One-glance verdict
$190.48 our estimate vs market $26.76
Wall Street consensus: $39.06 (-79.5% lower than our fair-value estimate)
86% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
JD · NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Current price
$26.76
52-week range
$24.51 - $35.06
Market cap
$36.14B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $39.06 (-79.5% lower than our fair-value estimate)
86% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $17.46B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
JD.com is a massive online retailer in China that sells everything from electronics and clothes to groceries and furniture, and it also handles its own deliveries. The money mainly comes from selling these goods directly to customers and from letting other businesses sell on its platform, which is important because it shows how much people are buying and using JD's services.
JD.com, originally known as 360buy, started in 2004 as an electronics store in Beijing. It quickly expanded into an online retailer, recognizing the growing internet usage in China. A key turning point was its decision to build its own logistics network, which allowed for faster and more reliable delivery compared to relying on third-party services. This focus on controlling the supply chain became a major competitive advantage. The company officially changed its name to JD.com, Inc. in 2014, solidifying its identity as a major e-commerce player.
JD.com is a massive online shopping platform, similar to Amazon in the West, but with a strong emphasis on its own logistics and product quality. Think of it as a giant digital mall where you can buy almost anything, from electronics and clothing to fresh groceries and medicine. What sets JD.com apart is its extensive network of warehouses and delivery personnel, ensuring that products get to customers quickly and reliably. They also sell products directly and allow other businesses to sell on their platform.
This is the core of JD.com's business, making up the largest portion of its revenue. JD Retail is essentially the online shopping part where customers buy goods directly from JD.com or from third-party sellers on JD's platform. It offers a vast array of products, including electronics, home appliances, fashion, groceries, and health products. Customers pay for the products they purchase, and JD.com generates revenue from direct sales and commissions from third-party sellers, as well as advertising services offered to these sellers.
JD Logistics is the backbone that supports JD Retail and also serves external clients. It's a technology-driven supply chain and logistics services provider. This segment manages a vast network of warehouses, delivery stations, and a fleet of vehicles, enabling efficient storage, transportation, and last-mile delivery of goods. JD.com makes money by charging for these logistics services, both for its own retail operations and for other companies that use its sophisticated supply chain solutions, which helps ensure timely delivery and inventory management.
This segment encompasses JD.com's ventures beyond its traditional retail and logistics operations. It includes areas like JD Health, which offers online medical consultations and pharmaceutical sales, and JD Property, which develops and manages logistics facilities and other real estate. These newer initiatives aim to diversify JD.com's revenue streams and tap into growing markets like online healthcare and real estate services. The revenue generated here comes from various sources, such as healthcare service fees, pharmaceutical sales, and property leasing.
JD.com's management is focused on leveraging its robust supply chain and technology capabilities to enhance customer experience and expand into new growth areas. A key priority is strengthening its logistics network to offer even faster and more efficient delivery services, which is crucial in the competitive e-commerce landscape. They are also investing in expanding JD Health and other new business initiatives to diversify revenue and capture emerging market opportunities. The goal is to use technology to make their operations smarter and more integrated, ultimately driving growth and profitability across all segments.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $39.06 (-79.5% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $190.48 a share — about 611.8% above today's price of $26.76, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $17.5B - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 1.3x.
JD.com, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 1.3 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $15.80B Interest coverage 1.32x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $39.99B Interest coverage 6.09x +363% vs JD Carries about 4.6x more debt cushion than JD.
Total debt $251.64B Interest coverage 35.17x +2,572% vs JD Carries about 26.7x more debt cushion than JD.
Total debt $5.63B Interest coverage 5.50x +318% vs JD Carries about 4.2x more debt cushion than JD.
Total debt $13.21B Interest coverage 20.01x +1,420% vs JD Carries about 15.2x more debt cushion than JD.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know