, such as e-commerce fulfillment and specialized transportation. They aim to become a more comprehensive supply chain partner for their clients, moving beyond just transportation to offer a wider array of services. This strategy involves leveraging technology to improve efficiency and visibility across all services, and capitalizing on industry trends like the increasing demand for outsourced logistics solutions. By offering a broader suite of services, Hub Group seeks to deepen relationships with existing customers and attract new ones looking for integrated supply chain management.</body1> </section>
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $37.17 (-9.2% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $40.94 a share — about 67.4% above today's price of $24.45, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $379.1M. Interest coverage 9.6x.
Hub Group, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 9.6 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $498.76M Interest coverage 9.61x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $393.20M Interest coverage 5.00x -48% vs HUBG Carries about 1.9x less debt cushion than HUBG.
Total debt $151.80M Interest coverage 46.98x +389% vs HUBG Carries about 4.9x more debt cushion than HUBG.
Total debt $994.80M Interest coverage 1.43x -85% vs HUBG Carries about 6.7x less debt cushion than HUBG.
Total debt $1.45B Interest coverage 11.50x +20% vs HUBG Carries about 1.2x more debt cushion than HUBG.
Total debt $2.61B Interest coverage 1.94x -80% vs HUBG Carries about 4.9x less debt cushion than HUBG.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
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Debt comparison
What you should know