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Fundamentals snapshot

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.

INSP · NYQ · Healthcare · Medical Devices

Current price

$71.18

52-week range

$38.91 - $147.03

Market cap

$2.06B

One-glance verdict

Undervalued

$145.10 our estimate vs market $71.18

Wall Street consensus: $68.00 (-53.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Healthy

371.93x Strong cushion

Net cash $291.59M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.

Inspire Medical Systems makes a small implant that helps people with severe sleep apnea breathe better at night by gently stimulating a nerve. The money they make comes mostly from selling these implant systems and related supplies, and it matters because it's a new way to treat a common problem that affects many people's health.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q3 $44.28M FY2024 Q4 $62.15M FY2025 Q1 $-15.11M FY2025 Q2 $-6.31M FY2025 Q3 $58.09M FY2025 Q4 $41.81M FY2026 Q1 $3.12M FY2026 Q2 $14.07M
Revenue $200.58M
Net income $314.00K
Diluted EPS 0.01
Operating cash flow $23.23M
Free cash flow $14.07M
Revenue $204.58M
Net income $-11.29M
Diluted EPS -0.39
Operating cash flow $12.85M
Free cash flow $3.12M
Revenue $269.08M
Net income $136.09M
Diluted EPS 4.57
Operating cash flow $52.47M
Free cash flow $41.81M
Revenue $224.50M
Net income $9.93M
Diluted EPS 0.34
Operating cash flow $68.53M
Free cash flow $58.09M
Revenue $217.09M
Net income $-3.59M
Diluted EPS -0.12
Operating cash flow $2.68M
Free cash flow $-6.31M
Revenue $201.32M
Net income $2.99M
Diluted EPS 0.10
Operating cash flow $-6.70M
Free cash flow $-15.11M
Revenue $239.72M
Net income $35.22M
Diluted EPS 1.17
Operating cash flow $69.18M
Free cash flow $62.15M
Revenue $203.19M
Net income $18.50M
Diluted EPS 0.60
Operating cash flow $52.28M
Free cash flow $44.28M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $145.10 vs current price $71.18

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $68.00 (-53.1% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $145.10 a share — about 103.9% above today's price of $71.18, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).

undervalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 15.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 3.0%

$145.10

Bear

Growth 8.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 3.0%

$100.16

Bull

Growth 25.0% · Discount 7.2% · Terminal 3.0%

$244.81

Is it drowning in debt?

Healthy

Net cash $291.6M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 371.9x.

Net debt $-291.59M
Interest coverage 371.93x

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 371.9 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Healthy
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
INSP BASELINE Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.

Total debt $29.09M Interest coverage 371.93x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $727.35M Interest coverage -4.03x -100% vs INSP This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with INSP.

Total debt $212.71M Interest coverage 144.35x -61% vs INSP Carries about 2.6x less debt cushion than INSP.

Total debt $104.45M Interest coverage -4.78x -100% vs INSP This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with INSP.

What you should know

The case for and against INSP

3 Rewards 2 Risks

Rewards

  • Returns 18.0% on equity, ahead of 75% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 4/10 years.
  • Trades at 15.7x P/E vs peer median 79.1x (80.2% cheaper).

Risks

  • Forward P/E (46.3x) is higher than trailing (15.7x) - earnings are expected to drop.
  • Insider ownership is only 1.2% (peer median: 2.9%).

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
15.68x
Forward P/E
46.33x
P/B
2.49x
P/S
2.29x
EV/EBITDA
24.76x
PEG ratio
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Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
86.1%
Operating margin
-0.3%
Net margin
15.0%
ROE
18.0%
ROA
3.9%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.04x
Current ratio
8.55x
Quick ratio
5.96x
Total debt
$29.09M
Total cash
$320.68M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$898.74M
Revenue 5Y CAGR
40.6%
EPS TTM
4.54
EPS 5Y CAGR
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Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$157.07M
Free CF TTM
$78.48M
FCF margin
8.7%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
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