One-glance verdict
$51.71 our estimate vs market $32.18
Wall Street consensus: $48.50 (-6.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
38% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
JAKK · NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Current price
$32.18
52-week range
$14.87 - $32.42
Market cap
$368.27M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $48.50 (-6.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
38% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $887.00K. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
JAKKS Pacific designs and sells a wide range of toys, costumes, and children's furniture, with most of its money coming from selling these products to big retail stores. This matters because how well they sell these items directly impacts their profits and ability to grow.
JAKKS Pacific was founded in 1995 by Jack Friedman and Stephen Berman, who had prior experience in the toy industry. The company quickly established itself by securing a major toy license for the World Wrestling Federation (WWF). Over the years, JAKKS Pacific has grown through strategic acquisitions of other toy companies and by forming partnerships with major entertainment brands like Disney, Nintendo, and Warner Bros. This approach has allowed them to expand their product offerings and reach a global market, positioning them as a significant player in the toy and leisure products sector.
JAKKS Pacific designs, manufactures, and markets a wide variety of toys and consumer products for children and adults worldwide. They create products based on popular entertainment franchises, as well as their own proprietary brands. Their offerings include action figures, dolls, vehicles, costumes, and outdoor play items. The company sells these products to major retailers, including large chain stores and online platforms, and also operates some direct-to-consumer sales.
This is the largest part of JAKKS Pacific's business, making up the majority of its revenue. It includes a broad range of toys such as action figures and playsets featuring licensed characters from popular movies and video games, dolls and accessories, toy vehicles, and infant and preschool toys. This segment also encompasses outdoor and seasonal products like ride-on toys, water toys, and seasonal decorations. They also produce kids' indoor and outdoor furniture and activity sets.
This segment, primarily operating under the Disguise brand, focuses on designing, marketing, and selling costumes and related accessories for various occasions. While Halloween is a major focus, this business also caters to everyday dress-up play, cosplay, and themed events throughout the year. This part of the business allows JAKKS Pacific to leverage popular entertainment licenses for a different type of product, extending the life and appeal of these brands beyond traditional toys.
JAKKS Pacific's strategy focuses on expanding its product lines and 'counter-seasonalizing' them to spread earnings more evenly across the year, rather than relying heavily on holiday seasons. They are also working to add new retail outlets and leverage their expertise in product development and merchandising for products that have long-term appeal. Additionally, the company is strategically expanding its international presence, particularly in Europe and Latin America, by building direct operational footprints and improving distribution to enhance profitability.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $48.50 (-6.2% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $51.71 a share — about 60.7% above today's price of $32.18, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $887,000 - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 30.2x.
JAKKS Pacific, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 30.2 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $43.11M Interest coverage 30.19x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $261.36M Interest coverage -2.37x -100% vs JAKK This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with JAKK.
Total debt $125.51M Interest coverage 82.93x +175% vs JAKK Carries about 2.7x more debt cushion than JAKK.
Total debt $2.75B Interest coverage 4.60x -85% vs JAKK Carries about 6.6x less debt cushion than JAKK.
Total debt $3.51B Interest coverage 6.47x -79% vs JAKK Carries about 4.7x less debt cushion than JAKK.
Total debt $622.55M Interest coverage -1.67x -100% vs JAKK This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with JAKK.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know